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The Royal Society | Maths, pandemics and us | The Royal Society @royalsociety | Uploaded 2 years ago | Updated 7 minutes ago
This year, the topic of pandemics needs no introduction. Because of coronavirus, concepts such as the R number and herd immunity are no longer confined to academic discussion.
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The role of mathematical modelling has been a central part of the emergency response, but, what does all this mean for us, as people living through the pandemic?

#maths #covid #pandemics

Watch more of our COVID-19 content:

David Spiegelhalter on risk in a time of Covid
youtu.be/JW9plVfanjo

Brian Cox and panel discuss how we can learn to live with COVID-19
youtu.be/_CqZqi1nQ_0

Short: Katrina Lythgoe explains mutations and variants
youtu.be/4pWSMnpVT0M

Brian Cox and panel discuss COVID-19 vaccines
youtu.be/xWpq3hHOmhs
youtu.be/Ev9LMceUPZc

Brian Cox and panel on long Covid
youtu.be/QsBbame6C44

Short: Daniel Streicker on diseases caused by bats
youtu.be/WJQtQ-DXLfY

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In the Rosalind Franklin Lecture 2020, Professor Julia Gog OBE discussed some of the COVID-19 research, but also how mathematical ideas can help all of us in understanding what is going on with a pandemic. Models are useful for everyone to build up insights into the inner workings of an epidemic. She argued that models can help all of us make sense of what has happened, and to see what the prospects are for the future with COVID-19.

Julia Gog is Professor of Mathematical Biology at the University of Cambridge and the David N. Moore Fellow and Director of Studies in Mathematics at Queens’ College, Cambridge. Julia and her research group in the Department of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics specialise in modelling the spread and evolution of infectious diseases, particularly influenza.

In 2018, she and her team were behind the UK’s largest citizen science experiment in collaboration with the BBC, using data contributed by users of a smartphone app to understand better how pandemic influenza might spread across the UK. The massive dataset that resulted from the experiment, the largest and most detailed of its kind, has been put into action to assist with model development for the COVID-19 pandemic. Professor Gog has been providing advice to the Government through SPI-M, the specialist pandemic modelling group that feeds into SAGE, the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies, as well as through Cambridge’s Centre for Science and Policy (CSaP).

Julia is a keen communicator of science and mathematics to public audiences, and as the LMS popular lecturer in 2014. She has teamed up with the Millennium Mathematics Project throughout her time as a Royal Society University Research Fellow (2004-2012) and beyond to work with schools. She has collaborated with Plus magazine during the coronavirus pandemic to share updates on the mathematical modelling approaches to the pandemic. Julia won the London Mathematical Society’s Whitehead prize in 2017.

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