@heathcarmody2867

@heathcarmody2867

Heath Carmody | I H8 Black Swans @heathcarmody2867 | Uploaded July 2024 | Updated October 2024, 1 day ago.
I have 8 big black swans to present from my first 8 observations of 2024. Does anyone still use the term to describe horizons that appear way too far for a globe without any refraction?

I've been on an extended break from Earth shape discussion and YouTube in general, but still managed to get out to the lake a handful of times for some shorter than usual observations. Finally I have a little bit more time to put towards making some new videos and hopefully participating in the discussion again. I haven't totally figured out the approach that I want to take this time, but I'll be experimenting with different styles of videos and maybe some longer narrated videos that actually explain things better than subtitles. This fall I'll also start using my software again for observation analysis, comparison and demonstrations. Who knows, maybe I'll even start live streaming again, if I can get enough people interested in honest observation analysis.

$I H8 Black Swans I have 8 big black swans to present from my first 8 observations of 2024. Does anyone still use the term to describe horizons that appear way too far for a globe without any refraction? Ive been on an extended break from Earth shape discussion and YouTube in general, but still managed to get out to the lake a handful of times for some shorter than usual observations. Finally I have a little bit more time to put towards making some new videos and hopefully participating in the discussion again. I havent totally figured out the approach that I want to take this time, but Ill be experimenting with different styles of videos and maybe some longer narrated videos that actually explain things better than subtitles. This fall Ill also start using my software again for observation analysis, comparison and demonstrations. Who knows, maybe Ill even start live streaming again, if I can get enough people interested in honest observation analysis.$

Observation Highlights January 23, 2021 - Strong Inferior Mirage

$InFerryOr Mirage #1 (2023) Continuing the series with a new observation for 2023. Observation #10 at Shelter Bay ferry, but from a slightly different spot where I can see the far ferry ramp at about 5 km distance. This series usually focuses on low camera angle mirage and refraction effects observed over a long period and played back very fast. This time I decided to mix in some real time footage and a some subtitles to provide context. This was in the middle of almost 3 weeks of extreme heat (for this time of year here). Data from a somewhat nearby hydrometric monitoring station indicates a high of 26.2°C for this day (May 13th), but my thermometers reached 30°C in the shade on the beach and close to that higher up in the trees. The lake is likely very cold in general and being rapidly fed by cold water from the mountain snowpack. The water temperature at the beach is surprisingly warm though. More on that later. One more hot day to go tomorrow and then its supposed to cool down and rain a little, more typical of May weather. Ill try for one more hot day observation tomorrow.$ $In-Ferry-Or Mirage Day 14 - Limited Visibility Skipped #12 and #13 since they were close to the same location but I didnt have a good view of the ferry route. This was on the morning of the first heat wave day. Visibility was poor mostly due to the camera looking directly towards the Sun but that whole side of the lake was in shadow. Besides the general haze and glare off the lake, refraction wise this was pretty consistent. Other cameras revealed slight inferior mirage for the first ferry trip and no obstruction after that. More clear footage to come from this day.$ $Zooming in on Distortion Centimeters Above the Lake Just a warning that this video isnt for everyone (anyone?). You wont get much out of it watching on a cell phone screen. Unfortunately, this is some of my worst visibility footage, but I felt it would still be useful for a little demonstration. I do have better examples of a close inferior mirage hiding many meters of distant land when the camera is lowered, but it will take some work to find them and put something else together. No claims of Earth shape are made in this video. This is simply a demonstration of localized refraction effects and their effects on more distant targets.$ $Layers Refraction is like an onion.$ $Flat Earth - Refraction Gone Wild$ $Slightly Disturbing Refraction Time Lapse - Audiolizer$ $Ferry Rapid Mirage Transition Another long observation with unchanging inferior mirage conditions for the first few hours. Just as my batteries were getting low and the horsefly from hell found me again, I had some interesting mirage effects happening. I tried to track the whole ferry trip but was being attacked so it wasnt my best camera work. I edited out most of the camera movements. Most video is sped up 5x. Do your own analysis on this rapidly changing mirage. Point out parts where you think the ferry is obstructed by water and not mirage. None of the black part (and more) of the ferry should be seen from this height. Unfortunately, I ran out of room on my only memory card that records 4K, so the quality isnt great. Plus it was zoomed into digital a bit. Next time. Basic info for this observation: Approximate camera location; 50°4242.25N , 117°5917.59W (Slightly farther out than last observation since water level dropped.) Camera maximum height: 4 feet or 1.2 meters above water. Looking southeast towards Galena bay ferry terminal 12.6 km distance. Globe geometric horizon from 1.2 meters: 3.9 km (4.2 standard refraction) Far right land point about 6.3 km. Ferry distance ranges from 12.6 km farthest to about 11.5 km closest.$

Comparing Models from Test #4 (12 km observation #7)

$Demonstration of a Close Upward Refracting Gradient$ $InFerryOr Mirage - Sans Ferry Yet another video from observation #11 at Shelter Bay ferry - far side weekend beach. The ferry, that I normally capture travelling to the far dock and back, was docked and being serviced or repaired for the entire 6 hours I was there. I set up my camera looking across about 5 km to the far shore, from a height of about 7-8 inches. This is a continuous time lapse from mid morning to mid afternoon. The camera moved around a few times when I had to reposition the shade umbrella, but the height remained the same throughout. Very hot day but still typical for the few weeks preceding it. Mornings are generally the best time to capture any sort of convex-ish illusions as a result of upward refraction, in my opinion. The expected strong inferior mirage eventually disappears, revealing near perfect flat geometry for a brief moment, before the concave compression sets in for the rest of the observation. Extreme heat distortion accompanies the tiny concave view. This was one of my better transitions, but still hard to compare and analyze, especially without the ferry in view. For that reason, this video makes no claims and contains no subtitles and no sarcastic globe evidence. Just lightly edited observation footage sped up and synced to loud electronic music.$

I H8 Black Swans @heathcarmody2867