Nate Silver: On the Edge @TheJohnAdamsInstitute
Nate Silver: On the Edge  @TheJohnAdamsInstitute
Uploaded September 2025 | Updated September 2026, 1 hour ago
At the John Adams Season Opener we hosted Nate Silver, trailblazing statistician, author, and founder of polling platform FiveThirtyEight, as he unpacks the art of prediction, the allure of risk, and the high-stakes drama of American politics. From accurately forecasting elections to redefining the role of data in journalism, Silver has become one of the most trusted—and provocative—voices in the analysis of uncertainty.

His newest book, 'On the Edge', explores the lives of risk takers whose mastery of risk allows them to dominate and shape so much of modern life, defying convention, courting chaos, and shaping the world in unprecedented ways.

In a keynote talk and in-depth interview with journalist Casper Thomas, Silver will explore the tools that made him famous. His forecasting and modelling prowess, epitomized by his statistical analysis of politics, economics and sports provide the ultimate entry point to look at the current state of American politics and the world around us.
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The John Adams Institute |

Nate Silver: On the Edge

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