Uploaded June 2026 | Updated September 2026, 1 week ago

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Sources:

Kuleba interview (part transcribed on X): https://x.com/Mylovanov/status/2064083824640766278

Konrad Muzyka, X: https://x.com/konrad_muzyka/status/2063007227468710173

Carnegie: carnegieendowment.org/russia-eurasia/politika/2026/05/belarus-ukraine-new-war

ISANS, May update: isans.org/military/review-of-military-activity-in-belarus-april-2026.html

The Times, March: thetimes.com/world/russia-ukraine-war/article/vladimir-putin-henchman-ukraine-belarus-border-xcrbphmh3

Times, June, interview with Belarusian exiled opposition leader: thetimes.com/world/russia-ukraine-war/article/sviatlana-tsikhanouskaya-putin-russia-nuclear-belarus-sf660n7cx

Hudson Institute: hudson.org/national-security-defense/could-belarus-attack-ukraine-preparing-three-scenarios-luke-coffey

MacDonald Laurier Institute: macdonaldlaurier.ca/belarus-is-becoming-europes-most-dangerous-blind-spot-yaroslav-baran-for-inside-policy

Jamestown: jamestown.org/russia-and-belarus-preparing-for-escalation-with-ukraine-and-nato

Fronts: fronts.co/article/europe-needs-to-defend-itself-against-russian-aggression

Kyiv Post: kyivpost.com/post/77671

LeMonde: https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2026/04/21/ukraine-belarus-tensions-rise-as-border-militarization-intensifies_6752687_4.html

ISW: understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-may-26-2026

Joni Askola, X: https://x.com/joni_askola/status/2064708381865042232