Uploaded February 2026 | Updated September 2026, 1 hour ago
Wrong assumption of the accuracy of crowd robotaxi counts BUT only 144 out of 200 Waymos counted in Austin with same methods. At least 30% undercounted. Harder to find in the SF Bay Area. Less than 80 Waymos counted in SF Bay Area out of 1000 Waymo claimed.
Tesla has registered and filed paperwork for 1655 robotaxi in December 2025 for SF Bay Area. They must have set aside or are using those cars with license plates. They have filed paper work for 798 drivers for SF Bay Area. There are hundreds of drivers and cars giving employee rides which would not get reported in the counts.
Tesla said 500+ robotaxi in Jan 2026 where lying on the earnings call can get them sued. Evidence supports that there are now 1000+ active robotaxi (~800 SF Bay Area, ~200 Austin and 200+ Employee rides) but count fails like counts huge misses for Waymo. There are 2000+ set aside or active robotaxi. 1655 at least in SF Bay Area, 200-300+ Austin inferred by miscounts, 100-200+ cybercabs in factory.
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Wrong assumption of the accuracy of crowd robotaxi counts BUT only 144 out of 200 Waymos counted in Austin with same methods. At least 30% undercounted. Harder to find in the SF Bay Area. Less than 80 Waymos counted in SF Bay Area out of 1000 Waymo claimed.
Tesla has registered and filed paperwork for 1655 robotaxi in December 2025 for SF Bay Area. They must have set aside or are using those cars with license plates. They have filed paper work for 798 drivers for SF Bay Area. There are hundreds of drivers and cars giving employee rides which would not get reported in the counts.
Tesla said 500+ robotaxi in Jan 2026 where lying on the earnings call can get them sued. Evidence supports that there are now 1000+ active robotaxi (~800 SF Bay Area, ~200 Austin and 200+ Employee rides) but count fails like counts huge misses for Waymo. There are 2000+ set aside or active robotaxi. 1655 at least in SF Bay Area, 200-300+ Austin inferred by miscounts, 100-200+ cybercabs in factory.
Follow Brian Wang on NextBigFuture.com
Follow Brian Wang on X.com/@NextBigFuture
Patreon - Next Big Future
This channel brings you the most important science and technology breakthroughs and analysis at least once per week.
