Uploaded September 2021 | Updated September 2026, 3 weeks ago
This is Prof. Matt McCormick's second lecture on Kahneman's section on overconfidence. We discuss the evolution of the human cognitive system, Kahneman's Illusion of Validity, the Illusion of Skill, expert intuition, statistical prediction rules, the Outside View, and the Planning Fallacy.
This is Prof. Matt McCormick's second lecture on Kahneman's section on overconfidence. We discuss the evolution of the human cognitive system, Kahneman's Illusion of Validity, the Illusion of Skill, expert intuition, statistical prediction rules, the Outside View, and the Planning Fallacy.










