Did People in the White House Place Bets on the Iran War? @OfflinewithJonFavreau
Did People in the White House Place Bets on the Iran War?  @OfflinewithJonFavreau
Uploaded March 2026 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago
Life or death decisions are being gamified for profit on online prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. But these platforms may also have the potential to create a modernized—if morally questionable—method of opinion polling. Politico Magazine contributing writer Nancy Scola joins Offline to explain the rise of these markets, the argument for them, and the people in D.C. who stand to gain the most. But first! Senator Chris Murphy stops by the show to break down the brand new BETS OFF Act, which bans wagering on government actions, terrorism, war, assassination, and events where an individual knows or controls the outcome. He and Jon discuss the bill's prospects for passing, and discuss what happens to us spiritually when every moral question becomes a market.

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CHAPTERS
0:00 - Intro
3:46 - Sen. Chris Murphy
12:06 - ad break
15:51 - Nancy Scola talks prediction markets
26:41 - ad break
29:29 - the war in Iran

Is the internet slowly breaking our brains, and if so, what can we do about it? Offline with Jon Favreau is a place where you can take a break from doom-scrolling and tune in to smarter, lighter conversations about the impact of technology & the internet on our collective culture. Intimate interviews between Pod Save America host Jon Favreau and notable guests like Stephen Colbert, Hasan Piker, ContraPoints, Margaret Atwood, and Megan Rapinoe spark curiosity and introspection around the various ways our extremely online existence shapes everything from the ways we live, work, and interact with one another. Together we’ll figure out how to live happier, healthier lives, both on and offline.

Photos courtesy of AP Photo Archive

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Did People in the White House Place Bets on the Iran War?

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