Uploaded January 2025 | Updated September 2026, 1 week ago

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Today we answer the age old commander question, how many lands to play in Commander? By referencing pro Magic players using hypergeometric distribution, we find the perfect number of lands you should be playing in your commander decks.

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Sources
How Many Lands Do You Need in Your Deck? An Updated Analysis by Frank Karsten. 2024
channelfireball.com/article/How-Many-Lands-Do-You-Need-in-Your-Deck-An-Updated-Analysis/cd1c1a24-d439-4a8e-b369-b936edb0b38a

How Many Lands Do You Need to Consistently Hit Your Land Drops by Frank Karsten. 2017 (original link is broken, so I used this PDF)
https://orkerhulen.dk/onewebmedia/How%20Many%20Lands%20Do%20You%20Need%20to%20Consistently%20Hit%20Your%20Land%20Drops.pdf

The Deck of Many Things: Card Frequencies, By Type and Function, Across EDH by MtGDS. 2022.
edhrec.com/articles/the-deck-of-many-things-card-frequencies-by-type-and-function-across-edh

Mana in Commander by @samuelhblack 2022.
youtube.com/watch?v=xYxrU5TM5_M
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00:00 - Intro
00:47 - Finding the right ratio for Commander Lands
04:43 - How we cheat lands
06:53 - Finding my perfect number of lands
08:24 - How we design the perfect land base
10:26 - Conclusion