Graham Hancock and the evidence for his Ancient Apocalypse (Episode one) potholer54 2023-03-04 | SOURCES:2018 Hancock speech:"GRAHAM HANCOCK & 'The Mystery of Gunung Padang' Tralier 2018 - Magicians of the Gods"youtube.com/watch?v=ksjn9KxAeZ42016 interview with Hancock:"20,000 Year Old Pyramid Discovered In Indonesia" studio.youtube.com/channel/UCljE1ODdSF7LS9xx9eWq0GQ/comments/inbox?filter=%5B%5DJoe Rogan interview:youtube.com/watch?v=Rxmw9eizOAo&t=688s1914 report (Oudheidkundig verslag) by Johannes Krom on Gunung Padang (pub by Bataviaasch Genootschap van Kunsten en Wetenschappen.)List of institutes studying Gunung Padang:From ‘PUNDEN BERUNDAK GUNUNG PADANG’ – Budaya et al History of the excavations comes from "Gunung Padang y el megalitismo indo-malayo: Arqueología y pseudoarqueología" - Perez Garcia, 2017University of Indonesia encouraging World Heritage listing for Gunung Padang:ui.ac.id/peneliti-ui-dorong-situs-gunung-padang-jadi-warisan-budaya-duniaArchaeologists criticising amateur desecration of Gunung Padang: thejakartapost.com/news/2014/09/24/archaeologists-slam-excavation-gunung-padang-site.html.Natawidjaja's poster at the 2018 AGU conference:https://www.academia.edu/56106376/Evidences_of_Large_pyramid_like_structure_predating_10_000_Year_BP_at_Mount_Padang_West_Java_Indonesia_Applications_of_geological_geophysical_methods_to_explore_buried_large_archeological_site“Gunung Padang in indeed a man-made pyramid of great antiquity as Dr Natawidjaja had long ago proposed.” grahamhancock.com/gunung-padang-latest-hancockHancock interview with Danny Natawidjaja:- “From Indonesia To Turkey New Archaeological Discoveries Uncover The Mysteries Of A Lost Civilisation”grahamhancock.com/indonesia-to-turkey-hancockHancock has long berated archaeologists for not going along with his belief that Gunung Padang is a manmade pyramid:“neither the archaeologists, nor apparently the locals realized the pyramid was a pyramid,” wrote hancock back in 2014. grahamhancock.com/indonesia-to-turkey-hancockArtefacts supposedly found at the site:indocropcircles.wordpress.com/2014/09/19/misteri-artefak-artefak-di-gunung-padangPaper explaining problems with carbon-dating soils: “Radiocarbon Dating of Soil Organic Matter” – Wang et al. (Quaternary research 1996)cambridge.org/core/journals/quaternary-research/article/abs/radiocarbon-dating-of-soil-organic-matter/ECE40613F87FE143343E5F5BFF53648F Dr. Arthur Saxe’s 1978 investigation of Nan Madol detailed here: members.ancient-origins.net/nan-madolGoodenough study of Nan Madol:anthrosource.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1525/aa.1986.88.3.02a00010The paper detailing drilling and cutting open of the columns, finding coral rather than manmade stone, is here: “Underwater Survey at the Ruins of Nan Madol, Pohnpei State, Federated States of Micronesia” -- Ishimura et al, citing "Nan Madol Archaeological Fieldwork. Final Report." Ayres 1993Temperature data and time periods for Younger Dryas: “Younger Dryas sea level and meltwater pulse1B recorded in Barbados reef crestcoral Acroporapalmata” – Abdul et alThe rate of sea level rise during the Younger Dryas:“Sea Level Rise, After the Ice Melted and Today”By Vivien Gornitz — January 2007More on Younger Dryas sea level rise:giss.nasa.gov/research/briefs/2007_gornitz_09/#:~:text=The%20rate%20of%20sea%20level,may%20have%20been%20much%20less.Hancock says not his job to be “balanced” or “objective”:grahamhancock.com/phorum/read.php?1,421,464DONATIONS: To support this channel, please don't send me money. I prefer people donate to a charity I support (shown at the end of this video, and donations page at the bottom of this text.) It's called Health in Harmony. See my video youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU for details. The charity funds hospitals and affordable health care to villages on the edges of national parks, in return for a pledge not to cut down trees. The pledges are monitored, and the result has been a dramatic decrease in deforestation rates and an increase in the health of the local population. Patients -- mostly from farming families -- can pay for their subsidised treatment with tree saplings or manure. So for them, treatment is essentially free. The manure goes to organic farms that HiH is encouraging, as it teaches local farmers how to farm organically rather than slash-and-burn the forest. As for the tree saplings, HiH volunteers plant these in areas of forest that have been illegally cut. This restores the forest, and HiH receives money for this from people and companies who pay for carbon credits. That money goes towards paying doctors, nurses, dentists, and and keeps the clinics running. See also psmag.com/social-justice/save-the-trees-well-save-your-life-46121 for an explanation of their work. And please donate here: healthinharmony.org/donate-today
Golden Crocoduck nominees 2024 potholer54 2024-10-13 | TO SUPPORT THIS CHANNEL -- PLEASE SUPPORT THIS CHARITY: I do not ask for contributions. Instead, please support the work of Health in Harmony, which trades forest protections for health care. See my video here: youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU for an explanation of their work. Donations can be made here: healthinharmony.org/donate-today Health in Harmony also has a live website: actnow.healthinharmony.org======The Golden Crocoduck is awarded every year for the biggest breach of the 9th Commandment in pursuit of the Creationist cause. Thanks for all the nominations sent in for this year's award. I could not fit them all into one video, so I decided to highlight the following nominees, which includes the winner (to be announced on 28 October 2024.)Tucker Carlson, nominated by @Shtoops youtube.com/watch?v=DfTU5LA_kw8 ... and also by @skepticofthenorth youtube.com/watch?v=0cA17Ob7AkU&t=182s @AustinSmith-pg6vl nominated Jeffrey Tompkins:youtube.com/watch?v=HHfvfgjTLDk@passat18t nominated "This One Thing Will Make You Believe in Noah’s Flood"youtu.be/L3M4LsUeNNI?si=8tbkqLcd2JyQCGZf.and youtube.com/watch?v=L3M4LsUeNNI@totokekedile nominated "Origin of Language: The Truth Revealed and How it is Proof That God Exists": youtube.com/watch?v=HHCk5rLdQ30@MenkoDany nominated "School's biggest lie" by "iamLucid" youtube.com/watch?v=UYmR5eYVmqw@builder_dahomey nominated Mudfossil UniversityHe chose "We now Have Proof of Mudfossils which are Ancient Perfect HUMAN Like Fossil Preservation" (youtube.com/watch?v=DGXc224IZus) ...but I went with another Mudfossil University video nominated by @builder_dahomey:“Dragon Carcass Academic Review Requested” (youtube.com/watch?v=IzFutmf1RNE)
Could this be the stupidest politician in Australia? potholer54 2024-08-31 | TO SUPPORT THIS CHANNEL -- PLEASE SUPPORT THIS CHARITY: I do not ask for contributions. Instead, please support the work of Health in Harmony, which trades forest protections for health care. See my video here: youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU for an explanation of their work. Donations can be made here: healthinharmony.org/donate-today Health in Harmony also has a live website: actnow.healthinharmony.orgCLARIFICATION: One of the comments pointed out that molecules do have weight, and my correction suggested that they don't. Of course they do, but in this context Rennick was referring to CO2 molecules (he wrongly called them 'atoms') colliding with other molecules of N2 and O2, and passing on energy according to Newton's 3rd law. In this case it is not the weight that passes on energy, it is mass. That's what the 'm' stands for in Newton's Third Law. The reason physicists use mass and not weight is that weight varies. In interstellar space weight is effectively zero, and even on Earth weight varies depending on your location. If Rennick had submitted a test paper to my old physics teacher, he would have been marked down for referring to 'weight' and not 'mass' in Newton's Laws of Motion. SOURCES:Rennick video:youtube.com/watch?v=OlgHSqlA-60https://climate.mit.edu/ask-mit/how-do-greenhouse-gases-trap-heat-atmospherehttps://www.ces.fau.edu/nasa/module-2/how-greenhouse-effect-works.php“Qld LNP's Gerard Rennick believes early childhood education a Labor conspiracy”youtube.com/watch?v=6Baclobyu10https://gerardrennick.com.au/scientists-ignore-the-fact-that-gravity-plays-a-role-in-heating-the-earth/'Like' or 'smiliar' to a greenhouse:https://www.ces.fau.edu/nasa/module-2/how-greenhouse-effect-works.php
All the errors and fakery from “Climate: The Movie (The Cold Truth)” that I can fit in. potholer54 2024-08-10 | TO SUPPORT THIS CHANNEL -- PLEASE SUPPORT THIS CHARITY: I do not ask for contributions. Instead, please support the work of Health in Harmony, which trades forest protections for health care. See my video here: youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU for an explanation of their work. Donations can be made here: healthinharmony.org/donate-today Health in Harmony also has a live website: actnow.healthinharmony.orgCORRECTIONS:1) At around 15:00 I give the atmospheric content of CO2 as 32 billion. This is actually our annual contribution. The total is much higher, around 3,290 billion tonnes -- i.e. 3.3 trillion tonnes. 2) At 23:00 I say the rise in CO2 is shown in red. I should have said 'shown in blue.' Temperatures are shown red, CO2 blue.3) The link between CO₂ and global temperature was first published in 1856 by Eunice Newton Foote, not Arrhenius. Arrhenius quantified it.4) Spencer doesn't give a time period for the ‘natural air conditioning system’ he ‘feels' (yes, he does use the word 'feel') it will kick in some time and cool things down again. So I was wrong to say 'soon.' 5) Ljunqvist’s reconstruction was for NH temperatures, so I should not have added in _global_ temperatures and compared them to the medieval Warm Period. It's a shame I didn't spot this mistake sooner (my thanks to bacchusevokution for pointing it out), because the NH temperatures are higher still. SOURCES:If a source is missing, please ask in the comments section and I'll be happy to add it.Climate Change - The Movieyoutube.com/watch?v=zmfRG8-RHEI&tCarl Wunsch e-mail:http://ocean.mit.edu/~cwunsch/papersonline/channel4response Friis-Christensen complaint:web.archive.org/web/20070814011908/http://folk.uio.no/nathan/web/070427_statement.pdfHeat island effect:Transformation of Urban Surfaces and Heat Islands in Nanjing during 1984–2018Li et al DOI:10.3390/su12166521 2020"Assessment of Urban Versus Rural In Situ Surface Temperatures in the Contiguous United States: No Difference Found"Thomas C. Peterson 2003"Climate: large-scale warming is not urban" -- David E Parker DOI: 10.1038/432290a"Urbanization effects in large-scale temperature records, with an emphasis on China"Jones et al 2008Holocene reconstruction:A Reconstruction of Regional and Global Temperature for the Past 11,300 Years Marcott 2013"Celestial driver of Phanerozoic climate?" -- N. Shaviv and J. Veizer, GSA Today, 2003"Cloud Cover Feedback Moderates Fennoscandian Summer Temperature Changes Over the Past 1,000 Years" – Young et al., Geophysical Research Letters 2019CO2 driving warming at the end of the last glaciation: 'Timing of Atmospheric CO2 and Antarctic temperature changes across Termination III' - Caillon et al, 2003 'CO2 climate relationship as deduced from the Vostok ice core' - Barnola et al, 1990 A poster pointed out that a paper 'Earth’s radiative imbalance from the Last Glacial Maximum to the present' by Baggenstos et al (2019) does quantify the contributions of various forcings, and that the loss of albedo (reflectiveness from ice) is a greater contributor to deglaciation than CO2. It could be argued that since the rise in CO2 and greater insolation triggered the melting of ice in the northern hemisphere (where most albedo was lost), CO2 can still be regarded as the main cause. Tricky one that! On one hand, if someone argues that this still makes CO2 the cause, then it remains the primary driver even during ice ages, which constitute just 1% of the Phanerozoic (there's no doubt it's the primary driver for the other 99%.) If, however, one argues that albedo is the main driver, then the fact that the current rise in CO2 is causing a huge loss in albedo should be a major concern.Lindzen's failed prediction:skepticalscience.com/lindzen-illusion-2-lindzen-vs-hansen-1980s.htmlPlease note: Lindzen didn't draw this graph himself, it comes from Skeptical Science based on Lindzen's 'Earth Iris' hypothesis. The text alongside the reconstruction reads: "I want to be explicit that these projections are my interpretation of Lindzen's comments, not Lindzen's own projections.""Observed Trends of Clouds and Precipitation (1983–2009): Implications for Their Cause(s)"– Zhong et al 2020Matthew Wielicki publications and websitematthewwielicki.com/publicationsArticle about Wielicki's retirement:al.com/news/2023/01/professor-says-hes-quitting-university-of-alabama-amid-rise-of-illiberalism-dei-pushes-on-campuses.html\GWPF links to oil money:theguardian.com/environment/2022/may/04/climate-sceptic-thinktank-received-funding-from-fossil-fuel-interestsMy video on correlation between CO2 and global temperatureyoutu.be/FBF6F4Bi6SgMy video on Shaviv and Svensmark's hypothesis:Cosmic rays cause global warmingyoutu.be/vvztL9r47MI
Will Earths magnetic reversal cause catastrophe? (Part 2 of Did the CIA classify...?) potholer54 2024-06-02 | Part one of this video is here:youtu.be/0FtYSzS53C0TO SUPPORT THIS CHANNEL -- PLEASE SUPPORT THIS CHARITY: I do not ask for contributions. Instead, please support the work of Health in Harmony, which trades forest protections for health care. See my video here: youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU for an explanation of their work. Donations can be made here: healthinharmony.org/donate-today Health in Harmony also has a live website: actnow.healthinharmony.orgCORRECTIONS:1) 13:01 – I said ‘kilometers an hour’ instead of ‘miles an hour.’2) As expected, someone corrected my understanding of the torque required to stop the Earth's rotation. The formulaa I used is for a uniform sphere, whereas the Earth has a much denser center and a lighter crust. So the torque would be slightly less than I calculated. But in non-scientific terms, still a shitload.3) Another poster wrote: "The unit of torque is Nm [Newton-meter] not Nm/s."4) @anttibra, a physics teacher from Finland, corrected my calculation. On the basis that he knows better then me, I'm happy to lay it out here. He wrote: Torque is calculated by this equation: M=F x r, where x is vector product. If force is plumb compared to distance of rotating axis, then you can use simple multiplication.Angular momentum is L=J*w, where J=moment of inertia (similar to mass in rotation) and w=angular velocity. Assuming Earth is uniform sphere (it's not, but this is simplified math), then J=2/5*Mr^2=9,721052869650016e37 kgm^2 Since Earth rotate once every 23h 56min 4,10 seconds, then angular velocity w=2*pi/(86164,1 s)=7,292*10^-5 1/s. Now we get Earth's angular momentum L=7,08870359707824214497e33 kgm^2/s. When we want to stop the Earth, we must apply torque over time.delta L=M*delta t, delta t = time we apply torque. If the Earth stops in 10 hours, then delta t= 36000 seconds. M=L/t=7,08870359707824214497e33 kgm^2/s / (36000 s) = 1,96908433252173392916e29 Nm. How much is this? Well, if we apply force on the equator, the required force would be: M=F*r F = M/r = 1,96908433252173392916e29 Nm / (6 378 140 m) = 3,08723912068680513309e22 = 31e21 N = 31 ZN = 31 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 N.Another poster added: "You have this line as part of your corrections: 'Since Earth rotate once every 23h 56min 4,10 seconds, then angular velocity w=2*pi/(86164,1 s)=7,292*10^-5 1/s.' The units are in radians per second, but the unit written have been written as rotations per second (Hz or 1/s). SOURCES:Earth Catastrophe Cycle | Pole ShiftSuspicious0bserversyoutube.com/watch?v=zgJ4zVNe_vkAn overview of Earth’s magnetic fieldgeomag.bgs.ac.uk/education/earthmag.html#_Toc2075556Strength of field falling:ontariobeneathourfeet.com/magnetic-reversalMagnetic field over 9,000 years:universetoday.com/156234/the-rapid-changes-were-seeing-with-the-earths-magnetic-field-dont-mean-the-poles-are-about-to-flip-this-is-normalEquations of inertia;physicsforums.com/threads/force-required-to-stop-a-rotating-disc.553017/#:~:text=a%20rotating%20disc%3F-,The%20formula%20for%20calculating%20the%20force%20required%20to%20stop%20a,takes%20to%20stop%20the%20disc.physics.stackexchange.com/questions/613448/energy-required-to-tilt-earth-s-axis-by-90-degreesuniversetoday.com/156234/the-rapid-changes-were-seeing-with-the-earths-magnetic-field-dont-mean-the-poles-are-about-to-flip-this-is-normalRecurrent ancient geomagnetic field anomalies shed light onfuture evolution of the South Atlantic Anomaly pnas.org/doi/epdf/10.1073/pnas.2200749119The Earth’s magnetic field – an overviewgeomag.bgs.ac.uk/education/earthmag.htmlontariobeneathourfeet.com/magnetic-reversalHow Does A Magnetic Reversal Affect Life On Earth?RapidChangesinStrengthandDirectionofEarth'sMagneticFieldOverthePast100,000Yearsagupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2023GC011236
My discussion with John Robson in full (the one he doesnt want you to see!) potholer54 2024-05-07 | This is a supplement to my video 'Is Arctic ice rebounding? -- How I got CDN to finally issue a correction!' -- youtube.com/watch?v=EmD6t9BYlfI In that video, I referred to a discussion I had with John Robson who runs a channel called CDN. He has since deleted my half of the conversation because he doesn't want you to see it, so I thought it only fair to post the entire discussion so that everyone can read it. Ironically, CDN stands for Climate *Discussion* Network. I will let you be the judge of whether my posts were so rude and 'wrong' that they deserved to be deleted, or whether Robson is afraid of being contradicted or corrected.Some people were asking about the music. You can find it here:youtube.com/watch?v=0iy2nwxTN7g&t=144sThe first is Paul Whiteman and his Orchestra, 'Beautiful Ohio.'The second is Broadway Broadcasters - 'The Birth of the Blues.'
