Uploaded November 2022 | Updated September 2026, 1 hour ago

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COL Multi-Asset Investing Summit: Is 2023 a Year of Opportunity? (Day 1)
Global Outlook
Mark Matthews
Recorded on November 22, 2022

- Introduction [0:00]

- US equities, bonds, and 60/40 portfolio total returns since 1928 [0:40]

- Federal funds rate change by year [3:15]

- M2 money supply vs consumer price inflation [4:05]

- ISM Manufacturing survey prices paid vs consumer price inflation [4:44]

- Citi inflation surprise index vs consumer price inflation [5:05]

- Major inflation outbreaks since 1945 vs current consumer price inflation [5:31]

- Commodities vs services consumer price inflation [5:49]

- Expenditures in consumer price index [6:20]

- US mortgage rates [6:40]

- 4-week moving average of US home sales price [7:26]

- US national rent index [7:47]

- Worldwide central banks net rate hikes [8:24]

- Julius Baer rate hike forecast [9:20]

- Fed "dot plot" median forecast in Dec 2021 vs Sept 2022 [10:14]

- Days to peak in 2-year treasury yield vs end of Fed hiking cycles [11:37]

- 2-year US treasury yield [12:10]

- US dollar index seasonal returns since 2000 and 12-month rolling change [12:35]

- US dollar valuation based on relative purchasing power parity [13:57]

- US dollars vs the MSCI world index [15:32]

- Outlook on the S&P 500 index [16:02]

- Dow Jones industrial average cumulative return per decade since 1900 [19:04]

- NASDAQ 1993-2003 vs Ark Innovation ETF 2013-2023 [19:51]

- Outperforming sectors relative to the S&P 500 [20:59]


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