Dealing With Uncertainty: Scenario Planning for Cybersecurity Decision-Making @FIRSTdotorg
Dealing With Uncertainty: Scenario Planning for Cybersecurity Decision-Making  @FIRSTdotorg
Uploaded June 2026 | Updated September 2026, 5 hours ago
Gert-Jan Bruggink (Venation, NL)

Across nearly 30,000 publications on scenario planning, few are able to bridge theory with practice. This is especially true in cyber threat intelligence. While traditional scenario planning literature emphasizes structured analytical methods, most cyber professionals struggle to even apply these meaningfully amidst their dynamic threat landscape.

This talk flips the script. Drawing from years of scenario-based intelligence work and field lessons learned from Dutch special operations veterans, Gert-Jan Bruggink explores how teams can transform theoretical models into adaptive decision-making systems.

Like navigation in hostile terrain, scenario planning succeeds only when teams acknowledge that “the map is outdated.” In cyber threat intelligence, that means moving away from rigid, logic-based strategies to more dynamic, narrative-driven approaches that can thrive amid uncertainty. And as we know, in cyber threat intelligence there's plenty of that. Attendees will learn how to run their own scenario planning sessions, how to align those conversations across hierarchical stakeholders and how to they can turn uncertainty into business opportunity.

Participants leave with a 7-step practical framework for building and maintaining adaptive scenario exercises. This includes templates, facilitator guidance, and lessons learned from real-world applications at his company Venation.

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Gert-Jan Bruggink helps leaders make smarter decisions about digital risk using scenario-based intelligence and systems thinking. As Founder & CEO of Venation, he pioneers adaptive scenario planning in cybersecurity, translating uncertainty into opportunity. His work bridges theory and practice, guiding organizations to navigate complexity instead of fearing it.
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Dealing With Uncertainty: Scenario Planning for Cybersecurity Decision-Making

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