Is Arctic ice rebounding? How I got CDN to finally issue a correction! potholer54 2024-05-05 | UPDATE: Robson has now removed the video, as I suggested, and re-uploaded a corrected version. He does so very begrudgingly, calling it simply a 'revised edition,' with no mention of the error, and even complains about people who pointed out the mistake. He writes: "This revised version corrects one trivial graphic animation production error that an army of trolls attempted to turn into a cause célèbre." People often tell me that the scientific method is flawed, pointing to peer-review and retracted papers as weaknesses. They turn instead to YouTube amateurs like Rosbon. But peer review is fact-checking. Papers are retracted because science endeavours to correct mistakes. Flawed at it is, Robson represents the opposite -- the junk science mode, where nothing is fact-checked and mistakes only get corrected if an "army of trolls" press for corrections. The corrected... sorry, 'revised' version, can be found here: youtube.com/watch?v=zUPASUoozfE(fact-checking) with its emphasis on peer-review fact-checking Robson's attempt to trivialise a very misleading claim, and represent those who pointed out the mistake as "trolls" The 'trivial' mistake was a normal uptick in seasonal ice extent over a few weeks represented as a rise over 20 years. Robson's correction of that error is a step forward, but he is still cherry-picking an individual date and passing it off as a 'trend.' Will 2024 turn out to be SOURCES:John Robson's video can be found here:youtube.com/watch?v=nHn15cQIV0MYou can see our discussion under his pinned statement (but use 'newest' comments not 'top comments' to see it), unless it gets too much attention and he decides to unpin it.Our discussion (which he deleted) can be seen here:youtube.com/watch?v=62UicZXzrSAThe original NSIDC reconstruction can be found here:nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/charctic-interactive-sea-ice-graphNOAA's March and September ice extent anomaly since 1979.arctic.noaa.gov/report-card/report-card-2023/sea-ice-2023NASA's minimum ice extent reconstruction since 1979:climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/arctic-sea-ice/?intent=121TO SUPPORT THIS CHANNEL -- PLEASE SUPPORT THIS CHARITY: I do not ask for contributions. Instead, please support the work of Health in Harmony, which trades forest protections for health care. See my video here: youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU for an explanation of their work. Donations can be made here: healthinharmony.org/donate-today (Please note there appears to be a typo in the URL at the end of the video. Use the URL above to donate.)
Thrown to the wind are wind farms really killing whales? potholer54 2024-02-24 | CORRECTIONS:Not a correction in this case, just a response to a few people who thought there was a correlation between whale deaths and wind farm activity off the New England coast -- a negative correlation. This is where whale deaths go down, but wind farm activity goes up. But no such relationship exists. There is no correlation at all, either positive or negative. That's why I said 'There's no correlation.' I did not mean there's no positive correlation or I would have said so. You scan see the complete lack of correlation very clearly in the graphs shown. And since I am still getting messages from people who think there's a negative correlation, I'll give you the dates. Whale deaths went up from 2015 to 2017 when there was NO wind farm activity at all. That is not a correlation, either positive or negative. There is a negative correlation between 2017 and 2019. Then from 2019 to 2022 there is a decline in whale deaths when we are told there is "lots and lots" of wind activity, but no trend. No trend means no correlation, either positive or negative. So five years of NO correlation and two years of a negative correlation means that for the time period looked at -- 2015 to 2022 -- there was no correlation. TO SUPPORT THIS CHANNEL -- PLEASE SUPPORT THIS CHARITY: I do not ask for contributions. Instead, please support the work of Health in Harmony, which trades forest protections for health care. See my video here: youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU for an explanation of their work. Donations can be made here: healthinharmony.org/donate-today (Please note there appears to be a typo in the URL at the end of the video. Use the URL above to donate.)SOURCES:(Papers are not listed here if the titles and authors are clearly seen in the video.)'Thrown to the Wind' video:youtube.com/watch?v=km78wMHt9d8&t=66sExample of ‘public’public.substack.com/p/fbi-is-purging-christians-conservativesSky news interview with Shellenberger:youtube.com/watch?v=0tKZ3DkaDGwThe Hill interview with Shellenberger, aired Aug. 14, 2023;youtube.com/watch?v=VgF6Wmu6ZbM“Anthropogenic and natural sources of ambient noise in the ocean” John A. Hildebrand 2009Seven wind farms off New England:newhampshirebulletin.com/2022/05/02/new-englanders-support-more-offshore-wind-power-just-dont-send-it-to-new-york-commentaryNOAA whale mortality figures:fisheries.noaa.gov/national/marine-life-distress/2016-2024-humpback-whale-unusual-mortality-event-along-atlantic-coast“ASSESSMENT OF THE EFFECTS OF NOISE AND VIBRATION FROM OFFSHORE WIND FARMS ON MARINE WILDLIFE” – Uni of Liverpoolosti.gov/etdeweb/servlets/purl/20262251Whales may be moving with warmer water:"Decadal-scale phenology and seasonal climate drivers of migratory baleen whales in a rapidly warming marine ecosystem" - Pendleton et al., 2022"Impact of anthropogenic sounds (pile driving, drilling and vessels) on the development of model species involved in marine biofouling" -- Cervello 2023NOAA FAQ saying no evidence of a link:https://www.fisheri es.noaa.gov/new-england-mid-atlantic/marine-life-distress/frequent-questions-off shore-wind-and-whales?fbclid=IwAR2TXmI7xEfF89Cws7dmZJWYxkgnqTfl-nd6Fj3ql0D15bGharPlYOa_Z5cPaper documenting whales avoiding loud noises, cited by BOEM:“An overview of research efforts to understand the effects of underwater sound on cetaceans" -- Shane Guan and Tiffini Brookens A few things to note: Shellenberger's video says that people with links to the wind industry are responsible for all whale necropsies (animal autopsies) along the East coast. I checked this, and it's not correct. The three people in question, Allison Deperte, Sammy Choo and Paul Tonna, do indeed have links to the wind industry and are among more than a dozen members of the Atlantic Marine Conservation Society (AMSC) Board. But they have no involvement in necropsies, that is handled by qualified marine biologists and vets. Neither does the AMCS handle all the necropsies, other organisations are also involved.) I didn’t play the sound of a pile driver because that wasn’t mentioned in Shellenberger’s video, but I did show the figure for how loud it is. Pile driving is easily the noisiest part of wind development. But it can be mitigated by starting the pile driving very softly, so that whales in the area are alerted, and slowly move away if necessary. For a discussion about the costs of wind energy, reliability, energy storage and renewable energy in general, please see my video 'A conservative solution to climate change' and comment there.
The last surviving scientist on Japans atomic bomb program tells his story (Dr. Tatsusaburo Suzuki) potholer54 2024-01-13 | This is a tape-recording of a press conference given by Tatsusaburo Suzuki, the physicist who initiated Japan's atomic bomb program during WWII. He wrote a report in 1940 saying an atomic bomb was feasible, and recommended its construction. He became the army liaison with the research team. He was the only member of the team to speak publicly about the program, and he only did so once, at a press conference in 1995. The only recording of that press conference is on an old cassette tape at the Foreign Correspondents' Club of Japan (FCCJ), so when I was in Tokyo a few years ago I made a digital copy for posterity. I am posting it here, to make it available to scholars, historians and anyone else who wants to research the history of the bomb. The background and summary in this video are based on that press conference, which I attended as a correspondent for New Scientist magazine. But please note an important correction: Suzuki did not, in fact, say that they had succeed in U235-U238 separation 'to a satisfactory degree.' He simply said they did not succeed. I am grateful to a poster, @nickpatella1525, for providing this more accurate transcript from 39:48 on the video: そういう計算なんかは終わっておりました。We had made such calculations. しかしウラン235を分離するということには成功しておりません。However, the separation of Uranium-235 we did not succeed in. これは二つの方法を日本でやりました。In Japan, we did this with two methods. 一つは、thermal diffusion、熱拡散の方法。The first was the method of thermal diffusion. それからもう一つは遠心分離の方法、centrifugal forceを使った方法。The other was the method of centrifugal separation, a method using centrifugal force. で、えぇ、熱拡散の方法につきましては、予備実験は成功しています。And, uh, so with regards to the method of thermal diffusion, we succeeded in preparatory experiments. 予備実験というのは、例えば窒素とか、あるいは二酸化炭素の同位元素を分離する、そういうことには成功しておりますが、ウランの分離には成功しておりません。 What I mean by preparatory experiments is, for example, the separation of nitrogen or carbon dioxide isotopes, we succeeded in such things as that, but we did not succeed in the separation of uranium. Other sources are Japanese historians and sources close to Japanese criminal gangs, as well as books I read while stationed in Japan, including the first edition of 'Japan's Secret War' by Robert Wilcox, 'Kempeitai' by Lamont-Brown (about the Japanese Imperial Army's intelligence force). There is also a book on the Imperial Japanese Navy's intelligence force, the Tokkeitai, but decades after the event I can't remember the title, sorry. The summary and background are not as important as the press conference, where you will hear Suzuki's testimony directly. There is a recent movie about Japan`s atom bomb research called Taiyo no ko (太陽の子.) You'll see the same account of events in a few blogs and videos, but be careful -- the blogs and videos are simply copying their info from the movie, which is largely a work of fiction. There are also reports that Japan set off a test atomic bomb just before the end of the war, but there is very little evidence of that.
Top CO2 facts How much and how little CO2 is plant food. potholer54 2023-12-30 | CORRECTIONS: @8:30 - the right hand bar of the chart is labelled "2008 years ago". That should just be 2008, the year of the research.PLEASE NOTE: The smoke in the photo of the cement plant is NOT CO2 (I know everyone knows that, but some smart-ass in the comments section is going to assume I think it is, or that you think it is. Let's humor them)TO SUPPORT THIS CHANNEL -- PLEASE SUPPORT THIS CHARITY: I do not ask for contributions. Instead, please support the work of Health in Harmony, which trades forest protections for health care. See my video here: youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU Donations can be made here: healthinharmony.org/donate-todaySOURCES:I didn't have the space in this viedo to show evidence that not all the the 'greening' is due to CO2. A lot of it is due to human activity. See here:Hua 2017:"Our results indicate that land use change is the dominant factor driving the long-term changes in vegetation greenness."Greening fastest in the Arctic:Xu et al, Nature Climate change 2013Wrightsone a member of the Cornwall Alliance:desmog.com/gregory-wrightstone“The Positive Externalities of Carbon Dioxide”http://www.co2science.org/education/reports/co2benefits/MonetaryBenefitsofRisingCO2onGlobalFoodProduction.pdf"Response of wild C4 crop progenitors to subambient CO2 highlights a possible role in the origin of agriculture" -- JENNIFER CUNNIFF 2008List of sources for similar table:http://www.co2science.org/data/plant_growth/dry/dry_subject.phpDescription of plant growth data tables:http://www.co2science.org/data/plant_growth/description.phpHeat stress:eos.com/blog/heat-stress-in-plantsHeat stress:eos.com/blog/heat-stress-in-plants/#:~:text=extreme%20heat%20can%20provoke%20oxidative,crops%2C%20resulting%20in%20water%20stress.Heat stress at night:"Field Infrastructure for Phenomics of High Night Air Temperature Stress Tolerance of Rice" -- Quiñones at al 2022"Lack of phosphorus limiting factor in tropical and sub-tropical growth."-- Ellsworth 2022Farmer videos:China drought 9 months agoyoutube.com/watch?v=jXOj5tRUs9oUruguay drought 5 months agoyoutube.com/watch?v=sU2myMT0NjUKenya drought 6 months agoyoutube.com/watch?v=8L0lBrQFklUWSJ drought fuelling inflation:youtube.com/watch?v=ZFo1hhOHDx8&t=76sIndonesia drought 2 months ago:youtube.com/watch?v=nXxEsiQo7ts&t=57sSpain avocado 6 months ago:youtube.com/watch?v=5hSzj3pjNRMBC 3 months agoyoutube.com/watch?v=AiS3eKcg2WM&t=71sAlberta 5 months agoyoutube.com/watch?v=M1bxJHwxhmc&t=63sMid west 4 months agoyoutube.com/watch?v=pEWjHBMLcsYMinnesota 5 months agoyoutube.com/watch?v=RTG1W1hJNjM&t=63sPanama canal 2 weeks agoyoutube.com/watch?v=Orwrgf8D5tY&t=69sSpain Cava 4 months agoyoutube.com/watch?v=RjicmMG3qgs&t=32sItaly 1 year agoyoutube.com/watch?v=0nt_wCXhd9g&t=56sMidwest 3 months agoyoutube.com/watch?v=-txx2tQqp0g&t=36sDrought on the rhine 1 year agoAgricultural land increased from 38 to 48 million sq kms:"Novel Materials for Urban Farming" -- October 2021DOI:10.1002/adma.202105009Jerejeva 2014 - sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0921818113002750?via%3DihubJerejeva reconstruction -- psmsl.org/products/reconstructions/jevrejevaetal2008.phpHolocene reconstruction from:http://www.climateplus.info/tag/holoceneGreenland aggregate temperatures from Zeke Hausfather:carbonbrief.org/factcheck-what-greenland-ice-cores-say-about-past-and-present-climate-changePast temperature: i0.wp.com/gergs.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/All_palaeotemps_rev9.png?ssl=1ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/icecore/greenland/summit/gisp2/isotopes/gisp2_temp_accum_alley2000.txtTemp graph from NASAearthobservatory.nasa.gov/world-of-change/global-temperatures
Was the climate better during the age of the dinosaurs? (More climate “facts” bite the dust.) potholer54 2023-12-16 | DONATIONS: To support this channel, please don't send me money. I prefer people donate to a charity I support called Health in Harmony. See my video youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU for details. The charity funds hospitals and affordable health care to villages on the edges of national parks, in return for a pledge not to cut down trees. The pledges are monitored, and the result has been a dramatic decrease in deforestation rates and an increase in the health of the local population. Patients -- mostly from farming families -- can pay for their subsidised treatment with tree saplings or manure. So for them, treatment is essentially free. The manure goes to organic farms that HiH is encouraging, as it teaches local farmers how to farm organically rather than slash-and-burn the forest. As for the tree saplings, HiH volunteers plant these in areas of forest that have been illegally cut. This restores the forest, and HiH receives money for this from people and companies who pay for carbon credits. That money goes towards paying doctors, nurses, dentists, and and keeps the clinics running. See also psmag.com/social-justice/save-the-trees-well-save-your-life-46121 for an explanation of their work. And please donate here: healthinharmony.org/donate-todayPLEASE NOTE: 1) The smoke you see in the photo of a cement plant is not CO2 (obviously.) The CO2 in the photo is invisible. 2) “Taking the mickey” means to make fun or treat someone like an idiot. SOURCESIvor Cummins videoyoutube.com/watch?v=wnjozntXnZ4&t=906sCO2 coalitionthefatemperor.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/25-Top-Climate-FACTS-CO2-from-Co2Coalition.org-resource.pdfLibrary of Congress showing link between CO2 Coalition and George C. Marshall Inst.loc.gov/item/lcwaN0002405Marshall admission of funding by Exxon:http://web.archive.org/web/20020913050409/http://www.marshall.org/funding.htmExxon annual donations:web.archive.org/web/20150907045825/http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/orgfactsheet.php?id=36CO2 at 180ppm acc Coalition:co2coalition.org/facts/dangerously-low-co2-last-four-glacial-advances(Taken from Historical Carbon Dioxide Record from the Vostok Ice Core (417,160 - 2,342 years BP – Barnola 2003))Pleistoicene CO2 below 180ppm:thefosterlab.org/mptCO2 levels during Permian from:“CO2-Forced Climate and Vegetation Instability During Late Paleozoic Deglaciation” -- Montañez et al, 2006 CO2 levels during PermianThe Siberian Traps and the End-Permian mass extinction: A critical review – Saunders et al 2009researchgate.net/figure/Estimated-atmospheric-carbon-dioxide-levels-during-the-Permian-shown-as-parts-per_fig5_225378751“could increase it to more than 2000 parts per million by volume (ppmv) as accessible fossil fuel reservoirs are exhausted (3).”“CO2-Forced Climate and Vegetation Instability During Late Paleozoic Deglaciation” -- Montañez, 2007“15 Pa (below Pleistocene minimum), 27 Pa (pre-industrial), 35 Pa (current) and 70 Pa (predicted future). After 35 days of growth, CO 2 had no effect on the relative growth rate, total biomass or partitioning of biomass in the C 4 species. However, the C 3 species had greater biomass accumulation with increasing CO 2 partial pressure.”“Strain Effects of low and elevated CO 2 on C 3 and C 4 annuals”Oecologia (1995) Dippery et al. At a concentration of about 150 ppm or less, many plants die of CO2 starvation.co2coalition.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/Carbon-Dioxide-Benefits-the-World-2.pdf “Effects of low and elevated CO 2 on C 3 and C 4 annuals I1. Photosynthesis and leaf biochemistry” – Tissue et al 1995“Plant responses to low [CO2] of the past”Gerhart and ward 2010nph.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/j.1469-8137.2010.03441.xJurassic map from:“A new marattiaceous fern from the Lower Jurassic of Patagonia (Argentina): The renaissance of Marattiopsis”Escapa et al. 2014“Palaeo-wildfires in the Late Jurassic (Kimmeridgian) of Western and Central Europe – Palaeoclimatic and palaeoenvironmental significance”-- Palaeobiodiversity and Palaeoenvironments Dieter Uhl 2012Oxygen levels Berner et al., 2007 http://www.sciencemag.org /content/316/5824/557.summarySolar luminocity reconstruction:environmental-geology-dev.pressbooks.tru.ca/chapter/changes-in-solar-output-and-in-the-earths-atmosphereCarboniferous map:“Carboniferous macrofloral biostratigraphy: an overview” Oplustil et al 2021Publication: Geological Society, London, Special PublicationsOxygen levels from:“Oxygen and Evolution” – Berner et al. 2007science.org/doi/abs/10.1126/science.1140273See also:Late Triassic and Early Jurassic palaeogeography of the world Jan Golonka - 2007Jurassic deserts:"Earliest Jurassic U-Pb ages from carbonate deposits in the Navajo Sandstone, southeastern Utah, USA" - Parrish 2019
Call for Golden Crocoduck nominees potholer54 2023-12-15 | Please post your nominee for the 2024 Golden Crocoduck Award in the comments section.
