Uploaded July 2025 | Updated September 2026, 57 minutes ago
Major risk for any Futurist is being judged against own predictions by what actually happened. That's why I always enjoy returning to events 10 years on. At The Logistics World in Mexico in April I reviewed 8 predictions I made a decade ago. How did they stack up? And what next?
Speaking just 4 hours before President Trump was due to announce the new global tariffs for US importers. Core message in April was that the world will continue to turn: market forces have massive power (bond markets / rising government borrowing costs etc as well as nervous stock markets). And by early 2026 most of this will have settled down. Partly due to looming mid-term US elections.
It is already settling down. Dow Jones now way above April 2nd, Mexico (v hard hit with tariff announcements) has stock market way above. UK Footsie 100 way above April. But dollar value has steadily fallen - just what the US government has been seeking, which makes imports more expensive and US exports more competitive.
Major risk for any Futurist is being judged against own predictions by what actually happened. That's why I always enjoy returning to events 10 years on. At The Logistics World in Mexico in April I reviewed 8 predictions I made a decade ago. How did they stack up? And what next?
Speaking just 4 hours before President Trump was due to announce the new global tariffs for US importers. Core message in April was that the world will continue to turn: market forces have massive power (bond markets / rising government borrowing costs etc as well as nervous stock markets). And by early 2026 most of this will have settled down. Partly due to looming mid-term US elections.
It is already settling down. Dow Jones now way above April 2nd, Mexico (v hard hit with tariff announcements) has stock market way above. UK Footsie 100 way above April. But dollar value has steadily fallen - just what the US government has been seeking, which makes imports more expensive and US exports more competitive.
