ClimateAdam | Climate Scientist responds to Sabine Hossenfelder on Climate Sensitivity @ClimateAdam | Uploaded February 2024 | Updated October 2024, 4 hours ago.
How hot will our planet actually get? Climate scientists try to answer this question by evaluating the "climate sensitivity". And if you've watched the recent Sabine Hossenfelder, you may be left with the impression that climate change wasn't much to worry about... but now it is. So I'm here to explain what the evidence is actually showing us, and why the situation is a little more nuanced than Sabine's commentary may have suggested. And crucially I break down how climate scientists arrive at a number for the crucial "climate sensitivity", to give us a sense for how much global warming we're in for.
Support ClimateAdam on patreon: patreon.com/climateadam
Thanks so much for the input from:
Piers Forster twitter.com/piersforster
Kate Marvel twitter.com/drkatemarvel
Zeke Hausfather twitter.com/hausfath
#ClimateChange #globalwarming
twitter: twitter.com/ClimateAdam
instagram: instagram.com/climate_adam
==MORE INFO==
Sabine video: youtube.com/watch?v=4S9sDyooxf4
My video on landmark climate sensitivity paper: youtu.be/7tMAkhQCJ48?si=XxdpXJP2zOA3x4ko
Nature Comment on hot models: nature.com/articles/d41586-022-01192-2
Hot models too hot historically: esd.copernicus.org/articles/11/737/2020/esd-11-737-2020.html
… and for the last “ice age”
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2021MS002776
Explanation of climate sensitivity: carbonbrief.org/explainer-how-scientists-estimate-climate-sensitivity
The epic study on climate sensitivity: agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2019RG000678
Weather forecast to validate model: agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2019MS001986
Associated comment piece: nature.com/articles/d41586-020-01484-5
Why such forecasts tests should be carried out: rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.23
The James Hansen paper: academic.oup.com/oocc/article/3/1/kgad008/7335889
Critiques of it:
twitter.com/hausfath/status/1720098321161957761 (check the replies too)
michaelmann.net/content/comments-new-article-james-hansen
eenews.net/articles/james-hansen-is-back-with-another-dire-climate-warning
washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2023/12/26/global-warming-accelerating-climate-change
Do climate protests work: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/2378023120925949
IEA net zero roadmap: iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/9a698da4-4002-4e53-8ef3-631d8971bf84/NetZeroRoadmap_AGlobalPathwaytoKeepthe1.5CGoalinReach-2023Update.pdf
==CREDITS==
Sabine photo from Sabine Hossenfelder
Ice core clip from The Conversation
Ocean visual and temperature projection from Nasa
Greek floods by Weather events
How hot will our planet actually get? Climate scientists try to answer this question by evaluating the "climate sensitivity". And if you've watched the recent Sabine Hossenfelder, you may be left with the impression that climate change wasn't much to worry about... but now it is. So I'm here to explain what the evidence is actually showing us, and why the situation is a little more nuanced than Sabine's commentary may have suggested. And crucially I break down how climate scientists arrive at a number for the crucial "climate sensitivity", to give us a sense for how much global warming we're in for.
Support ClimateAdam on patreon: patreon.com/climateadam
Thanks so much for the input from:
Piers Forster twitter.com/piersforster
Kate Marvel twitter.com/drkatemarvel
Zeke Hausfather twitter.com/hausfath
#ClimateChange #globalwarming
twitter: twitter.com/ClimateAdam
instagram: instagram.com/climate_adam
==MORE INFO==
Sabine video: youtube.com/watch?v=4S9sDyooxf4
My video on landmark climate sensitivity paper: youtu.be/7tMAkhQCJ48?si=XxdpXJP2zOA3x4ko
Nature Comment on hot models: nature.com/articles/d41586-022-01192-2
Hot models too hot historically: esd.copernicus.org/articles/11/737/2020/esd-11-737-2020.html
… and for the last “ice age”
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2021MS002776
Explanation of climate sensitivity: carbonbrief.org/explainer-how-scientists-estimate-climate-sensitivity
The epic study on climate sensitivity: agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2019RG000678
Weather forecast to validate model: agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2019MS001986
Associated comment piece: nature.com/articles/d41586-020-01484-5
Why such forecasts tests should be carried out: rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.23
The James Hansen paper: academic.oup.com/oocc/article/3/1/kgad008/7335889
Critiques of it:
twitter.com/hausfath/status/1720098321161957761 (check the replies too)
michaelmann.net/content/comments-new-article-james-hansen
eenews.net/articles/james-hansen-is-back-with-another-dire-climate-warning
washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2023/12/26/global-warming-accelerating-climate-change
Do climate protests work: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/2378023120925949
IEA net zero roadmap: iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/9a698da4-4002-4e53-8ef3-631d8971bf84/NetZeroRoadmap_AGlobalPathwaytoKeepthe1.5CGoalinReach-2023Update.pdf
==CREDITS==
Sabine photo from Sabine Hossenfelder
Ice core clip from The Conversation
Ocean visual and temperature projection from Nasa
Greek floods by Weather events