2023 Golden Crocoduck award ceremony and WINNER!! potholer54 2023-10-28 | CORRECTIONS: Yes, you did hear me say 2013 at the beginning. I meant, of course, 2023. SOURCES:The video on surfing monkeys and the dinosaur peninsular was at youtube.com/watch?v=8JA9X3ADdjU but now seems to have disappeared. The only part that remains is one minute at the end: youtube.com/watch?v=xVj9hdahg7w Perhaps some kind soul could let me know if it has been mirrored, and I’ll add the new link. The claim about surfing monkeys can still be found on his other videos, e.g.: youtube.com/watch?v=_EbQ5LfgXKk youtube.com/watch?v=TBPt-xYG_hk For individual videos of nominees, please see my Golden Crocoduck nominees playlist.Answers in Genesis explains log rafts:answersingenesis.org/the-flood/global/floating-log-raftsCreation Ministries International explains log rafts:creation.com/flood-biogeographyDinosaur site in Montana explained here:https://serc.carleton.edu/research_education/mt_geoheritage/sites/augusta_choteau/paleontology.htmlInterview with Horner:philanthropyroundtable.org/magazine/winter-2015-the-dinosaur-discovererHot gases may have killed dinosaurs:https://scholarworks.umt.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1109&context=montananTom Clarey article:icr.org/article/8531Second article by ICR proposing Dinosaur Peninsular:icr.org/article/solving-missing-tropical-dinosaursMaiasura nesting site:eartharchives.org/articles/caring-mother-dinosaur-might-not-have-been-so-caring-after-all/index.htmlMega-rafts transporting animals:https://www.abc.net.au/news/science/2017-09-29/japan-tsunami-rubbish-rafting-invasive-species/8987708royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/abs/10.1098/rsif.2011.0788
Can dinosaur blood cells survive? More Golden Crocoduck nominees. potholer54 2023-10-07 | CORRECTIONS AND CLARIFICATIONS: I mentioned that the soft tissue in Mary Schweitzer's free iron experiment was 'identical' to the conditions found inside a dinosaur bone. Of course they weren't 'identical' in every sense, because one was inside a bone and the other was inside a test tube. I meant identical in terms of the amount of free iron, which is what the experiment was testing.SOURCES:James Tour Video:youtube.com/watch?v=P8lVlAhdedQFurther reading to follow the ins and outs of the 'blood cell' saga:http://rspb.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/284/1855/20170544http://rspb.royalsocietypublishing.or... https://www.nature.com/articles/s4159...Michael Behe on the mousetrap:youtube.com/watch?v=VLlJXn0XOFg&list=PLR8eQzfCOiS2h6bO0dPkJn504dozh4Xmo&index=2Michael Behe on the outboardyoutube.com/watch?v=0cN-aIXNQrc
Creationists dont understand the Big Bang (More Golden Crocoduck nominees) potholer54 2023-10-01 | CORRECTIONS: 1) Thanks to those who pointed out that Father O'Reilly is referencing the 10 Commandments according to Catholic doctrine. Catholic Commandments are numbered differently to Protestant ones, and both are different to the Jewish Commandments.2) I said: Referring to a black hole, I said: "Even light can't overcome gravity and escape." I should have said: "Even light _gets trapped by the intense warping of space caused by gravity."_ CORRECTION/CLARIFICATION: A number of people have criticised my representation of singularity, as if it were a real thing rather than a mathematical concept. Others say the idea of singularity has gone out of favor among cosmologists. As I said in the video, I'm not trying to give a full-on physics lecture here, just rebutting the creationist idea that the universe came from 'nothing' or that there were 'particles' inside singularity that 'exploded.' I rebutted both ideas by explaining that the universe did not come from 'nothing', it came from 'something' -- singularity. No, that does not mean singularity is a 'solid object' as someone thought I was saying. It just means it was not nothing. Even a mathematical concept where the laws of physics break down is still 'something.' I also explained that there were no particles in the center of singularity because singularity had no center. It was an infinitely dense point with no space and no time. I do appreciate that the concept of singularity is flawed, because although this is what the mathematics shows (in theory) researchers still don't have the physics to explain it. But although it's out of favor, I have visited numerous university websites, and they still use the singularity model. I also read several physics discussion sites, which all agree that the idea of singularity needs to be refined; but they can't agree how. The best comment I saw was from Paul Matt Sutter, an astrophysicist with Ohio State University, who said: "A singularity is a place of infinite density, and that's not really a thing." Who was Anne? She was the mother of Mary (you know, as in The Virgin Mary.) The 'immaculate conception' was not the conception of Jesus but the conception of Mary. i.e. born 'without sin.' Please don't blame me, I didn't make it up. But if I was a Christian, I would wonder why we can't all be born that way. Too much trouble? Physics students are bound to say 'You forgot to mention..." because I've only given the basics here, this isn't a physics course. The information is accurate (except for any corrections you'll see below), but I have kept it simple. So yes, there was deuterium -- a neutron and a proton -- after the Big Bang. And protons on their own, which are hydrogen ions. A lot of the early atoms wouldn't have had electrons. Also, I gave a very scant explanation on why light can't escape a black hole. This is also a huge area of physics that I won't go into. Gravity warps space, and light follows space. If space is warped tightly, as in a black hole, light follows this curvature. Another way of looking at it, from the Newtonian point of view, is that a black hole is so dense that the escape velocity is greater than the speed of light. I suggest that undergraduates shouldn't use this video to revise for physics exams, it's a basic guide in order to understand why creationists got it wrong. There are plenty of good websites explaining these things at undergraduate level.
How evolution can make an eye (Nominees for the 2023 Golden Crocoduck award) potholer54 2023-09-16 | This is the first of three videos introducing nominees for the revived Golden Crocoduck award, for the biggest breach of the 9th Commandment in pursuit of the creationist cause. But oh dear, I seem to have upset Kyle, the second nominee. He now wants to claim his video was an "inside joke," whatever that means. You'll find his retraction here: youtube.com/watch?v=iylS4oIhALo&t=276s At the same time, he posts a lot of other nonsense claims which, I'm guessing he will also claim are an 'inside joke.' In addition to claiming he was joking, Kyle says he took the video down a year ago (September 2022.) This isn't true, because I received his nomination in October 22, and later downloaded it. Unfortunately, taking a video down does not disqualify the nomination. The Golden Crocoduck award has been revived by popular demand. But instead of one video a month throughout the year, there will be three nominee videos in the lead-up to the award ceremony on October 28. And instead of a public vote, which used to be the norm, I will decide the winner myself. The downsized award is because of increased work commitments, which I announced a few years back when the GC award was suspended. DONATIONS TO CHARITY: To support this channel, please don't send me money. I prefer people donate to a charity I support called Health in Harmony. See my video youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU for details. The charity funds hospitals and affordable health care to villages on the edges of national parks, in return for a pledge not to cut down trees. The pledges are monitored, and the result has been a dramatic decrease in deforestation rates and an increase in the health of the local population. Patients -- mostly from farming families -- can pay for their subsidised treatment with tree saplings or manure. So for them, treatment is essentially free. The manure goes to organic farms that HiH is encouraging, as it teaches local farmers how to farm organically rather than slash-and-burn the forest. As for the tree saplings, HiH volunteers plant these in areas of forest that have been illegally cut. This restores the forest, and HiH receives money for this from people and companies who pay for carbon credits. That money goes towards paying doctors, nurses, dentists, and and keeps the clinics running. See also psmag.com/social-justice/save-the-trees-well-save-your-life-46121 for an explanation of their work. And please donate here: healthinharmony.org/donate-today
Where environmentalists get it wrong (ALL OPINION) potholer54 2023-08-20 | CORRECTIONS/CLARIFICATIONS: @Devilot109 pointed out that JSO did not "attempt to vandalize paintings" because they acted specifically on paintings protected by glass. So the paintings were undamaged.The environmental movement has helped shape awareness and change in some hugely important issues, from food contamination to lead poisoning to climate change. But sometimes passion and energy override pragmatism and common sense. Here are a couple of examples, and appeal to follow the science, not the heart.This video is OPINION. Since so many people misunderstand the difference, an opinion should be based on facts, but it is not itself a fact. You can disagree with an opinion (and please feel free to do so) but you cannot claim that an opinion in right or wrong, correct or incorrect. You cannot overturn a fact with persuasive arguments, but you can overturn an opinion with persuasive arguments -- so I look forward to that.CORRECTION: I said the Rainbow Warrior was 'placed' on the sea bed and turned into a reef three years after the Brent Spar (i.e. 1998.) In fact, this dumping/placing, happened in 1987.DONATIONS: To support this channel, please don't send me money. I prefer people donate to a charity I support called Health in Harmony. See my video youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU for details. The charity funds hospitals and affordable health care to villages on the edges of national parks, in return for a pledge not to cut down trees. The pledges are monitored, and the result has been a dramatic decrease in deforestation rates and an increase in the health of the local population. Patients -- mostly from farming families -- can pay for their subsidised treatment with tree saplings or manure. So for them, treatment is essentially free. The manure goes to organic farms that HiH is encouraging, as it teaches local farmers how to farm organically rather than slash-and-burn the forest. As for the tree saplings, HiH volunteers plant these in areas of forest that have been illegally cut. This restores the forest, and HiH receives money for this from people and companies who pay for carbon credits. That money goes towards paying doctors, nurses, dentists, and and keeps the clinics running. See also psmag.com/social-justice/save-the-trees-well-save-your-life-46121 for an explanation of their work. And please donate here: healthinharmony.org/donate-today
Did the CIA classify a global catastrophe document? (Corrected and updated) potholer54 2023-08-01 | It's had millions of hits -- A claim that the CIA classified a document that predicted a global cataclysm and the end of civilization. But what was the document? Was it classified, and if so why? What's the science behind it? As always, it's the result of blogosphere hype, ignorance, and a failure to properly research the facts. Sources are below.CLARIFICATION: Someone thought the photo of SuspiciousObservers and The Why Files at around 22:00 implied criticism of The Why Files channel, or an assumption that it is a conspiracy channel. The photo comes at the point where I say: "You don’t have to have come top of the class to debunk this blogosphere claptrap. Anyone can do it." SuspiciousObservers represents the blogosphere claptrap, as was already clearly shown in my video, and I introduce The Why Files guy as an example of "anyone can debunk it." Sorry if that wasn't clear. Please feel free to fact-check this video, and I'll add any corrections here. Be sure to quote my mistake verbatim, put quotation marks around it, and let me know what I got wrong. Thanks. DONATIONS: To support this channel, please don't send me money. I prefer people donate to a charity I support called Health in Harmony. See my video youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU for details. The charity funds hospitals and affordable health care to villages on the edges of national parks, in return for a pledge not to cut down trees. The pledges are monitored, and the result has been a dramatic decrease in deforestation rates and an increase in the health of the local population. Patients -- mostly from farming families -- can pay for their subsidised treatment with tree saplings or manure. So for them, treatment is essentially free. The manure goes to organic farms that HiH is encouraging, as it teaches local farmers how to farm organically rather than slash-and-burn the forest. As for the tree saplings, HiH volunteers plant these in areas of forest that have been illegally cut. This restores the forest, and HiH receives money for this from people and companies who pay for carbon credits. That money goes towards paying doctors, nurses, dentists, and and keeps the clinics running. See also psmag.com/social-justice/save-the-trees-well-save-your-life-46121 for an explanation of their work. And please donate here: healthinharmony.org/donate-todaySOURCES:Suspicious Observers video (Ben Davidson):youtu.be/B_zfMyzXqfl(NOTE: I now get a message saying this video is not available any more.)Conspiracy website claiming 'only' 57 pages:secretprojects.co.uk/threads/foia-strange-stuff-at-cia-the-story-of-adam-and-eve.31574Joe Rogan Experience interview:youtube.com/shorts/h5y6tWbTDwo?feature=shareDaily Mail story from April 2019:dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6947201/Jesus-scholar-lived-India-book-classified-CIA-claims.htmlConspiracy forum from 2019:reddit.com/r/conspiracy/comments/af1rw1/what_happened_to_chan_thomas1993 edition of The Adam and Eve Story:drive.google.com/file/d/16pTXGU-nMP7e91K1_yeknFmlJiSntERc/view?fbclid=IwAR1Q2gj40Tdq0qatEhCc1ZzBPYoRxIc0ZtvROuMvmA2_yH8dkMtCG7bU9bgPapers on Emi Koussi:sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0377027303002774 researchgate.net/publication/355934928_Holocene_high-altitude_vegetation_dynamics_on_Emi_Koussi_Tibesti_Mountains_Chad_Central_Saharasciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0921818110001025?via%3Dihub
This 4-minute video got climate skeptics very excited (and doesnt say what they think it says!) potholer54 2023-06-03 | CORRECTIONS: 1) At 5:22 the reconstruction of Greenland temperatures goes up to 2018, not 2000.Ivor Cummins video:youtube.com/watch?v=LmmmgiPha_Y&t=17sThis is the 'source' of Ivor Cummins's video -- another vlogger: youtube.com/watch?v=L1mjG_F8ppw&t=0sSome of the videos which showed the clip, cited in my video: youtube.com/watch?v=WE0zHZPQJzAhttps://newtube.app/user/RAOB/houfEIEExcellent video by Greenman, with Steffensen interview:youtube.com/watch?v=yDNYGQP10UsPaper showing 'delicate' climate:"High-resolution Greenland ice core data show abrupt climate change happens in few years.Steffensen et al, 2008.https://www.academia.edu/video/jynYN1?email_video_card=watch-video&pls=FAAVP&fbclid=IwAR2mgBAN75gPftPZYsJ1h5waz-FeqnoJ6T8UxMB1oonAZMAQbVrs48uOdE0Tony Heller blog:stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2015/11/18/greenland-was-much-warmer-in-the-pastMore recent IV with Steffensen:youtube.com/watch?v=aIuf7tKL92oAdding post-1950 temps to Greenland reconstruction: https://mathsnilsson.se/2019/05/Definition of "Before Present"chemeurope.com/en/encyclopedia/Before_Present.htmlSteffensen speaking to crowd:facebook.com/watch?v=233318887150553The other paper shown in the video is:"High-resolution record of Northern Hemisphere climate extending into the last interglacial period"Jørgen Peder SteffensenAll the studies I cite are shown in the video, along with titles and authors. All are freely available on Google Scholar.DONATIONS: To support this channel, please don't send me money. I prefer people donate to a charity I support called Health in Harmony. See my video youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU for details. The charity funds hospitals and affordable health care to villages on the edges of national parks, in return for a pledge not to cut down trees. The pledges are monitored, and the result has been a dramatic decrease in deforestation rates and an increase in the health of the local population. Patients -- mostly from farming families -- can pay for their subsidised treatment with tree saplings or manure. So for them, treatment is essentially free. The manure goes to organic farms that HiH is encouraging, as it teaches local farmers how to farm organically rather than slash-and-burn the forest. As for the tree saplings, HiH volunteers plant these in areas of forest that have been illegally cut. This restores the forest, and HiH receives money for this from people and companies who pay for carbon credits. That money goes towards paying doctors, nurses, dentists, and and keeps the clinics running. See also psmag.com/social-justice/save-the-trees-well-save-your-life-46121 for an explanation of their work. And please donate here: healthinharmony.org/donate-today
More debunking of Graham Hancocks Ancient Apocalypse (Ep 5: Gobekli Tepe) potholer54 2023-04-08 | Fans of Graham Hancock have been invited to correct any errors in this video. After I spent 40 minutes showing all the fabrications and omissions in the first episode, not one Hancock fan disagreed. Instead, most of the replies I got were "Whatabout...." I don't have the time or energy to debunk every single episode in the series. I started with episode one for obvious reasons, and in response to the most popular 'whatabout' I tackle episode five in this video. I would hope that after being shown all the fabrications in episode one and episode five, fans of the series will be able to fact-check and root out the fabrications and omissions in the other episodes also. I'm not that smart, which means it's not that hard."Ancient Apocalypse" is available on Netflix, but to save you the trouble, I've shown the entire transcript here in this video. You can get transcripts from: tvshowtranscripts.ourboard.org/viewforum.php?f=1598My previous video, covering episode one, is at:youtube.com/watch?v=zU-wQVAqQnk&t=576sAll the studies I cite are shown in the video, along with titles and authors. All are freely available on Google Scholar.DONATIONS: To support this channel, please don't send me money. I prefer people donate to a charity I support called Health in Harmony. See my video youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU for details. The charity funds hospitals and affordable health care to villages on the edges of national parks, in return for a pledge not to cut down trees. The pledges are monitored, and the result has been a dramatic decrease in deforestation rates and an increase in the health of the local population. Patients -- mostly from farming families -- can pay for their subsidised treatment with tree saplings or manure. So for them, treatment is essentially free. The manure goes to organic farms that HiH is encouraging, as it teaches local farmers how to farm organically rather than slash-and-burn the forest. As for the tree saplings, HiH volunteers plant these in areas of forest that have been illegally cut. This restores the forest, and HiH receives money for this from people and companies who pay for carbon credits. That money goes towards paying doctors, nurses, dentists, and and keeps the clinics running. See also psmag.com/social-justice/save-the-trees-well-save-your-life-46121 for an explanation of their work. And please donate here: healthinharmony.org/donate-today
Geology of the battlefield How rocks changed history. potholer54 2023-01-08 | This is a video I made 12 years ago, which a production company I had worked with tried to sell to TV networks. It never got taken up, so I'm posting it here as it gathers dust in my office. It looks at how geology from millions of years ago unwittingly affected the outcome of important battles -- in this case, the Battle of Flodden. I have been busy with assignments recently, so I am posting this while you all wait for my next video.
