Uploaded August 2026 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago

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Gold's price breakout ended months of range trading as the metal finally cleared a compression pattern it had failed to break below.

Matt Simpson, FOREX.com Market Analyst, breaks down the seasonality, futures positioning, and options signals lining up behind the move.

Simpson looks at why August has historically been gold's standout month in the third quarter, and what net futures positioning among managed funds and large speculators shows. He also covers how options risk reversals are repricing toward call demand, where support sits if gold pulls back to the June point of control, and how a rolling US dollar frames the backdrop.

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0:00 Gold Breaks Its Long Squeeze
1:05 August Tops Gold's Q3 History
1:28 Managed Funds Lift Gold Bets
1:48 Call Demand Overtakes Downside
2:25 Rally Stalls at June's Peak
3:42 Dollar Rolls as Gold Holds Up

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