Pablosdog
January 1 2022 HNY Pan
updated
~ 75+ F Air
~ 64F Water
~ 30-40% RH
Apparent horizon higher than the 18th.
Still hazy making it hard to see the further bits clearly.
Lots of heat haze too.
What are we looking at refraction wise in this one?
Interesting that the top of the "refration zone" is right around my elevation at Mesa....and the background above that elevation appears ~ where it should be for a 3 point equal elevation line up.
Would be nice to compare to the Skew-T Temp/P vs altitude model data.....but it's no longer available....
Semi clear
~68F
Less than 50% RH
Water is around 64F
Typical low apparent horizon at Mesa...but w/o an obvious inferior mirage present down at the 23 mile Mussel Shoals area. The light spot just above the water to the right (see Community page photo from Hwy 101) clearly visible. As is the Never Ever Ridge behind Henry...
P1000
Was pointing WNW at beginning...SSE+ at end....
~ 57 F Water
~ 40% RH
Non Std Atmosphere modeled near Mugu
Interesting mirage....especially behind Hogan
Morgan Stanley Building to left of Henry
~63F Air
~60% RH
See Temp and P model on Community...non Std.
Boat at 1:00 + is headed into SB Harbor at around 8 miles.
Bit of swell in the Channel...5 ft or so.
Morgan Stanley Building to left of Henry?
Not much IM this time...most all of background is visible but observed lower than an "as flat" 3 points of equal elevation line up.
~61 F Air
~57 F Water
~50% RH
Interesting temp profile model near Mugu...check Community page.
Bit higher apparent horizon at Mesa & no obvious IM at Mussel Shoals.
Like 61F air
58 F water
Maybe 60% RH
Standard Atmosphere like at the Mugu Model for this day and time.
Noticeable mirroring above the apparent horizon...inferior mirage affecting the base of the rigs too...hiding Z feet....so at twice the distance...how much is now hidden due to perspective shrinkage?
~53F Air
~58F Water
Highish RH
Bit hazy...but nice colors.
Obvious Inferior Mirage...moderately strong
UCSB Campus Point Parking Lot #-6
Approx 45 ft camera height
P1000
~ 57F Water
Higher RH
See atmos data on Community pg
Less delta T near the surface?
Now 3 ships...including the one in Part 1.
~58-59 F Water
~50% RH
Std Atm. see modeled data on Community
Same thing...third day.
~ 58-59F air and water
~60% RH
45 ft Camera elevation
Warm under cool again based on the modeled data & the observed IM along the lower elevations supporting that...Std Atmosphere like.
See data on Community Page.
~58F air and water
Like 50-60% RH
Minus tide
Vandenberg launch rumble in background.
Typical std like atmosphere modeled...see Community for the table.
Typical IM and the like hiding the far shores....couple hundred feet easy.
But...we still see way too much of the far elevations if it was a globe with the specified r every time. Hmmm?
~ 59 F Water
Around 50% RH
Non Std Atmosphere / Refraction based on Model near Mugu...see Community page for the data
Can see HWY 101 traffic and far shoreline elevations 30 - 40 miles from 45 ft elevation camera at UCSB Campus Point...Port Hueneme 39-40 miles s/b 600 ft below a physical horizon (provided for reference w/o refraction)...decent three point same-elevation line-ups.
Gina 38 mi
Gilda 28.7 mi
Grace 26.5 mi
Gail 32 Mi
Camera 45 ft
~ 59F Water
Mid level RH
Clear and beautiful
T and P vs Alt model data not standard
Can see some landmarks left of Henry.
Highish RH
5 ft long period swell
Good size IM hiding like 300 ft at 30 plus miles.
UCSB Lot #6 ~45 ft camera elevation
~ 60-61 F water
~ 50% RH
Warm to cooler air at elevation based on the model near Mugu...see Community.
Moderate Inferior Mirage observed.
~61 F Water
~50% RH
Minus tide
Lowish but not that low apparent horizon at Mesa
Can see movement on HWY 101 at Mussel Shoals around 25 ft elevation
Not hidden by like 150 ft of curved earth
Light hitting the camera at lower than actual angles...but still there....me thinks. Compressed?
Re-thinking 45 ft marker on cliff at Mesa...might be lower than original estimate.
Was expecting more inferior mirage...
See T vs Alt modeled data near Mugu on Community page
~50% RH
Fairly strong Inferior Mirage
See the T vs Alt modeled data for this pan on Community page.
Warm to cool.
~61 F Water
Lowish RH
Check T vs Alt model on Community Page for this day / time
Warm to cool...a typical day.
~61F Air and Water
~50% RH
Warm to cooler T vs Altitude per Mugu area model....see Community page.
Associated Inferior Mirage present across the scene.
~61 F Air and water
~50% RH
Obvious Inferior Mirage...
...due to warm under cooler conditions
...backed up a bit by the modeled T vs Alt near Mugu, see Community page
Light hitting your eyes at a lower angle than actual IMO.
The lower parts compressed and drowned out by the sea....