How did rocks become knobbly and bumpy? – a basic geology guide. potholer54 2022-11-26 | I am a former geologist turned science journalist, and this video explains the things that used to mystify me when I first became a geology student -- How mud, sand and silt that lay dozily on the sea bed, could rise up and create the extraordinary landforms we see all around us. Sorry there are no references in this video, as is usual with my videos. That's because most of this is pretty basic textbook stuff. If I've made any mistakes, please do send in corrections, which I'll list here.CORRECTIONS:15:56 -- I said "calcium carbonate is a strong alkali". One poster pointed out that it is a 'moderately strong alkali.' Concentration is dependent on the chemical's dissociation constant, Ka. The poster writes: "CaCO3 has a pKa of 9, it would need to be at least 14 to be considered strong."DONATIONS: To support this channel, please don't send me money. I prefer people donate to a charity I support (shown at the end of this video, and donations page at the bottom of this text.) It's called Health in Harmony. See my video youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU for details. The charity funds hospitals and affordable health care to villages on the edges of national parks, in return for a pledge not to cut down trees. The pledges are monitored, and the result has been a dramatic decrease in deforestation rates and an increase in the health of the local population. Patients -- mostly from farming families -- can pay for their subsidised treatment with tree saplings or manure. So for them, treatment is essentially free. The manure goes to organic farms that HiH is encouraging, as it teaches local farmers how to farm organically rather than slash-and-burn the forest. As for the tree saplings, HiH volunteers plant these in areas of forest that have been illegally cut. This restores the forest, and HiH receives money for this from people and companies who pay for carbon credits. That money goes towards paying doctors, nurses, dentists, and and keeps the clinics running. Independent studies have shown that HiH's operations in Borneo have increased the health of the population, improved agriculture and reduced illegal logging. replanted areas of the forest have brought back ecosystems and animals that had suffered from deforestation. But more money is always needed, to keep the hospitals going and to expand into new areas. Thanks to your generous contributions, the HiH founders are spreading the idea to other parts of the world. See also psmag.com/social-justice/save-the-trees-well-save-your-life-46121 for an explanation of their work. And please donate here: healthinharmony.org/donate-todayMONETISATION: I monetised the channel last year and tried to make Health in Harmony the beneficiary of ad revenue. Unfortunately, after a month of red tape, we discovered this couldn't be done because the charity's address is different to the registered address of this channel. So I have switched off monetisation for my videos, preferring not to have annoying ads. I don't want to be the beneficiary of ad revenue and have my motives compromised. However, as an experiment I am monetising this video, to see how the system works, and how much money can be made. I'll transfer the proceeds directly to HiH. We'll see how it goes, but please keep your personal donations to HiH going -- many thanks.
Announcement about the (coveted) Golden Crocoduck potholer54 2022-10-28 | To support this channel, please don't send me money. I prefer people donate to a charity I support (shown at the end of this video, and donations page at the bottom of this text.) It's called Health in Harmony. See my video youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU for details. The charity funds hospitals and affordable health care to villages on the edges of national parks, in return for a pledge not to cut down trees. The pledges are monitored, and the result has been a dramatic decrease in deforestation rates and an increase in the health of the local population. Patients -- mostly from farming families -- can pay for their subsidised treatment with tree saplings or manure. So for them, treatment is essentially free. The manure goes to organic farms that HiH is encouraging, as it teaches local farmers how to farm organically rather than slash-and-burn the forest. As for the tree saplings, HiH volunteers plant these in areas of forest that have been illegally cut. This restores the forest, and HiH receives money for this from people and companies who pay for carbon credits. That money goes towards paying doctors, nurses, dentists, and and keeps the clinics running. Independent studies have shown that HiH's operations in Borneo have increased the health of the population, improved agriculture and reduced illegal logging. replanted areas of the forest have brought back ecosystems and animals that had suffered from deforestation. But more money is always needed, to keep the hospitals going and to expand into new areas. Thanks to your generous contributions, the HiH founders are spreading the idea to other parts of the world. See also psmag.com/social-justice/save-the-trees-well-save-your-life-46121 for an explanation of their work. And please donate here: healthinharmony.org/donate-today
What the new “Climate Declaration” doesnt tell us (nudge nudge, wink wink) potholer54 2022-10-08 | (Sources are below.) To support this channel, please don't send me money. I prefer people donate to a charity I support. It's called Health in Harmony (see my video youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU.) It funds hospitals and affordable health care to villages on the edges of national parks, in return for a pledge not to cut down trees. The pledges are monitored, and the result has been a dramatic decrease in deforestation rates and an increase in the health of the local population. Thanks to your generous contributions, the founders are spreading the idea to other countries. See also psmag.com/social-justice/save-the-trees-well-save-your-life-46121 for an explanation of their work. Donate here: healthinharmony.org/donate-todayCORRECTIONS:AT 8:58 I should not have said the graph correlates 'very well with changes in global temperature,' I should have said it correlates very well with that change in temperature, since I was talking about the end of the Little Ice Age. Or I could have said it correlates very well with the Maunder minimum and the Little Ice Age. Other changes in global temperature are not shown on the graph. SOURCES:Video of guy in suit:rumble.com/v1i9hkf-scientists-theres-no-climate-emergency-european-farmers-grapple-with-record.htmlClimate Declaration:clintel.org/world-climate-declarationFunding of Clintel:https://www.bnnvara.nl/joop/artikelen/vastgoedmiljonair-financiert-twijfelcampagne-tegen-klimaatmaatregelenandhttps://www.ftm.nl/artikelen/clintel-klimaatsceptici-fossiele-industrie?share=LleeUBQMTz%2BqmTJOcB%2BZ7ZHgT0lneuFicjyB%2B0CfRSokaSMCsCre3PDUeHDhxw%3D%3DTemperature prediction graphs at:carbonbrief.org/analysis-how-well-have-climate-models-projected-global-warmingnasa.gov/feature/goddard/2016/carbon-dioxide-fertilization-greening-earthEvidence that storms are getting strongerpnas.org/doi/abs/10.1073/pnas.2007742117
Do volcanoes produce more CO2 than human activity? a look at Ian Plimers claim. potholer54 2022-08-14 | To support this channel, please don't send me money. I prefer people donate to a charity I support. It's called Health in Harmony (see my video youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU.) It funds hospitals and affordable health care to villages on the edge of a national parks, in return for a pledge not to cut down trees. The pledges are monitored, and the result has been a dramatic decrease in deforestation rates and an increase in the health of the local population. Thanks to your generous contributions, the founders are spreading the idea to other countries. See also psmag.com/social-justice/save-the-trees-well-save-your-life-46121 for an explanation of their work. Donate here: healthinharmony.org/donate-todaySOURCES: USGS info on volcanoes- usgs.gov/programs/VHP/volcanoes-can-affect-climateReconstruction of past CO2 concentration from:"Geocarb III: A Revised Model of Atmospheric CO2 over Phanerozoic Time"ajsonline.org/content/301/2/182Solar output rising during the Phanerozoic:https://websites.pmc.ucsc.edu/~pkoch/EART_110A/Lectures/L5_Radiation-FaintSun.pdfAristotle's claim about men and women's teeth:"The history of Animals" Book II by Aristotlehttps://penelope.uchicago.edu/aristotle/histanimals2.html#:~:text=Males%20have%20more%20teeth%20than,in%20number%20and%20thinly%20set.My video "Are humans contributing only 3% of CO2 in the atmosphere?"youtu.be/CcmCBetoR18(see video description for sources)My video "The story of the Earth in 33 minutes"youtu.be/MQWJbLTyDlc(see video description for sources)RE "I’ve been very busy since the end of the pandemic." We are still technically in a pandemic, because we still fit the technical definition of a pandemic -- i.e. an infectious disease on more than one continent. But as far as my life is concerned -- and the countries where most of my subscribers live -- the pandemic is over. I am fully vaccinated, as are most people I come into contact with. There is still a tiny risk even for vaccinated people, but there's also a risk of dying from seasonal flu. I have visited a dozen countries in the last few months, and not one of them still has restrictions on mask-wearing, social distancing or freedom of movement. Shops, cafes, bars, restaurants, theaters and sports arenas are all open, with no restrictions. I see no difference to life now than before the pandemic. So de facto, yes, the pandemic is over, and I have been back to work -- hence the reason I've been busy. If you are unvaccinated, and therefore vulnerable, then of course the pandemic is still very real. You can still get infected, and you have a much higher chance of dying. But that's your choice. I can't put my life on hold for you. See my videos on vaccination and Covid-19 and get informed. Similarly, if you live in China, or a country where vaccinations are low and there are still restrictions, I'm sorry. There the pandemic is also still very real. But I can't stay home until every single country is over this. In Europe, Australia, North America and many other places, the pandemic is no longer a part of everyday life for the vast majority who are vaccinated.
A close look at Roy Spencers claims on global warming potholer54 2022-03-19 | CORRECTIONS: 1:47 GRL paper is 2019, not 20202.52 RSS is 5 degrees short of worldwide, N & S latitiudes10:15 date should be 85mya not 50myaCharity donations: healthinharmony.org/donateTable of troposphere results:climatefeedback.org/claimreview/noaa-shows-clear-global-warming-trends-over-the-past-58-years-based-on-radiosonde-data 2 copy 2 UAH wrong, the Earth is warming:https://archive.is/zfd3D'Global Warming Conference: The State of Climate Change Science'by Dr. Roy Spencer (COMPETITIVE ENTERPRISE INSTITUTE) 1997http://web.archive.org/web/20021127223256/http://cei.org/gencon/027,01481.cfmGraph of hindcast/forecast from 2000 From "Study Confirms Climate Models are Getting Future Warming Projections Right" climate.nasa.gov/news/2943/study-confirms-climate-models-are-getting-future-warming-projections-right"There isn't a problem with the measurements that we can find," science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/1997/essd12mar97_1" Evaluating the Performance of Past Climate Model Projections" -- Hausfather et al 2019agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2019GL085378NOTE: Models don't actually project temperatures in degrees centigrade per decade, they predict the forcing effect of the various feedbacks for a given rise in carbon gas concentration, and the temperature rise per decade is inferred from that. In the case of the 17 models reviewed in the Geophysical Research Letters journal, ten of them accurately predicted the actual CO2 concentration increase and matched actual temperature data. Four matched actual temperature data when their CO2 assumptions were adjusted to match actual CO2 concentration. Two were overestimates, and one was an underestimate. Weather systems & excess heat.-- Costs of Kyoto 1997Spencer on solar / cloudiness / PDO: weatherstreet.com/weatherquestions/Roy-Spencer-on-global-warmingTrend of solar activity over time:link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11207-020-01723-ysciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2090123212001002PDO vs temp:skepticalscience.com/Pacific-Decadal-Oscillation.htm"Clouds are the Earth’s sunshade": climateconversation.org.nz/2010/04/the-great-global-warming-blunder - 2010"RSS data is undergoing spurious cooling...":drroyspencer.com/2011/07/on-the-divergence-between-the-uah-and-rss-global-temperature-recordsTemperature trend to 2017 by NOAA:climate.gov/news-features/featured-images/2017-state-climate-global-surface-temperatureAnnual temp list to 2018:drroyspencer.com/2018/12/2018-6th-warmest-year-globally-of-last-40"...very little warming in the future"wattsupwiththat.com/2012/03/26/dr-roy-spencer-on-foxs-john-stossel-show"warming ... range of 1.5 to 2 deg. C"drroyspencer.com/2021/01/no-roy-spencer-is-not-a-climate-denierModels vs temp:climate-lab-book.ac.uk/comparing-cmip5-observationsremss.com/research/climate/#:~:text=Our%20results%20can%20be%20summarized,0.32%20degrees%20F%20per%20decade"The Earth has a natural air-conditioning process"rushlimbaugh.com/daily/2007/02/28/facts_science_smash_the_global_warming_myth2 Correction to RSS data July 2017carbonbrief.org/major-correction-to-satellite-data-shows-140-faster-warming-since-1998Climate change so slow it's not noticeableforbes.com/sites/realspin/2016/10/25/hillary-clinton-boards-the-climate-crisis-train-to-nowhere/?sh=f623559371e0Christy thinks RSS data wrong:drroyspencer.com/2011/07/on-the-divergence-between-the-uah-and-rss-global-temperature-recordsSpencer evaluates RSS:http://www.drroyspencer.com/2017/07/comments-on-the-new-rss-lower-tropospheric-temperature-datasetRSS conclusion 0.18 degC per decade:remss.com/research/climate/#:~:text=Our%20results%20can%20be%20summarized,0.32%20degrees%20F%20per%20decade).NOAA warming figure 0.18degC:climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-global-temperatureAndrew Boltyoutube.com/watch?v=CZy8mgD05QACornwall Alliance:http://web.archive.org/web/20160906174711/http://cornwallalliance.org/about/who-we-are/#"probably a natural explanation"web.archive.org/web/20121101065653/http://www.simplyneighbors.com/usa/kansas/wichita/uptown/openfile.html?file=Nov2008Uptown.pdfGraph showing cooling:https://www.ias.ac.in/article/fulltext/reso/006/06/0043-0052Spencer admits error:https://archive.is/zfd3DEarth's thermostat:weatherstreet.com/weatherquestions/Roy-Spencer-on-global-warming.htmClouds:http://www.drroyspencer.com/2010/01/clouds-dominate-co2-as-a-climate-driver-since-2000Earth's thermostat:weatherstreet.com/weatherquestions/Roy-Spencer-on-global-warming.htmClouds:http://www.drroyspencer.com/2010/01/clouds-dominate-co2-as-a-climate-driver-since-2000
Are prominent environmentalists buying beachside properties? potholer54 2022-01-20 | PLEASE NOTE: The guy speaking in the brown shirt is only coming through on one channel (that's just how he made his video.) If you can't hear him, listen in stereo.CORRECTIONS: Towards the end I said the vulnerable housing market of South Florida is worth $8.7 trillion dollars. That should, of course, be $8.7 billion, as shown on the screen. This video follows on from my video "If ocean levels are rising, why can't we see it?" -- youtube.com/watch?v=WTRlSGKddJE&t=2s -- which looks at the scientific evidence of sea level rise. That video shows how sea level rise is measured, and how it's accelerating. THIS video addresses the question of people are buying coastal property. Ordinarily I wouldn't make a video on this subject, but so many people used it as a rebuttal in the comments section of my last video (maybe they're running out of scientific ammunition) that I really thought it needed to be addressed -- especially since all of the claims were so clearly and factually wrong. So please address your questions about the scientific conclusions to the former video, and your questions about people buying coastal property to this video.SOURCES: washingtonexaminer.com/politics/climate-activists-invest-property-beaches-climate-change-sea-riseBlog by Aeternitatis critical of Gore:thebigquestions.com/2010/05/13/from-an-eternal-perspectivepropublica.org/article/obama-and-the-beach-house-loopholes Fox news report that Obama may be buying beachfront property n Hawaii.video.foxnews.com/v/4123898363001/report-obama-may-have-purchased-magnum-pi-mansion/#sp=show-clipswattsupwiththat.com/2015/03/21/while-warning-us-of-rising-oceans-in-sotu-did-obama-just-buy-a-beachfront-mansion dailycaller.com/2015/03/21/obama-hawaii-magnum-pi-global-warmingBuyer of Hawaii property was Marty Nesbittamlu.com/2020/08/22/president-barack-obamas-hawaii-beach-house-being-built-on-idyllic-site-of-magnum-p-i-mansionthebigquestions.com/2010/05/13/from-an-eternal-perspective youtube.com/watch?v=s2CNHMw1ZZo palmbeachpost.com/story/news/politics/2021/11/24/nancy-pelosi-florida-beach-road-house-mansion-talk-false-rumor/8748197002web.archive.org/web/20211129223418/twitter.com/NancyTracker/status/1462978788053204992 youtube.com/watch?v=s2CNHMw1ZZopalmbeachpost.com/story/news/politics/2021/11/24/nancy-pelosi-florida-beach-road-house-mansion-talk-false-rumor/8748197002web.archive.org/web/20211129223418/twitter.com/NancyTracker/status/1462978788053204992Study on Miami house prices:nber.org/papers/w27930Surging Seas risk finder:riskfinder.climatecentral.org/county/miami-dade-county.fl.us?comparisonType=county&forecastType=NOAA2017_int_p50&level=3&unit=ft&zillowPlaceType=county"As the seas have been rising, home values have been sinking." assets.floodiq.com/2018/07/ee94ac7b8efe808e9312fa34048e77f6-First-Street-Foundation-As-the-seas-have-been-rising-home-values-have-been-sinking.pdfSUPPORT:If you'd like to support this channel, please don't send money to me. My videos are free, so if you'd like to donate and encourage me to spend the time and effort it takes to check all this information, please send money to a charity I endorse, listed in the video description. Thanks.The charity is called Health in Harmony (see my video youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU.) It funds hospitals and affordable health care to villages on the edge of a national parks, in return for a pledge not to cut down trees. The pledges are monitored, and the result has been a dramatic decrease in deforestation rates and an increase in the health of the local population. Thanks to your generous contributions, the founders are spreading the idea to other countries. See also psmag.com/social-justice/save-the-trees-well-save-your-life-46121 for an explanation of their work. You can make a donation by bank transfer
