@jeffhester6874
  @jeffhester6874
Jeff Hester | COVID-19 in Virginia: Get ready for the next outbreak. @jeffhester6874 | Uploaded July 2020 | Updated October 2024, 2 hours ago.
Last week (July 5) I made a presentation to the Virginia chapter of National Educators United about how to make sense of COVID data. In that presentation I predicted that they should expect to see an upturn in reported cases due to infections following the Phase 2 reopening earlier in June.

In this video I look at the current numbers and, unfortunately, find that they confirm my prediction of an upturn. Looking ahead, Virginia entered Phase 3 of their reopening on July 1. In other states that have attempted Phase 3 reopenings infections climbed steeply. California's current spike, for example, is a consequence of their Phase 3 reopening a couple of weeks earlier.

My prediction is that Virginia will continue to see its case numbers rise for the next week or thereabouts, at which point they will see their numbers begin to rise more steeply. This one will probably cross the threshhold of what might be called an outbreak.

I hope I'm wrong. But I don't think that I am. But I've made my prediction. Time will tell.
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COVID-19 in Virginia: Get ready for the next outbreak. @jeffhester6874

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