Nice Mil fly by at the end...check it out.
50% + RH
Moderate Inferior Mirage present
Followes the T vs. Alt model near Mugu
Nextdoor neighbor walked up at very end to say hello...
Wondered what I was filming..."the flat earth..."
Gave him some of the basics to consider....he's an engineer as well.
He said "...post Covid, Conspiracy stuff wasn't that far fetched anymore".
It was his first time talking about flat earth....had really only heard about it a few months ago.
Does zero social media and watches no TV.
Inferior Mirage at play.....
Approx 45 ft ASL (camera elevation)
New location is about 100 ft south of the previous.
~62F Water
Highish RH
See T vs Alt data on Community Page....warm to cool...generally Standard Atmosphere
Low apparent horizon at Mesa...
~62 F water
RH lowish
Some neat mirages
45 ft camera
UCSB Parking Lot #6
~62F water
?? RH
Trucks and cars on the 101 below Carp.
Apparent horizon beyond the rigs.
Seven swans a swimming
Non Standard atmosphere modeled near Mugu...
More uniform density....less gradient?
Camera Height ~45ft
Henry ~16.8 miles
The Ridge ~ 50 miles
Saddle Peak ~ 71 miles
~63F Water
Lower humidity like less than 40%.
Clear low particle day...
Good deal of upward displacement of background mountains due to mirage...just use Henry as a closer by reference...
...in a non std atmosphere per the model up to a certain elevation.
See T vs Alt modeled plots on Community
Less than 50% RH
Std atmosphere more or less based on model data.
The T vs Alt data I've posted is modeled...not actual.
Correlation to actual?
12.04.2023 vid to this one?
~ 63 F Water
Low RH
Non Std Atmosphere near Mugu based on the T vs Alt data for this vid.
Looks like the background is being displaced upwards...hmmm?
Crane dropping and picking up a load...
Base of C in inferior mirage mirror...
~63F Water
~40-50% RH
Check Community for T vs Alt data for this pan
Warm to cool generally.....but not an obvious Inferior Mirage day.
Less than 50% RH
Location: UCSB Lot #6, ~45ft camera elevation
See Temp vs Alt data near Mugu for this vid on Community page
Non Standard Atmosphere observed near Mugu
Standard Refraction non applicable
~64F water
~30% RH
High overcast
Warm under cooler air near Mugu...see T vs Alt plot in Community
Shot from UCSB Lot #6 ~45 ft camera elevation
Like 40% RH?
See Community for Mugu area T vs Alt. data at his time.
Check the bobbing boats and action at Platform A (did not see it when filming).
See Community for Mugu area Temperature vs. Altitude data.
Cool down low....then warmer above....then cooling again above that.
Good discussion with a passer by....he asked what I was filming....I replied "the flat earth"...showed him the landscape that should be below the globe horizon...discussed the surface of water....pressure system next to endless low low pressure of "space". You could see his wheels turning....
UCSB Lot #6 ~45 ft elevation
~68F air
~64F water
Semi low RH ~30%+
Seeing down to the 101 Highway again at Mussel Shoals ....compressed a bit...
At very end of vid...2 Black Swan Sailboats out from the SB Harbor near the expected geometric horizon location at 8.2 miles.
Cool air low down then warmer then cooler higher up...SE of Mugu NAS based on the data...see Community post for the temp vs elevation data.
Mostly foreground mirage...despite my narration of guessing while squinting at the backlit viewfinder :-)
Water ~64F
RH ~ 25%
Low-ish tide
Mugu area altitude vs. temperature plot on community page...
Unknown temp below 56 ft but warming up above that almost 5C to like 1500 ft then cooling.
Can see the cars and trucks on the 101....and their stacked reflections in the foreground inferior mirage.
Mid 60s air
63-64F water
~50% RH
See Temp vs Altitude plot near Mugu in Community
Cooler air under warmer down low?
Semi high apparent horizon at Mesa
Can see buildings at Mussel Shoals...cars and trucks on 101
Never Ever Ridge still not below the horizon
~64F water bulk
Low RH like 30%
Mid tides
Maybe 4 ft swell at 12 s
Notice the surfers bobbing offa Mesa.
No can see 'um nope there they are!
Demonstrates obstruction by foreground swell and waves.
Now imagine what happens to objects at Mussel Shoals
Everything adds up
Will post temp vs altitudes data in Community for this pan...nearby at least.
Three point equal elevation line-up observed.
Again.
Water like 64F
RH low around 15-20%
Seeing most of the background down to shore?
Temp vs altitude plot for same time within 10 mile says?
Ventura Point 13 story hotel visible to right of Hogan?
At 6:00 can see red stripped stacks at Port Hueneme Power station
In the foreground mirage mostly...the actual above
43 miles distant along shore
Should be like 700ft below globe horizon...if...
So that's a mirage of a....mirage?
Water ~64F
Low RH at like 15-20%
3 point equal elevation line up...in general.
Impressionist painting like with the heat shimmers.
Check out Oil Rig Houchin at about 2:10.