'Do your own research' and the Dunning-Kruger Effect @potholer54

Uploaded December 2024 | Updated September 2026, 1 week ago

DONATIONS TO CHARITY MATCHED THIS WEEK!!:
I do not ask for contributions. Instead, please support the work of Health in Harmony, which trades forest protections for health care. See my video here: youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU for an explanation of their work.
Donations will be worth double for the next week, and possibly to the end of the month. Please donate here: healthinharmony.org/donate
Health in Harmony also has a live website: healthinharmony.org

CORRECTIONS:
1) Someone posted: "A 10x increase is actually an increase of 900%, not 1000%. Remember that an increase of 100% is 2x."

2) And another example of how my math sucks: "@williamverhoef4349 wrote:
At 9:34: 10/10,000 = 1/1000 = 0.001 = 0.1%"

3) A couple of people pointed out that the spike in Google searches for 'flat Earth' following Lamar's announcement does not mean they all started believing in a flat Earth. i should have said they 'became interested' in a flat Earth.

This video has been re-uploaded for several reasons:
1) I got a lot of 'complaints' that the two Dunning-Kruger effect graphs I used are not in the Kruger and Dunning study. I never said they were, of course, and it should be pretty obvious that these are just drawings designed to illustrate what has become known as the Dunning-Kruger effect. This was in the video description, but a lot of people did not read it.
2) There were a couple of occasions when I wrong attributed principles to the Kruger and Dunning paper, rather than the Kruger-Dunning effect. That was a mistake, which I am now happy to correct in the video. If you don't mind me saying so, that is the difference between research and Do-your-own-research. When you research something and discover it's wrong, you correct yourself, and go with what is correct. When you DYOR, you look for what you believe in and refuse to correct it, even when it turns out to be wrong.
3) The Dunning-Kruger Effect was never in Kruger and Dunning paper, which is why I made the distinction. The former is a principle popularised and inspired by the paper. Again, I made that clear in the video description, but this time it has been spelled out in the video itself.
My apologies to those who had already started discussions in the other comments section. Please continue them here.

SOURCES:

The Kruger and Dunning study can be found here:
researchgate.net/publication/12688660_Unskilled_and_Unaware_of_It_How_Difficulties_in_Recognizing_One's_Own_Incompetence_Lead_to_Inflated_Self-Assessments

My two videos responding to Academic Agent and his Maldives claim can be found here:
youtu.be/7aQqTFGxrmg
youtu.be/41TCWEl-x_g
Also, an interview with Academic Agent, here:
youtu.be/CNt2nbgRTQc

The video showing Jonathan DuHamel's confusion over a scientific paper can be found here:
youtu.be/CcmCBetoR18

My debate with Tony Heller can be found here:
Heller’s opener: youtube.com/watch?v=uE-zY0roNfw
My rebuttal: youtube.com/watch?v=WLjkLPnIPPw
Heller: youtube.com/watch?v=XjdT-NdSoWM
Me: youtube.com/watch?v=weQ-N4iymrQ
Heller: youtube.com/watch?v=XycF0uCuByQ
Me: youtube.com/watch?v=V5fncpSikwk
Heller: (refused to continue)

The DIY sea level rise measurer lives in NC, where more accurate measurements can be seen heer:
deq.nc.gov/2024-north-carolina-sea-level-rise-science-update/open

Do your own research and the Dunning-Kruger Effect

Buddy Daviss Excellent Alaskan Adventure

7. Climate Change - Those e-mails and science censorship

How accurate are scientific predictions about climate?

Fact checking claims about lockdown (and Sweden)

This 4-minute video got climate skeptics very excited (and doesnt say what they think it says!)

$A clean energy solution embraced by both sides of politics The charity I endorse is called Health in Harmony (see my video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU.) It funds hospitals and affordable health care to villages on the edge of a national parks, in return for a pledge not to cut down trees. The pledges are monitored, and the result has been a dramatic decrease in deforestation rates and an increase in the health of the local population. Thanks to your generous contributions so far, amounting to nearly $200,000, the founders are spreading the idea to other countries. See also https://psmag.com/social-justice/save-the-trees-well-save-your-life-46121 for an explanation of their work. You can make a donation by bank transfer here… https://healthinharmony.org/donate/ CORRECTION: 9:32 I said 1.8GW as the storage capacity of the new battery. That should be 1.8GWh. It was in the script, I simply misread it. Earlier, Elon Musk mentioned 100 MW for the Hornsdale battery. This is the output of the battery, not the storage capacity. SOURCES: South Australia 2nd largest uptake of varied renewables: South Australian Dept of Energy South Australias uptake of renewables from World Economic Forum: https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2021/06/renewable-energy-south-australia-climate-change/#:~:text=The%20South%20Australia%20state%20government,60%25%20of%20its%20energy%20needs. Tesla battery response: ABC news report https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ropqVfgsEAo Confirmed by South Australian Dept. of Energy Electricity prices graph: https://indaily.com.au/news/business/2021/05/10/rise-of-sa-renewables-to-deliver-nations-cheapest-wholesale-electricity/ Sundrop Farm: Facts and figures from Sundrop Farm CEO Steve Marafiote You-forgot-to-mention section Oct 29 2021: To those inevitable and predictable you forgot to mention... posts, thanks but I didnt forget to mention anything. So, for example, I didnt forget to mention that South Australia has large unpopulated areas and a small population. Because if I had, I would then have had to mention that the amount of land taken up by wind and solar farms is just a tiny fraction of that. And I would have had to mention that sparsely populated areas often have bigger problems than densely populated ones, because grid infrastructure has to spread over a greater distance for less money. I also didnt forget to mention that South Australia is a desert state, because it isnt. Some of S.A. is desert, some is semi-arid, some gets plenty of rainfall. I also didnt forget to mention that not every country has the kind of sunshine and wind that South Australia does. If I had, then people would have told me I forgot to mention that countries that dont have a lot of sunshine often dont have a lot of wind, and vice-versa. Or that the two largest CO2 producers, China and the USA, have plenty of sunshine and wind. Or that even countries that have neither can still import energy from other countries. I didnt forget to mention that battery and lithium production creates CO2. So does power station and coal production. As more renewable energy is installed, the power needed to make these batteries will increasingly be clean, producing almost no CO2. I didnt forget to mention Scott Morrisons recent commitment to nett zero carbon by 2050. If I had mentioned it, then other posters would have told me I forgot to mention that there is no plan to go with it. And I would have been told that I forgot to mention that there is no change to the governments policy up to 2030. I didnt forget to mention that batteries can catch fire. If I had, someone would have told me I forgot to mention that oil wells also catch fire. So do coal mines. So do power stations and oil refineries. I cant write a list of everything that catches fire. One thing that has not caught fire is the Hornsdale battery. If it ever does, Im sure theyll put the fire out and rebuild it, just as they do with oil wells. I didnt forget to mention that the Business Council of Australia has also just reversed-course on renewable energy and called for a 50% reduction in carbon emissions by 2030 , after saying a few years ago that a 45% reduction would be economy wrecking. Lots of people and institutions are changing their minds, and I dont have time to mention them all. I chose News International because it was the most significant. I didnt forget to mention the fact that birds get killed by wind farms and turbines catch fire. If I had mentioned this, there would have been more posts telling me I forgot to mention that birds also get killed by oil spills. And if you think there are things I forgot to mention in this list, I havent forgotten to mention those either. I cant make this video description 6,000 words long any more than I can make the video 6 hours long. Sorry.$

To support this channel, please donate to this charity

20 - Are cosmic rays causing global warming?