If ocean levels are rising, why cant we see it? potholer54 2021-12-05 | Compare two photos 130 years apart and it looks as though sea levels haven't moved. In fact, they have. This video closes the gap between photos and actual measurement.In answer to several questions about why sea level rises at different rates in different parts of the world, it is a complex mix of ocean currents, gravitational pull, atmospheric pressure, Earth's rotation, regional changes in ocean temperature and other factors. See:climate.nasa.gov/ask-nasa-climate/3002/sea-level-101-part-two-all-sea-level-is-localoceanservice.noaa.gov/facts/sealevel-global-local.html#:~:text=On%20average%2C%20sea%20level%20is,direction%20and%20magnitude%20of%20change. See also: NPR interview, Christopher Piecuch, climate scientist at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute, discussing "Why Sea Level Rise Varies Across The World"CORRECTIONS: 1) The shades of blue on the map at 10:58 denote sea level falling, not rising at the lowest rate..2) I said glaciers cover around 10% or the Earth -- I should have said 10% of the land surface of the Earth.3) Two posters pointed out that Reiss's question to Hansen could be taken to mean 'What would the view be like in 40 years' time if CO2 concentration was NOW double?" In other words, Hansen was predicting sea level 40 years AFTER a doubling of CO2." To be fair to Hansen, that's possible. If so, his prediction will very likely be correct. But it again stresses the need to have these predictions made in peer-reviewed scientific journals, where such ambiguity is eliminated, rather than books.TO SUPPORT THE CHARITY AND KEEP MY CHANNEL GOING.... ...please dnate here: healthinharmony.org/donate You can see more on how this groundbreaking charity trades heath care for forest care in my video youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU See also psmag.com/social-justice/save-the-trees-well-save-your-life-46121 for an explanation of their work.SOURCES:255 billion tonnes ice lost per year:"Return to rapid ice loss in Greenland and recordloss in 2019 detected by the GRACE-FO satellites" Sasgen et al 2019Sea level rise up to 2008:http://sealevel.colorado.edu/ up to 2008"More than half of the predicted rise in future sea level caused by the enhanced greenhouse effect is currently thought to be due to the thermal expansion of the oceans.” "Thermal expansion in ocean and coupled general circulation models"Jacket et al. 2000"Improved estimates of upper-ocean warming and multi-decadal sea level rise"Domingues et al 2008“Rising sea level is one of the most serious consequences of global warming. In the past 50 years, sea level rose about 1.8 (plus or minus 0.3) millimeters a year. Satellite observations since 1993 indicate the pace has accelerated to about 3 millimeters per year.” -- http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Features/OceanCooling/page5.phpRise now 3.6mm a year:royalsociety.org/topics-policy/projects/climate-change-evidence-causes/question-14“A 20th century acceleration in global sea-level rise”-- Church and White, Geophysical Research letters, jan 2006 How sea level is measured: newscientist.com/lastword/mg24732991-200-how-do-we-measure-sea-level-if-it-is-always-rising/#ixzz7BJgwYUAvCalculations for thermosteric and ice-melt sea level rise:link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10712-016-9387-x#Sec2 "Future sea level rise constrained by observations and long-term commitment"Mengel et al."Transient response of the MOC and climate to potential melting of the Greenland Ice Sheet in the 21st century" Hu et al 2009"Sea-level rise due to polar ice-sheet mass loss during past 695 warm periods." Dutton et al 2015" Evidence of marine ice-cliff instability in Pine Island Bay from iceberg-keel plough marks" Wise 2017 Nature Communications"Coralgal reef morphology records punctuated sea-level rise during the last deglaciation" Khanna 20175-19m higher for +3 deg C rise in temp:"Constraints on global mean sea level during Pleistocene warmth."Dimitriu, 2019See also: "The Duplin Formation... was 35 ± 18 m above present." Dowset and Cronin, cited in "Paleo Constraints on Future Sea-Level Rise"Kemp 2015"We project anthropogenic sea level rise of 28–56 cm, 37–77 cm, and 57–131cm cm in2100 for the greenhouse gas concentration scenarios RCP26, RCP45, and RCP85" RCP45" "Future sea level rise constrained by observations and long-term commitment"Mengel et al., 2016salon.com/2001/10/23/weatherE-mail from Bob Reiss:skepticalscience.com/Hansen-West-Side-Highway.htmPost from James Hansen:http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2011/20110126_SingingInTheRain.pdfSea level at time of CO2 doubling: I couldn't find any studies looking specifically at sea level when CO2 doubles in concentration. So I had to match predictions for when CO2 will double under RCP 4.5 (around 2065) with projections for sea level rise under RCP 4.5 at that time.
A clean energy solution embraced by both sides of politics potholer54 2021-10-30 | The charity I endorse is called Health in Harmony (see my video youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU.) It funds hospitals and affordable health care to villages on the edge of a national parks, in return for a pledge not to cut down trees. The pledges are monitored, and the result has been a dramatic decrease in deforestation rates and an increase in the health of the local population. Thanks to your generous contributions so far, amounting to nearly $200,000, the founders are spreading the idea to other countries. See also psmag.com/social-justice/save-the-trees-well-save-your-life-46121 for an explanation of their work. You can make a donation by bank transfer here… healthinharmony.org/donate CORRECTION: 9:32 -- I said 1.8GW as the storage capacity of the new battery. That should be 1.8GWh. It was in the script, I simply misread it. Earlier, Elon Musk mentioned 100 MW for the Hornsdale battery. This is the output of the battery, not the storage capacity. SOURCES:South Australia 2nd largest uptake of varied renewables:South Australian Dept of EnergySouth Australia's uptake of renewables from World Economic Forum:weforum.org/agenda/2021/06/renewable-energy-south-australia-climate-change/#:~:text=The%20South%20Australia%20state%20government,60%25%20of%20its%20energy%20needs.Tesla battery response: ABC news report youtube.com/watch?v=ropqVfgsEAoConfirmed by South Australian Dept. of EnergyElectricity prices graph:https://indaily.com.au/news/business/2021/05/10/rise-of-sa-renewables-to-deliver-nations-cheapest-wholesale-electricity/Sundrop Farm:Facts and figures from Sundrop Farm CEO Steve Marafiote'You-forgot-to-mention' section Oct 29 2021: To those inevitable and predictable "you forgot to mention..." posts, thanks but I didn't forget to mention anything. So, for example, I didn't "forget to mention" that South Australia has large unpopulated areas and a small population. Because if I had, I would then have had to 'mention' that the amount of land taken up by wind and solar farms is just a tiny fraction of that. And I would have had to mention that sparsely populated areas often have bigger problems than densely populated ones, because grid infrastructure has to spread over a greater distance for less money. I also didn't "forget to mention" that South Australia is a desert state, because it isn't. Some of S.A. is desert, some is semi-arid, some gets plenty of rainfall. I also didn't "forget to mention" that not every country has the kind of sunshine and wind that South Australia does. If I had, then people would have told me I 'forgot to mention' that countries that don't have a lot of sunshine often don't have a lot of wind, and vice-versa. Or that the two largest CO2 producers, China and the USA, have plenty of sunshine and wind. Or that even countries that have neither can still import energy from other countries. I didn't 'forget to mention' that battery and lithium production creates CO2. So does power station and coal production. As more renewable energy is installed, the power needed to make these batteries will increasingly be clean, producing almost no CO2. I didn't "forget to mention" Scott Morrison's recent commitment to nett zero carbon by 2050. If I had mentioned it, then other posters would have told me I "forgot to mention" that there is no plan to go with it. And I would have been told that I "forgot to mention" that there is no change to the government's policy up to 2030. I didn't "forget to mention" that batteries can catch fire. If I had, someone would have told me I "forgot to mention" that oil wells also catch fire. So do coal mines. So do power stations and oil refineries. I can't write a list of everything that catches fire. One thing that has not caught fire is the Hornsdale battery. If it ever does, I'm sure they'll put the fire out and rebuild it, just as they do with oil wells. I didn't "forget to mention" that the Business Council of Australia has also just reversed-course on renewable energy and called for a 50% reduction in carbon emissions by 2030 , after saying a few years ago that a 45% reduction would be "economy wrecking." Lots of people and institutions are changing their minds, and I don't have time to mention them all. I chose News International because it was the most significant. I didn't "forget to mention" the fact that birds get killed by wind farms and turbines catch fire. If I had mentioned this, there would have been more posts telling me I "forgot to mention" that birds also get killed by oil spills. And if you think there are things I "forgot to mention" in this list, I haven't "forgotten to mention those either." I can't make this video description 6,000 words long any more than I can make the video 6 hours long. Sorry.
Do you get it now? Why scientific reality doesnt care about your politics potholer54 2021-10-20 | If you'd like to support this channel, please don't send money to me. My videos are free, so if you'd like to donate and encourage me to spend the time and effort it takes to check all this information, please send money to a charity I endorse, listed in the video description. Thanks.The charity is called Health in Harmony (see my video youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU.) It funds hospitals and affordable health care to villages on the edge of a national parks, in return for a pledge not to cut down trees. The pledges are monitored, and the result has been a dramatic decrease in deforestation rates and an increase in the health of the local population. Thanks to your generous contributions, the founders are spreading the idea to other countries. See also psmag.com/social-justice/save-the-trees-well-save-your-life-46121 for an explanation of their work. You can make a donation by bank transfer here… healthinharmony.org/donate
The rise and fall of Hydroxychloroquine potholer54 2021-09-12 | SOURCES ARE BELOW.DONATIONS TO CHARITY:The charity I urge people to donate to (instead of sending money to me) is called Health in Harmony (see my video youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU.) It funds hospitals and affordable health care to villages on the edge of forest reserves, in return for a pledge not to cut down trees. The pledges are monitored, and the result has been a dramatic decrease in deforestation rates and an increase in the health of the local population. Thanks to your generous contributions, the founders are spreading the idea to other countries. See also psmag.com/social-justice/save-the-trees-well-save-your-life-46121 for an explanation of their work. Even though ads are now running on my videos and Health in Harmony is the beneficiary, you can still support this channel by making a donation by bank transfer here…healthinharmony.org/donate Please mention Potholer54 sent you, because I monitor how much of an impact my videos are having on the charity's income. Thanks.SOURCES:To follow the links, make sure you put the full name of the drugs where I have abbreviated them:Observational study cited on Fox News: medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.05.28.21258012v1"Treatment with HCQ alone and in combination with azithromycin was associated with reduction in COVID-19 associated mortality." "No benefit on viral clearance but a significant increase in mortality “HCQ in patients with COVID-19: A Systematic Review and meta-analysis.” Singh et al May 2020Review on HCQ as a prophylaxis: "Prophylaxis for COVID-19: a systematic review," Smit at al 2021Editorial in the Journal of the American Medical Association:jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2772921Retracted pre-print:“Efficacy and Safety of Iver****** for Treatment and prophylaxis of COVID-19 Pandemic”See also:gidmk.medium.com/is-iver******-for-covid-19-based-on-fraudulent-research-5cc079278602FDA advisory on HCQ: fda.gov/drugs/drug-safety-and-availability/fda-cautions-against-use-HCQ-or-CQ-covid-19-outside-hospital-setting-orSee also:forbes.com/sites/alexledsom/2020/05/26/france-says-no-to-prescribing-HCQ-after-lancet-study/?sh=3a28af1924b5cdc.gov/malaria/resources/pdf/fsp/drugs/HCQ.pdf
Fact-checking Nicholas Wades claims about a man-made virus potholer54 2021-08-14 | A fact-check of Nicholas Wade's article in the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, claiming a possible man-made origin of the SARS-CoV2 virus. Please note this is NOT the same as a lab leak. For my videos on a possible lab leak, see:youtu.be/ab-r0capbzkyoutu.be/aX1EqRuVeU0 Sources are below.PLEASE NOTE: It looks like my technology skills are fine -- the ads aren't running because YouTube deemed the content to be 'unsuitable' for advertisers. I've appealed the decision.CORRECTION: At 2:13 I said "the science shows it's manmade." That should be: "the science shows it's not manmade." DONATIONS TO CHARITY:The charity I urge people to donate to (instead of sending money to me) is called Health in Harmony (see my video youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU.) It funds hospitals and affordable health care to villages on the edge of forest reserves, in return for a pledge not to cut down trees. The pledges are monitored, and the result has been a dramatic decrease in deforestation rates and an increase in the health of the local population. Thanks to your generous contributions, the founders are spreading the idea to other countries. See also psmag.com/social-justice/save-the-trees-well-save-your-life-46121 for an explanation of their work. Even though ads are now running on my videos and Health in Harmony is the beneficiary, you can still support this channel by making a donation by bank transfer here…healthinharmony.org/donate Please mention Potholer54 sent you, because I monitor how much of an impact my videos are having on the charity's income. Thanks.SOURCES FOR THIS VIDEO:Criticism of Wade by geneticists:sciencemag.org/news/2014/08/geneticists-decry-book-race-and-evolutionWade's article:thebulletin.org/2021/05/the-origin-of-covid-did-people-or-nature-open-pandoras-box-at-wuhanAnderson et al 2020:" The proximal origin of SARS-CoV-2"nature.com/articles/s41591-020-0820-9How long it takes to make a backbone:https://leelabvirus.host/covid19/origins-part3https://www.businessinsider.com.au/coronavirus-lab-manmade-myth-debunked-2020-6?r=US&IR=TNIH funding brief:reporter.nih.gov/search/xQW6UJmWfUuOV01ntGvLwQ/project-details/9819304
More man-made SARS-CoV-2 lab-leak malarky potholer54 2021-07-04 | CORRECTIONS:1) Although I was correct in saying there is a 99% similarity between humans and chimpanzees, and 96% between SARS-Cov2 and RaTG13, there have been comments in the forum about whether the comparison is appropriate. I'll just sum this up by saying that clearly ape genomes and virus genomes are not comparing like-for-like, the comparison merely highlights the difference that a small genetic difference can make in an organism. The point being made -- which hasn't changed -- is that it would take years to forcibly 'evolve' SARS-Cov2 from RaTG13 in a lab, even if it could be done. Also, for clarification, I am talking about *genetic* differences. I said in the video: "On the second argument, a response paper to Segreto and Deigin pointed out that there's about a 4% *genetic* difference between RaTG13 and SARS-Cov-2. That may not sound like much, but there's only a 1% genetic diference between humans and chimpanzees." This refers to the number of differences between the genes of one species or organism and another. 2) One of the posters wrote: "At 6.27 - The paper by Zou et al is describing RmYNO2. This virus does not contain a furin site, but an insertion of amino-acids at the furin site position found in SARS-COV2. The idea is that amino acid insertions can naturally occur and subsequent point mutation could lead to a furin site." 3) @12:54 the wrong images are shown for the sources. The correct sources are listed below under 'SOURCES'DONATIONS TO CHARITY:The charity I urge people to donate to (instead of sending money to me) is called Health in Harmony (see my video youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU.) It funds hospitals and affordable health care to villages on the edge of a national parks, in return for a pledge not to cut down trees. The pledges are monitored, and the result has been a dramatic decrease in deforestation rates and an increase in the health of the local population. Thanks to your generous contributions, the founders are spreading the idea to other countries. See also psmag.com/social-justice/save-the-trees-well-save-your-life-46121 for an explanation of their work. You can make a donation by bank transfer here…healthinharmony.org/donate I have now monetized my channel, and am in the process of setting Health in Harmony up as the beneficiary. When this is done, ads will start appearng at the beginning of my videos. SOURCES:My video "Did SARS-Cov-2 start in a Chinese lab?"youtube.com/watch?v=ab-r0capbzk&t=1275sRaTG13 could not be a proximal source of the Wuhan virus:virological.org/t/tackling-rumors-of-a-suspicious-origin-of-ncov2019/384Example of a similar furin cleavage site in nature:"A Novel Bat Coronavirus Closely Related to SARSCoV-2 Contains Natural Insertions at the S1/S2 Cleavage Site of the Spike Protein"cell.com/current-biology/pdf/S0960-9822(20)30662-X.pdfHow the furin cleavage site can evolve: "A palindromic RNA sequence as a common breakpoint contributor to copy-choice recombination in SARS-COV-2" Nature article critiquing claim about the furin cleavage site being unique:nature.com/articles/d41586-020-01541-z “RaTG13 is too divergent to be this ancestral virus,” David Robertson, the head of viral genomics and bioinformatics at the University of Glasgow:factcheck.org/2021/06/scicheck-the-facts-and-gaps-on-the-origin-of-the-coronavirus"] If the RaTG13 genome had been used as the backbone for the creation of SARS-CoV-2, the Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV) group would have needed to passage it in cells or animals for years to accumulate 3.8% sequence divergence."Response to Segreto and Deigin:"There is no evidence of SARS-CoV-2 laboratory origin: Response to Segreto and Deigin (DOI: 10.1002/bies.202000240)" Not yet peer-reviewed:My information that humans and chimps share 99% of DNA comes from the Swiss Institute of Bioinformatics (geneticliteracyproject.org/2021/01/18/humans-and-chimpanzees-share-99-of-the-same-dna-this-is-the-1-difference/).Piplani et. al paper on ACE2 affinity:"In silico comparison of SARS CoV 2 spike protein ACE2 binding afnities across species and implications for virus origin"nature.com/articles/s41598-021-92388-5.pdfOn SARS-CoV-2 being unlikely due to serial passage (lab evolution) because of a lack of human immune system 'signature': @12:54 "Finally, the generation of the predicted O-linked glycans is also unlikely to have occurred due to cell-culture passage, as such features suggest the involvement of an immune system18." Andersen et al., Nature Medicine 2020: "This strongly implies SARS-CoV-2 could not have been developed in a lab, even by a system of simulated natural selection. "https://leelabvirus.host/covid19/origins-part3?fbclid=IwAR3W1WYE4MKDcr_Y62h01yi1S8Z5lAGopPEuAkqwtjGKiWzVbTNgdwRrvec
Covid vaccine causes infertility FACT CHECK potholer54 2021-06-05 | This video looks at the claims of Dr. Michael Yeadon and others who argue that the Covid vaccine causes infertility. I trace the source of this myth, and show what the science says. Sources are below.CORRECTIONS: There are actually two organizations called SAGE, the official SAGE and independent SAGE. In the absence of a source for Yeadon's claim that SAGE didn't believe people would have natural immunity to SARS-Cov-2, I mistakenly showed a report from Independent SAGE rather than the official one. My thanks to Phil Richards for finding this from an official SAGE document: "Cross-reactive T-cell responses from other seasonal coronaviruses may exist, but the degree and duration of any protection remains unknown."The charity I urge people to donate to (instead of sending money to me) is currently having a fund-matching drive for health care in Madagascar. For every dollar you contribute, a donor has offered to match it with a dollar -- doubling your contribution. This is the best way to encourage me to keep making these videos. The charity is called Health in Harmony (see my video youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU.) It funds hospitals and affordable health care to villages on the edge of a national parks, in return for a pledge not to cut down trees. The pledges are monitored, and the result has been a dramatic decrease in deforestation rates and an increase in the health of the local population. Thanks to your generous contributions, the founders are spreading the idea to other countries. See also psmag.com/social-justice/save-the-trees-well-save-your-life-46121 for an explanation of their work. You can make a donation by bank transfer here…healthinharmony.org/donateSOURCES:My videos on the subject of masks and lockdown:youtube.com/watch?v=qf_7nZdIYoI&t=1458syoutube.com/watch?v=v341VNPgL50&t=300sNegative selection explained in a scientific paper:"Negative selection of immature B cells by receptor editing or deletion is determined by site of antigen encounter"doi.org/10.1016/S1074-7613(00)80029-1"Are Covid-19 vaccines safe in pregnancy?"nature.com/articles/s41577-021-00525-yStudy on pregnant women with antibodies:Cosma, S. et al. Coronavirus disease 2019 and first-trimester spontaneous abortion: a case–control study of 225 pregnant patients. Am. J. Obstet. Gynecol. (2020)ajog.org/article/S0002-9378(20)31177-7/fulltextStudy of women taking vaccine:"Preliminary Findings of mRNA Covid-19 Vaccine Safety in Pregnant Persons"nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2104983nytimes.com/2021/01/26/opinion/covid-vaccine-rumors.html (Please note that this comes from the New York Times, not a peer-reviewed study. The researchers were relaying their findings during the course of other research, to be found at: medrxiv.org/content/medrxiv/early/2021/01/26/2021.01.25.21250452.full.pdf)"This study provides data from a large cohort on maternal antibody generation in response to COVID-19 vaccination, compares vaccine-generated immunity with that from natural infection in pregnancy, and suggests that vaccination of pregnant and lactating women can confer robust maternal and neonatal immunity.""Coronavirus disease 2019 vaccine response in pregnant and lactating women: a cohort study"sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0002937821001873"There is no significant similarity between the amino acid sequences of SARS-CoV-2 spike protein and syncytin 1 and convalescent serum from patients with COVID-19 does not react with syncytin 1""Are COVID-19 vaccines safe in pregnancy?" (Male, Nature)nature.com/articles/s41577-021-00525-ynaturalnews.com/2021-03-31-former-pfizer-vp-experimental-covid19-vaccines-depopulation.htmlbitchute.com/video/J2PPq1j1XGQFSteven Baker website: drstevenbaker.com/home31840011Video tape of John Bell:https://archive.ph/zY0V4AAP fact-checkhttps://www.aap.com.au/professors-vaccine-sterilisation-comment-used-out-of-context-to-mislead/healthline.com/health-news/no-the-covid-19-vaccines-do-not-cause-infertility#Infertility-claimshealth and money news - John Bell claimhttps://archive.is/NRfCkVideo:lbry.tv/@TheCovidReport:0/Mike-Yeadon-Unlocked-Nov-19-2020:4Dr. Baker:youtube.com/watch?v=R4bNwgOfUb4Rebuttal from John Hopkins:hopkinsmedicine.org/health/conditions-and-diseases/coronavirus/covid-19-vaccines-myth-versus-fact" United States internet searches for “infertility” following COVID-19 vaccine misinformation":degruyter.com/document/doi/10.1515/jom-2021-0059/html Health and Money news claiming 70% sterilization:https://archive.is/NRfCkYeadon video from:lbry.tv/@TheCovidReport:0Yeadon "Government lies":facebook.com/michellerempelgarner/videos/827072717876387
Unravelling Chinas sinister plan to unleash coronavirus potholer54 2021-05-15 | CORRECTIONS:Someone pointed out that the photo that Amazon shows of the book "The Unnatural Origin of SARS and New Species of Man-Made Viruses as Genetic Bioweapons" in its ad is the wrong photo. It's Amazon's error, and doesn't affect the substance of the book, but worth pointing out all the same. SOURCES:A number of people asked why there is no source for my claim that China censors the media. I've been reporting out of China for 30 years, and I guess I take it for granted that the things I experienced first-hand are now well known, even by those who have never been working journalists there. So here are a few sources, starting with the Reporters Without Borders ranking of countries in terms of press freedom, which ranks the PCR (China) 177th out of 180:rsf.org/en/ranking The 2021 RSF report says: "[S]tate and privately-owned media organizations are all strictly controlled by the Communist Party. By making extensive use of the latest technology, President Xi Jinping has succeeded in imposing a social model based on the control of news and information and the surveillance of citizens. Of the 100-plus journalists and bloggers now in prison, some held in life-threatening conditions, at least three journalists and three political commentators have been arrested in connection with the pandemic. The government has also tightened its grip on social networks, censoring many key words linked to coronavirus. The crackdown on foreign correspondents has been tightened with 16 being expelled since the start of the year." See also: "Cheng Lei: Why has an Australian TV anchor been detained by China?" bbc.com/news/world-australia-53980706 "China worst offender in record-breaking year for jailing of journalists" theguardian.com/media/2020/dec/15/china-jails-the-most-journalists-for-second-year-running "Press Freedom Day: Missing citizen journalists in China"dw.com/en/china-covid-citizen-journalists/a-57409694 "Chinese Citizen Journalist Sentenced to 4 Years for Covid Reporting" nytimes.com/2020/12/28/world/asia/china-Zhang-Zhan-covid-convicted.htmlOTHER SOURCES FROM VIDEO:" Leaked 2015 Chinese Military Document Reveals A Discussion By Top Chinese Scientists To Weaponize The SARS Coronavirus To Cripple Medical Systems"http://warnewsupdates.blogspot.com/2021/05/leaked-2015-chinese-military-document.html?m=1news.com.au story:https://www.news.com.au/world/coronavirus/leaked-chinese-document-reveals-a-sinister-plan-to-unleash-coronaviruses/news-story/53674e8108ad5a655e07e990daa85465https://www.theaustralian.com.au/commentary/editorials/covid-as-biological-war-china-paper-needs-answers/news-story/fc878ba201bb5f070c5c3b60a254298fSky news:https://www.skynews.com.au/details/_6253329329001Chinese book title: 非典非自然起源和人制人新种病毒基因武器-李峰-徐德忠Authors： 李峰 徐德忠 Amazon sale:https://www.amazon.com.au/非典非自然起源和人制人新种病毒基因武器-李峰-徐德忠/dp/B012984EOIReader's review:zhuanlan.zhihu.com/p/347890903Amazingly, several posts rejected my claim that news outlets in China are often ordered to follow the government line. If you really need a source for that, it is my 30 years of reporting from China. If you would like a more authoritative source than my own reporting, try rsf.org/en/ranking, which puts China at 177th place out of 180 countries in terms of press freedom. Or worldpoliticsreview.com/trend-lines/29313/amid-a-crackdown-on-journalism-china-zeroes-in-on-local-reporters cfr.org/backgrounder/media-censorship-china
Another side-effect of Covid-19: Stupidity potholer54 2021-05-08 | YOUTUBE TEMPORARILY SUSPENDED THIS VIDEO for violating its guidelines. A computer must have detected that I was using the Debbie Hicks video. When I appealed the decision, my video was restored within four hours. Nothing has been changed.HEALTH IN HARMONYIf you'd like to support this channel, please donate to a charity I endorse: healthinharmony.org/donateAn explanation of their work can be found here: youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU&t=1sPLEASE NOTE:No need to comment on the fact that I say filming in hospitals is not allowed because it's an invasion of people's privacy, athe the same time I show people in a hospital. I'm way ahead of you. The faces I show are not recognizable, and therefore don't need blurring. I'm sure you'll leave a comment anyway without reading this.SOURCES:Empty hospital video: twitter.com/ninnyd101/status/1343527984976842752?s=20Debbie Hicks was a member of a left-wing organization:gloucestershirelive.co.uk/news/gloucester-news/stroud-labour-activist-suspended-saying-72408gloucestershirelive.co.uk/news/gloucester-news/labour-activist-thrust-spotlight-over-124342glostext.gloucestershire.gov.uk/mgElectionAreaResults.aspx?ID=283morningstaronline.co.uk/article/campaigning-if-change-matteredNurse speaking out:youtube.com/watch?v=WicsWfTm1ZICharges against Debbie Hicks:gloucestershirelive.co.uk/news/gloucester-news/campaigner-debbie-hicks-denies-threatening-5246766Ted Nugent stuff:facebook.com/tednugent
Debunking internet myths about PCR testing potholer54 2021-02-20 | A look at internet claims that PCR testing for SARS-Cov-2 has a high failure rate.If you'd like to support this channel, please donate to a charity I endorse: healthinharmony.org/donateAn explanation of their work can be found here: youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GRugP9pU&t=1sCORRECTIONS:@10:19 I give the date of Lauritsen's article as 1998 - it should be 1996.SOURCES:Bloke in beanie:facebook.com/watch/live/?v=314475876400682&ref=watch_permalink"Nurse speaks out":facebook.com/Pitchcare/posts/another-nurse-speaks-out-just-a-shame-they-are-so-afraid-for-their-jobs-to-put-t/10157588828096845More quotes from Mullis (wrongly) http://archive.vn/s9oZWhttp://archive.is/QqrMEhttp://archive.is/h6Zcr -- https://www.aap.com.au/pcr-inventor-who-died-in-2019-did-not-say-his-test-wont-work-for-covid-19-infections/Original author of fake Mullis quote:web.archive.org/web/20200318060118/occamsrazorterrorevents.weebly.com/blog/coronavirus-hoax-jan-2020'Do your own research' guy:facebook.com/DYOResearch/posts/the-medical-experts-want-to-start-testing-billions-of-people-globally-with-the-c/573434690037721Example from March 28 2020http://www.tonu.org/2020/03Example from Jun 25 2020stopthenewnormal.com/manufactured-pandemic-testing-people-for-any-strain-of-a-coronavirus-not-specifically-for-covid-19Facebook post PCR tests don't workfacebook.com/photo/?fbid=2715782852042528&set=a.1387470134873813Real govt messagehttps://www.health.gov.au/sites/default/files/documents/2020/03/coronavirus-covid-19-information-for-clinicians.pdfMullis says PCR doesn't workfacebook.com/ProgressiveTruthSeekers/photos/a.325627377817371/1172730303107070/?type=3&theaterWhat Mullis actually saidhttp://www.virusmyth.org/aids/hiv/jlprotease.htmfacebook.com/ProgressiveTruthSeekers/photos/a.325627377817371/1172730303107070/?type=3&theatertwitter.com/JuliaHB1/status/1336723631066451968cam.ac.uk/coronavirus/stay-safe-cambridge-uni/asymptomatic-covid-19-screening-programmeCambridge testing resultscam.ac.uk/sites/www.cam.ac.uk/files/documents/pooled_testing_report_30nov-6dec.pdf9-week program results:cam.ac.uk/coronavirus/stay-safe-cambridge-uni/asymptomatic-covid-19-screening-programme How to calculate the false positive:split.io/glossary/false-positive-rate/#:~:text=The%20false%20positive%20rate%20is%20calculated%20as%20FP%2FFP%2BTN,the%20true%20value%20is%20negative.https://himmelfarb.gwu.edu/tutorials/studydesign101/formulas.cfm
Fact checking claims about lockdown (and Sweden) potholer54 2020-12-19 | CORRECTIONS:@7:05 I said papers published in the Lancet reached the opposite conclusion. In fact they didn't say mortality is reduced through lockdown, only that the rate of infection is reduced. See the correction video linked, at youtube.com/watch?v=1WQLnjegW4E @7:11 -- I show a paper that concludes "[Lockdowns] were associated with reductions in R... and lifting internal movement limits were associated with increases of R." In fact that screenshot comes from a different Lancet paper, "The temporal association of introducing and lifting non-pharmaceutical interventions with the time-varying reproduction number (R) of SARS-CoV-2: a modelling study across 131 countries. The paper shown at 7:11 concludes: "Lockdown therefore appears tohave been successful not only in alleviating the burden on the intensivecare units of the two most severely affected regions of France, but also in preventing uncontrolled epidemics in other regions."@8:27 - "Koch" should be pronounced "coke" in the USA.@14:07 - I said most Swedes live alone. I should have said most households are only one person.@16:04 & 18:52 - This is an old news article. For an article about the grounding of Swedish aircraft due to Covid-19, see independent.co.uk/travel/news-and-advice/coronavirus-flight-cancelled-airline-suspended-austrian-lot-polish-sas-a9404886.html@18:20 - I said the Swedish healthcare system is free. In fact there is a small charge. Swedes in the forum say the cost of an intensive care bed is about $12 a day. This compares with hundreds of dollars in the USA.@19:59 -- I show the page for Sweden instead of Norway. See https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/region/norway for the correct page. Swedish guidelines Nov 24:https://www.folkhalsomyndigheten.se/the-public-health-agency-of-sweden/communicable-disease-control/covid-19/local-general-guidelines/JAMA article:jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2771841?alert=articleSwedish government "Restrictions and prohibitions"https://www.krisinformation.se/en/hazards-and-risks/disasters-and-incidents/2020/official-information-on-the-new-coronavirus/restriktioner-och-forbudbmj.com/content/bmj/370/bmj.m3026.full.pdf"Symptom duration and risk factors for delayed return to usual health among outpatients with COVID-19 in a multistate health care systems network" — Tenforde et al , Morb Mortal Wkly Rep2020 cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6930e1.htm. doi:10.15585/mmwr.mm6930e1 pmid:32730238jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2768351
Health in Harmony - a charity that trades health care for forest care potholer54 2020-11-19 | Health in Harmony is a charity supported by this channel. Here's the latest news on a research paper quantifying their results, and an explanation of how the charity works. You can make a donation by bank transfer or Paypal here…healthinharmony.org/donateIf you have problems, one of my subscribers wrote: "I’ve been emailing Health In Harmony about the PayPal Giving Fund. HIH can accept a PayPal donation directly sent to info@healthinharmony.org "There is the PayPal Giving Fund page too, paypal.com/fundraiser/charity/171300But for me (in the UK) I can’t see that URL as it’s restricted. I can view it with a slightly different URL (note the ‘us/’):• paypal.com/us/fundraiser/charity/171300(and all US charities at paypal.com/us/fundraiser/hub) The only thing about using the PayPal Giving Fund listing is that it doesn’t seem possible to include a note that it’s on behalf of your work."I'm not sure, but if it's possible to put "For Potholer54" as your name, see if you can do that. It helps me keep track of how many donations are resulting from my YouTube videos.
How many Covid deaths are really caused by Covid-19? potholer54 2020-10-31 | According to the Twittersphere, the CDC says only 6% of deaths attributed to Covid-19... and people who allegedly die because of Covid-19 in fact die of other diseases... and many people who get killed in car crashes are counted as Covid deaths if they have Covid 19.... and most of these extra deaths are due to suicides and heart attacks because of lockdown... and, and... maybe people are just dying of old age.... OK, time to fact-check all these internet claims.CORRECTIONS:At 2:13 I said ebola "causes" malaria. I should have said it may 'increase the risk' of malaria or 'triggers' malaria. For the science behind this, see "Exposure to Ebola Virus and Risk for Infection with Malaria Parasites, Rural Gabon," Abbate et al. 2020.SOURCES:cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid_weekly/index.htm#Comorbiditiesthevirustruth.com/covid-19reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/ij2o0q/this_week_the_cdc_quietly_updated_the_covidcdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6919e5.htmnature.com/articles/s41591-020-1112-0voxeu.org/article/us-excess-mortality-rate-covid-19-substantially-worse-europe-scebm.net/covid-19/the-declining-case-fatality-ratio-in-englandlivescience.com/covid-19-comorbidities.htmlcdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid_weekly/index.htm#Comorbiditieshealth.com/condition/infectious-diseases/coronavirus/cdc-6-percent-covid-deathsvox.com/2020/9/1/21410352/cdc-6-percent-covid-19-deaths-comorbiditiesreddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/ij2o0q/this_week_the_cdc_quietly_updated_the_covidtwitter.com/littllemel/status/1300024392290832387voxeu.org/article/us-excess-mortality-rate-covid-19-substantially-worse-europe-s
The difference between Case Fatality Rate and Infection Fatality Rate. potholer54 2020-10-07 | SOURCES:Graph showing infection rates by countrynippon.com/en/japan-data/h00673Excess deaths:thelancet.com/journals/lanres/article/PIIS2213-2600(20)30165-X/fulltextbbc.com/news/health-52623141nytimes.com/interactive/2020/08/12/us/covid-deaths-us.html"However, when taking quality into account, and only analysing those sero surveys that had a low risk of bias, it is interesting to note that the inferred IFR rises substantially to 0.76% (0.37-1.15%). This may be due to the bias in lower-quality serosurveys being towards a higher prevalence (30), which in turn lowers the IFR substantially." ijidonline.com/action/showPdf?pii=S1201-9712%2820%2932180-9WHO CFR and IFR February 19, 2020:https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200219-sitrep-30-covid-19.pdfWHO March statement:"the data we have so far indicate that the crude mortality ratio (the number of reported deaths divided by the reported cases) is between 3-4%, the infection mortality rate (the number of reported deaths divided by the number of infections) will be lower."https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200306-sitrep-46-covid-19.pdf?sfvrsn=96b04adf_4#:~:text=Mortality%20for%20COVID%2D19,quality%20of%20health%20care.Estimates of IFR:medrxiv.org/content/medrxiv/early/2020/05/14/2020.04.18.20070912.full.pdfpdfs.semanticscholar.org/d5cf/3584834d7bf9d4abaf9fcc74e056149436f3.pdf"Epidemiological Characteristics of 2009 (H1N1) Pandemic Influenza Based on Paired Sera from a Longitudinal Community Cohort Study"ourworldindata.org/grapher/case-fatality-rate-of-covid-19-vs-median-age?time=latest&country=USA~GBR~ITADONATIONS:If you'd like to support this channel, please don't send money to me. My videos are free and my channel isn't monetized, so if you'd like to donate and encourage me to spend the time and effort it takes to check all this information, please send money to a charity I endorse, listed in the video description. Thanks.The charity I strongly endorse is called Health in Harmony. It funds a hospital in Borneo that provides affordable health care to villages on the edge of a national park in return for a pledge not to cut down trees. The pledges are monitored, and the result has been a dramatic decrease in deforestation rates and an increase in the health of the local population. Thanks to your generous contributions, the founders are spreading the idea to other countries, like Madagascar. See psmag.com/social-justice/save-the-trees-well-save-your-life-46121 for an explanation of their work. You can make a donation by bank transfer here…healthinharmony.org/donate
World Health Organization: Bad guy or fall guy? potholer54 2020-09-12 | I am only interested in the science and the facts, and that means checking original documents, e-mails, reports and statements to see if they match the claims. In this video I show which claims stack up and which have been fabricated. Sources were too long to fit into the video description, so I've pinned them in the comments section. CORRECTIONS: The news website Yicai is pronounced more like 'i-tsai' than 'yikai'. My apologies for the mispronunciation.DONATIONS:If you'd like to support this channel, please don't send money to me. My videos are free and my channel isn't monetized, so if you'd like to donate and encourage me to spend the time and effort it takes to check all this information, please send money to a charity I endorse, listed in the video description. Thanks.The charity I strongly endorse is called Health in Harmony. It funds a hospital in Borneo that provides affordable health care to villages on the edge of a national park in return for a pledge not to cut down trees. The pledges are monitored, and the result has been a dramatic decrease in deforestation rates and an increase in the health of the local population. Thanks to your generous contributions, the founders are spreading the idea to other countries, like Madagascar. See psmag.com/social-justice/save-the-trees-well-save-your-life-46121 for an explanation of their work. You can make a donation by bank transfer here…healthinharmony.org/donateSOURCES CONTINUED FROM PINNED COMMENT:WHO Director-General's statement on the advice of the IHR Emergency Committee on Novel Coronavirus:www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-statement-on-the-advice-of-the-ihr-emergency-committee-on-novel-coronavirusTrump tweet:twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1220818115354923009Wuhan mayor admits 'withholding' information about outbreak, scientists fear 100,000 have already been infectedmeaww.com/wuhan-coronavirus-mayor-admits-withholding-information-about-deadly-outbreak-offers-to-resignwww.scmp.com/news/china/politics/article/3047230/wuhan-mayor-under-pressure-resign-over-response-coronavirusAP report on recordings of frustration at WHO: apnews.com/3c061794970661042b18d5aeaaed9faeWHO Jan 12 statement:www.who.int/csr/don/12-january-2020-novel-coronavirus-china/en/ "Chinese researchers reveal draft genome of virus implicated in Wuhan pneumonia outbreak"www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/01/chinese-researchers-reveal-draft-genome-virus-implicated-wuhan-pneumonia-outbreakNovel 2019 coronavirus genome:virological.org/t/novel-2019-coronavirus-genome/319www.who.int/china/news/detail/09-01-2020-who-statement-regarding-cluster-of-pneumonia-cases-in-wuhan-chinaWHO travel advice Jan 12:www.who.int/csr/don/12-january-2020-novel-coronavirus-china/en/"430,000 People Have Traveled From China to U.S. Since Coronavirus Surfaced"www.nytimes.com/2020/04/04/us/coronavirus-china-travel-restrictions.html Feb 29 WHO advice on travel:www.who.int/news-room/articles-detail/updated-who-recommendations-for-international-traffic-in-relation-to-covid-19-outbreakwww.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-opening-remarks-at-the-media-briefing-on-covid-19---3-march-2020Seasonal flu R-rate:"Modeling influenza epidemics and pandemics: insights into the future of swine flu (H1N1)" -- Coburn et al. That evidence was available to tedros at the time of his speech, so his statement was incorrect. "Advances on presymptomatic or asymptomatic carrier transmission of COVID-19" -- Gao et al. 6 March 2020"Presumed Asymptomatic Carrier Transmission of COVID-19"Yan Bai et al. "Asymptomatic spread of coronavirus is ‘very rare,’ WHO says" - Jun 8 press conference by Kerkhove.www.cnbc.com/2020/06/08/asymptomatic-coronavirus-patients-arent-spreading-new-infections-who-says.html?__source=twitter%7Cmain"WHO walks back comments on asymptomatic coronavirus spread, says much is still unknown" -- Jun 9 press conference by Kerkhove.www.cnbc.com/2020/06/09/who-scrambles-to-clarify-comments-on-asymptomatic-coronavirus-spread-much-is-still-unknown.html"WHO official clarifies position on asymptomatic COVID-19 spread"www1.racgp.org.au/newsgp/clinical/who-official-clarifies-misleading-position-on-asym#:~:text=A%20recent%20review%20analysing%20data,a%20'considerably%20lower%20rate'.Study on asymptomatic spread:jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2766237thorax.bmj.com/content/75/8/693"COVID-19: in the footsteps of Ernest Shackleton"Ing et al., 27 May 2020"Advice on the use of masks the community, during home care and in health care settings in the context of the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) outbreak - Interim guidance"W.H.O. 29 January 2020Problems of Taiwan joining the WHO as a sovereign country:www.newsweek.com/taiwan-declines-chinas-condition-take-part-world-health-organization-again-1504423#slideshow/1590619
A short chronology of failed ice age predictions potholer54 2020-07-10 | This is NOT a new video. I got lots of requests to re-post the final part of my video "Are we headed for a Grand Solar Minimum?" -- and complaints that the music was too loud -- so I have finally acquiesced and I'm posting it here as a stand-alone. Feel free to mirror, upload, tweet, share, whatever you want to do, as long as it's attributed to me and not edited or voiced over without permission. The sources of the temperature graph are written on the graph itself at 0:59. GISS, Hadley, NOAA, Berkeley Earth and Cowtan & Way. To see the full video and sources, please see "Are we headed for a Grand Solar Minimum?" youtube.com/watch?v=wjgCaF9BGUo&t=1461s Also "How accurate are scientific predictions about climate?"youtube.com/watch?v=ugwqXKHLrGk&t=1134sMUSIC: Happy Life by FREDJI
Are we headed for a Grand Solar Minimum? potholer54 2020-06-27 | CORRECTIONS: At 0:59 I should have said "luminosity" instead of "luminescence."At 3:00 I read the range of estimates of past GSM dips from 0.08% to 0.25%. I should have said "most estimates," because Anet et al's highest estimate was 0.4% SOURCES:00:10 - "The persistence of solar activity indicators and the descent of the Sun into Maunder Minimum conditions," Lockwood et al., GRL 20110:14 - "Could a future "Grand dolar minimum" like the Maunder Minimum stop global warming?" -- Meehl et al., 20130:16 - "Regional Climate impacts of a possible future grand solar minimum" -- Ineson et al, Nature Communications0:41 - wattsupwiththat.com/2018/03/18/approaching-grand-solar-minimum-could-cause-global-cooling0:45 - "Prediction of solar activity from solar background magnetic field variations in cycles 21 - 23" -- Shepherd at al., Tha Astrophysical Journal (Nov 2014)0:57 - Faint Young Sun paradox: researchgate.net/figure/Illustration-of-the-Faint-Young-Sun-Paradox_fig1_262452752 1:27 - researchgate.net/figure/The-PMOD-TSI-composite-shows-peak-to-peak-TSI-variability-of-01-in-each-of-the-three_fig1_3040184262:58 -- "On the effect of a new grand minimum of solar activityon the future climate on Earth" -- Feulner and Rahmstorf , 2010 "Could a future “Grand Solar Minimum” like the Maunder Minimum stop global warming?" -- Meehl et al. , 2013" The impact of a future solar minimum on climate change projectionsin the Northern Hemisphere" -- Chiodo et al., Environmental Research Letters (2016)" What influence will future solar activity changes over the 21st century have on projected global near-surface temperature changes?" -- Jones et al. 2012 (incorrectly dates as 2011 in the video)" Solar change and climate: an update in the lightof the current exceptional solar minimum" -- Lockwood et al. , 2009; " Prediction of solar activity for the next 500 years" -- Steinhilber and Beer , 2013"Impact of a potential 21st century “grand solar minimum” on surfacetemperatures and stratospheric ozone" -- Anet, J. G., et al. Geophys. Res. Lett (2013), earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/7122/chilly-temperatures-during-the-maunder-minimum based on Shindell 20014:26 -- "Solar Forcing of Regional Climate Change During the Maunder Minimum" - Shindel at al., Science 20016:22 -- " The impact of a future solar minimum on climate change projectionsin the Northern Hemisphere" -- Chiodo et al., Environmental Research Letters (2016)7:06 -- upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2015/07/11/Earth-heading-for-mini-ice-age-in-just-15-years-scientists-say/27514366490257:43 -- telegraph.co.uk/news/science/11733369/Earth-heading-for-mini-ice-age-within-15-years.html#:~:text=The%20earth%20is%2015%20years,produces%20%22unprecedentedly%20accurate%20predictions%22.7:50 - independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change/mini-ice-age-coming-in-next-fifteen-years-new-model-of-the-suns-cycle-shows-103824008:21 -- nam2015.org/press-releases/64-irregular-heartbeat-of-the-sun-driven-by-double-dynamo8:29 -- "Heartbeat of the Sun from Principal Component Analysis and prediction of solar activity on a millenium timescale" -- Zharkova, Scientific Reports (Open access)10:01 -- "Scientists dispute 'ice age' warnings" -- USA Today - usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2015/07/16/scientists-dispute-ice-age-warnings/3025740911:23 -- Int Business Times ibtimes.com/scientist-warns-mini-ice-age-sun-hibernates-during-solar-minimum-2915068#:~:text=An%20expert%20warned%20that%20Earth,that%20occurs%20every%2011%20years.11:42 -- www.express.co.uk/news/science/1237178/weather-warning-ice-age-earth-sun-hibernates-solar-minimum-long-range-forecast headline correction11:52 -- www.thesun.co.uk/tech/10864950/mini-ice-age-earth-weather/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=sharebarweb12:12 -- Zharkova video - www.youtube.com/watch?v=JyyuouPSNEA 213:09 -- "Reconstruction of solar irradiance since the Maunder Minimum" -- Lean et al., GPL (2000)14:14 -- sciencemag.org/news/2018/11/why-536-was-worst-year-be-alive14:48 https://www.thenational.ae/world/gcc/flash-floods-strike-oman-as-temperatures-sink-below-zero-1.964904 15:23 -- youtube.com/user/MyanmarLiving16:57 - www.facebook.com/pg/Inventor-Lee-Wheelbarger-424739434370221/posts/?ref=page_internal 121:39 -- metro.co.uk/2018/11/16/nasa-slowdown-814652922:02 - spaceweatherarchive.com/2018/09/27/the-chill-of-solar-minimum23:05 -- climatefeedback.org/we-are-not-heading-towards-a-mini-ice-age-contrary-to-claims-in-some-media23:39 -- www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2015/07/150709092955[YouTube says the description is now too long. Please google other sources from titles shown on the screen - sorry.]
Did SARS-Cov-2 start in a Chinese lab? potholer54 2020-05-16 | TO SUPPORT THIS CHANNEL please do not donate to me, donate to a charity I strongly support that provides health care to poor villages in exchange for a commitment to protecting forests -- two birds with one stone! The pledges are monitored, and the result has been a dramatic decrease in deforestation rates and an increase in the health of the local population. Thanks to your generous contributions, the founders are spreading the idea to other countries. See psmag.com/social-justice/save-the-trees-well-save-your-life-46121 for an explanation of their work. You can make a donation by bank transfer here…healthinharmony.org/donateCORRECTIONS:1) @24:40 I said SARS-Cov-2 "shares most of its DNA....." I should have said "gene sequence" not "DNA". SARS-Cov-2 is an RNA-based virus.2) One poster who says he works in a lab that handles viruses says they're typically stored at around -80 decC, not -23 degC. I can't verify that, but either way I can confirm that they are deep frozen, and not likely to leak out of their sealed containers.3) At 19:59 I said "the fact this virus wasn't engineered..." I should have said: "The fact that this study shows the virus wasn't engineered....'SOURCES FOR THIS VIDEO:laowhy86's two videos can be found here:youtube.com/watch?v=a-GVcfP1zrg&list=PLGVxWL17abn6F5jbtE18EJcFS8tjZoCf_&index=6&t=440syoutube.com/watch?v=bpQFCcSI0pU&list=PLGVxWL17abn6F5jbtE18EJcFS8tjZoCf_&index=5&t=266s1:00 -- Bolt Report, Sky News1:09 -- chanworld.org/wp-content/uploads/wpforo/default_attachments/1581810860-447056518-Originsof2019-NCoV-XiaoB-Res.pdf1:29 -- youtube.com/watch?v=I-PNVczw4II&lc=UgyHe59OkUC90kEIRpV4AaABAg3:37 -- chanworld.org/wp-content/uploads/wpforo/default_attachments/1581810860-447056518-Originsof2019-NCoV-XiaoB-Res.pdf4:35 Ibid.5:17 -- hyoutube.com/watch?v=I-PNVczw4II&lc=UgyHe59OkUC90kEIRpV4AaABAg5:31 -- http://rfi.my/5OFG 5:48 -- chanworld.org/wp-content/uploads/wpforo/default_attachments/1581810860-447056518-Originsof2019-NCoV-XiaoB-Res.pdf6:16 -- Ibid.6:33 -- http://www.xinhuanet.com/local/2017-05/03/c_1120909064_2.htm and k.sina.cn/article_1893761531_70e081fb020002llo.html7:20 -- twitter.com/laurie_garrett/status/12287342182278963219:24 -- researchgate.net/scientific-contributions/2035568207_Yanling_Huang11:40 -- http://gd.whiov.cas.cn/zxpy/yjsswgg/201409/t20140923_258008.html12:28 -- http://www.whiov.cas.cn/105341/201912/t20191224_5471634.html14:23 -- dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8233185/Shock-photos-inside-Wuhan-lab-stores-1-500-virus-strains.html14:29 -- thesun.co.uk/news/11429828/photo-wuhan-lab-broken-seal-unit-virus-store-leak14:41 -- http://english.whiov.cas.cn/ne/201806/t20180604_193863.html15:09 -- youtube.com/watch?v=I-PNVczw4II 15:14 -- scientificamerican.com/article/how-chinas-bat-woman-hunted-down-viruses-from-sars-to-the-new-coronavirus115:29 -- washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/04/14/state-department-cables-warned-safety-issues-wuhan-lab-studying-bat-coronaviruses15:57 -- scientificamerican.com/article/how-chinas-bat-woman-hunted-down-viruses-from-sars-to-the-new-coronavirus116:08 -- youtube.com/watch?v=I-PNVczw4II reading Telegraph story at https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/coronavirus/bombshell-dossier-lays-out-case-against-chinese-bat-virus-program/news-story/55add857058731c9c71c0e96ad17da6016:32 -- "A pneumonia outbreak associated with a new coronavirus of probable bat origin" Peng Zhou et al., Nature 202016:49 Guangzhou pangolins 99% paperhttps://scau.edu.cn/2020/0207/c1300a219015/page.htm16:55 -- Nature - did pangolins spread virus?nature.com/articles/d41586-020-00364-219:00 (approx) -- "The proximal origin of SARS-CoV-2," -- Nature Medicine 202020:25 -- https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/coronavirus/bombshell-dossier-lays-out-case-against-chinese-bat-virus-program/news-story/55add857058731c9c71c0e96ad17da60
Coronavirus: Science vs. politics potholer54 2020-03-31 | TO SUPPORT THE POTHOLER54 CHANNEL, PLEASE SUPPORT THIS CHARITY INSTEAD: psmag.com/social-justice/save-the-trees-well-save-your-life-46121 for an explanation of their work. healthinharmony.org/donateCORRECTIONS:1) Dr. Li Wenlian didn't put his first post on Weibo, as I reported, but on a private forum. It was therefore only circulated among health professionals. To call him a "whistleblower" may therefore be a misnoma.2) The Wuhan market was closed for renovation AND sanitation. I missed the latter.3) 3:08 -- One of the reasons SARS-Cov-2 was far more deadly is that, unlike the flu, there would be no natural immunity. Just to be clear, that refers to populations. There are always a few individuals who are immune to any new pathogen. SOURCES:I usually give my sources in chronological order and time-stamp each, so it can be easily referenced from the videos. However, this normally takes a couple of days, and the situation with the coronavirus is changing so rapidly that I would have to re-make the video after even that short period of time. Already I have had to change a segment about re-opening for business after POTUS first said he want to re-open the country for business by Easter, then within days shifted that to the end of April. So I will just have to copy and paste all my sources, as is. And since I have no time to write out publications, dates, authors and titles of scientific papers, you will have to get these directly off the screen. If details are not visible, just put the title of the paper into Google Scholar. Thanks for your understandingwww.thelancet.com/pdfs/journals/laninf/PIIS1473-3099(20)30120-1.pdfcdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/testing-in-us.htmlwww.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/statement-press-secretary-regarding-presidents-coronavirus-task-forcewww.sciencemag.org/news/2020/03/i-m-going-keep-pushing-anthony-fauci-tries-make-white-house-listen-facts-pandemicwww.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2020/03/26/821688981/how-south-korea-reigned-in-the-outbreak-without-shutting-everything-downwww.businessinsider.com.au/us-coronavirus-testing-problems-timeline-2020-3?r=US&IR=Ttime.com/5793605/coronavirus-testing-united-stateswww.wsj.com/articles/act-now-to-prevent-an-american-epidemic-11580255335imperial.ac.uk/news/196234/covid19-imperial-researchers-model-likely-impacthotair.com/archives/john-s-2/2020/03/26/ny-times-inside-new-york-hospital-straining-deal-virusforbes.com/sites/tarahaelle/2020/03/23/man-dead-from-taking-chloroquine-after-trump-touts-drug-for-coronavirus/#7bb80f6b72e9snopes.com/fact-check/timeline-trump-covid19-responsesfactcheck.org/2020/03/trumps-statements-about-the-coronavirusthelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(20)30235-8/fulltexttimelinehttps://www.businessinsider.com.au/coronavirus-pandemic-timeline-history-major-events-2020-3?r=US&IR=Thttps://www1.folha.uol.com.br/poder/2020/03/veja-o-que-bolsonaro-ja-disse-sobre-coronavirus-de-certa-histeria-a-fantasia-e-nerouse.shtmlaxios.com/timeline-the-early-days-of-chinas-coronavirus-outbreak-and-cover-up-ee65211a-afb6-4641-97b8-353718a5faab.htmltheguardian.com/world/2020/mar/11/coronavirus-wuhan-doctor-ai-fen-speaks-out-against-authoritiesheadtopics.com/au/how-beijing-kept-the-world-in-the-dark-as-coronavirus-spread-11043855Hannityyoutube.com/watch?v=-EQy2eawqS0http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2020/01/more-details-emerge-new-coronavirus-wuhan-clusterhttps://www.who.int/china/news/detail/09-01-2020-who-statement-regarding-cluster-of-pneumonia-cases-in-wuhan-chinacdc.gov/media/releases/2020/p0121-novel-coronavirus-travel-case.htmlheadtopics.com/au/how-beijing-kept-the-world-in-the-dark-as-coronavirus-spread-11043855youtube.com/watch?v=JNeYRwChLfEtheguardian.com/us-news/2020/mar/28/trump-coronavirus-politics-us-health-disasterreuters.com/article/us-china-health-delta-air/major-us-airlines-cancel-china-flights-as-government-steps-up-warnings-idUSKBN1ZU25Iedition.cnn.com/2020/02/27/politics/pence-messaging-coronavirus/index.htmldni.gov/files/ODNI/documents/2019-ATA-SFR---SSCI.pdfwashingtonpost.com/news/to-your-health/wp/2018/05/10/top-white-house-official-in-charge-of-pandemic-response-exits-abruptlynytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/17/us/coronavirus-testing-data.html?auth=login-email&login=emailgithub.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-andamento-nazionale/dpc-covid19-ita-andamento-nazionale.csvhttps://www.cdc.go.kr/board/board.es?mid=&bid=0030bsg.ox.ac.uk/research/research-projects/oxford-covid-19-government-response-tracker
The cause of Australia’s bushfires – what the SCIENCE says potholer54 2020-01-19 | Arson? Lack of hazard reduction? Nothing new? This video looks at what fire chiefs and scientists say is the REAL cause of the 2019-2020 fires in Australia, in response to amateur theories proposed by media commentators and bloggers. -- Potholer54CORRECTIONS: 1) The pronunciation of Bourke rhymes with 'Turk' not 'torque.' 2) The police report on the screen shows 53 legal actions for failing to comply with the fire ban, I accidentally said 57 in the voiceover.3) One poster has commented: "You said that 83% of hazard reduction burns have been carried out. But that was referring to all bushfire protection works mentioned, not just hazard reduction. The hazard reduction percentage is 76%." I have not had time to verify this. SOURCES:0:04 -- The Golden Globes 2019.1:06 -- theconversation.com/is-australias-current-drought-caused-by-climate-change-its-complicated-978671:27 -- Chris Kenny, Sky News1:33 – Terry McCrann, Herald Sun1:47 -- wattsupwiththat.com/2020/01/05/bush-bull2:23 – Tony Heller, youtube.com/watch?v=rxJTZvRl13Q2:53 -- http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/data/acorn-sat/3:06 – Ibid. See also “Australian Climate Trends” Bureau of Meteorology, Feb 20183:50 -- youtube.com/watch?v=rxJTZvRl13Q4:33 -- http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/dwo/201912/html/IDCJDW2016.201912.shtml4:57 -- Paul Joseph Watson youtube.com/watch?v=B_tn8f0uaB4&t=3s6:32 -- www.3aw.com.au/no-silver-bullet-another-authority-talks-down-controlled-burns-as-australian-fire-prevention8:28 – http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/9:00 -- https://www.smh.com.au/national/this-is-not-normal-what-s-different-about-the-nsw-mega-fires-20191110-p5395e.html9:16 – “Bushfire Weather in Southeast Australia: RecentTrends and Projected Climate Change Impacts” – Lucas et al., Sep 2007For a worldwide perspective, see also “Climate-induced variations in global wildfire danger from 1979 to 2013” – Jolly et al Nature Communications 20159:48 -- “Changes in Australian weather between 1973 and 2010” – Clarke and Lucas, International Journal of Climatology 201210:08 -- www.youtube.com/watch?v=wbyBKGc_T1Y&t=2634s.10:38 -- Paul John Watson youtube.com/watch?v=B_tn8f0uaB4&t=3s10:48 -- Australian Institute of Criminology stats tabulated by Fairfax media11:13 -- www.youtube.com/watch?v=8jAXAf3-4SE11:16 – James Delingpole, Breitbart News12:02 -- https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/bushfires-firebugs-fuelling-crisis-asarson-arresttollhits183/news-story/52536dc9ca9bb87b7c76d36ed1acf53f12:23 -- www.police.nsw.gov.au/news/news_article?sq_content_src=%2BdXJsPWh0dHBzJTNBJTJGJTJGZWJpenByZC5wb2xpY2UubnN3Lmdvdi5hdSUyRm1lZGlhJTJGODIyNjQuaHRtbCZhbGw9MQ%3D%3D13:46 -- https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-01-11/australias-fires-reveal-arson-not-a-major-cause/1185502214:06 -- www.3aw.com.au/no-silver-bullet-another-authority-talks-down-controlled-burns-as-australian-fire-prevention14:12 -- www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/victoria-police-rejects-social-media-campaign-claiming-arson-caused-fires-20200108-p53pwj.html15:07 -- https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-01-11/australias-fires-reveal-arson-not-a-major-cause/1185502216:24 -- www.youtube.com/watch?v=wbyBKGc_T1Y&t=2634s17:21 – https://greens.org.au/bushfires17:46 -- www.youtube.com/watch?v=NoEYok70dxQ 119:33 -- www.3aw.com.au/no-silver-bullet-another-authority-talks-down-controlled-burns-as-australian-fire-prevention20:17 -- theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/nov/12/is-there-really-a-green-conspiracy-to-stop-bushfire-hazard-reduction20:43 -- www.abc.net.au/news/2020-01-07/fuel-reduction-burn-debate-rubbish-says-vic-fire-chief/1184952222:29 -- Chris Kenny, Sky News www.youtube.com/watch?v=GJEavnE15lI22:49 -- Dr. Sarah Perkins Kirkpatrick, senior researcher on climate at the UNSW, interviewed for BBC Science in Action. 23:24 -- “Deluge and drought: Australia’s water security in a changing climate” – Climate Council, 201824:09 – Dr. Andy Pitman comments broadcast on ABC Media Watch25:53 -- http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/history/ln-2010-12/IOD-what.shtml28:03 -- “What causes southeast Australia’s worst droughts?” -- Ummenhofer et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 200928:13 – “Climate change contributes to more frequent consecutive positive Indian Ocean Dipole events” – Cai and Cohen, Geophysical Research Letters, 200929:44 - youtube.com/watch?v=Hx7vhy2_O5Y34:10 - www.businessinsider.com.au/australian-bushfires-cost-economy-surplus-government-spending-2020-1www.fiveaa.com.au/news/supermarket-food-prices-are-expected-go-because-bushfiresSee also “Big firms at risk if drought isn’t broken soon” The Australian, Sep 11 2019 35:40 – “Garnaut Climate Change Review” 200735:35 -- “National Inquiry on Bushfire Mitigation and Management” – Ellis et al., 2004
Potholer54 Channel trailer potholer54 2020-01-07 | This is my new channel trailer. There is no new material in here, just clips from my videos that illustrate what my channel is all about.Please feel free to mirror it or pass it on if you'd like other people to get to know this channel. Thanks.The charity I strongly endorse is called Health in Harmony. Listen to my radio report here: https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b08h... Or read about it here: https://psmag.com/social-justice/save...... for an explanation of their work. You can make a donation by bank transfer here…healthinharmony.org/donateOr by Paypal here:https://www.paypal.com/fundraiser/112...Thanks -- Your generous donations are what keep this channel going.
Whats happening to Greenlands most enigmatic glacier? potholer54 2019-12-26 | Scientists are concerned about the Petermann glacier in Greenland. Some bloggers are not. Looking at satellite photos, the bloggers seem to be right. Could this be a first?The charity I strongly endorse is called Health in Harmony. Listen to my radio report here: bbc.co.uk/programmes/b08hnly0 Or read about it here: https://psmag.com/social-justice/save-the-trees-well-save-your-life-46121... for an explanation of their work. You can make a donation by bank transfer here…healthinharmony.org/donateOr by Paypal here:paypal.com/fundraiser/112574644767835624/charity/171300Thanks -- Your generous donations are what keep this channel going.0:00 -- notrickszone.com/2017/11/24/warming-defied-greenland-glacier-growth-over-past-5-years-polar-bears-leaving-early-for-icewww.iceagenow.com/Growing_Glaciers.htmtwitter.com/Tony__Heller/status/1145661156570230784iceagenow.info/greenlands-petermann-glacier-advancing-ten-feet-per-daywattsupwiththat.com/2017/11/22/remember-when-the-calving-of-the-petermann-glacier-was-a-sure-sign-of-global-warming-never-mind00:12 -- independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/huge-iceberg-breaks-away-from-petermann-glacier-fuelling-fears-over-global-warming-7958999.html00:36 -- youtube.com/watch?v=provEPrJhNc01:29 -- realclimatescience.com/2019/07/growth-of-the-petermann-glacier-since-2012-201:37 -- https://news.medill.northwestern.edu/chicago/greenland-ice-tongue-at-risk-of-melting-away-again/01:56 -- Stability of the Petermann ice shelf from 1874 to 2010 can be found in a number of sources, including "Calving Induced Speedup of Petermann Glacier” -- Martin Rückamp et al., Journal of Geophysical Research 201802:36 – earthshots.usgs.gov/earthshots/node/70#ad-image-2-002:48 – Ibid.03:04 – “The ice shelf of Petermann gletscher, North greenland, and its connection to the Arctic and Atlantic oceans” – Munchow et al, Oceanography Also in: “Interannual changes of the floating ice shelf of Petermann Gletscher, North Greenland, from 2000 to 2012” – Munchow et al., Journal of Glaciology 201403:16 – “Calving Induced Speedup of Petermann Glacier” -- Martin Rückamp et al., Journal of Geophysical Research 20183:35 -- twitter.com/Tony__Heller/status/11456611565702307843:41 -- youtube.com/watch?v=provEPrJhNc3:52 -- iceagenow.info/greenlands-petermann-glacier-advancing-ten-feet-per-day4:16 -- “The ice shelf of Petermann gletscher, North greenland, and its connection to the Arctic and Atlantic oceans” – Munchow et al, Oceanography4:21 -- nasaviz.gsfc.nasa.gov (for all satellite images of Petermann glacier)4:24 – “The Holocene retreat dynamics and stability of Petermann Glacier in northwest Greenland” – Jakobssen et al., Nature Communications 20184:34 -- “Calving Induced Speedup of Petermann Glacier” -- Martin Rückamp et al., Journal of Geophysical Research 20186:23 – For an explanation of the mechanism of the Petermann glacier, and the significance of the blockage, see:8:02 -- “North Greenland Glacier Velocities and Calf Ice Production” -- Anthony K. Higgins, Polarforschung 19918:14 -- “Unprecedented Retreat in a 50-Year Observational Record for Petermann Glacier, North Greenland” – Johannessen et al., Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters 20138:44 – Ibid.9:11 -- independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/huge-iceberg-breaks-away-from-petermann-glacier-fuelling-fears-over-global-warming-7958999.html9:16 -- wattsupwiththat.com/2017/11/22/remember-when-the-calving-of-the-petermann-glacier-was-a-sure-sign-of-global-warming-never-mind9:18 -- www.realclimatescience.com/2017/09/greenlands-petermann-glacier-growing-ten-feet-per-day10:26 -- washingtonpost.com/sf/business/2016/12/30/with-enough-evidence-even-skepticism-will-thaw
