European Central Bank
Banking Supervision Explained
updated
Host Stefania Secola discusses these topics with our Chief Economist Philip R. Lane. They also talk about the ECB’s recent changes to its operational framework for implementing monetary policy.
The views expressed are those of the speakers and not necessarily those of the European Central Bank.
Published on 25 March 2024 and recorded on 21 March 2024.
In this episode:
00:05 – Inflation right now
How has inflation evolved since its peak in late 2022? What is the outlook for the year ahead and what will shape our future decisions?
04:00 – Wages and inflation
How are rising wages affecting inflation, and is the situation the same across all euro area countries?
08:00 – The state of the labour market
Unemployment is historically low, but economic growth is projected to be lower than in previous years. What might the coming months hold for the labour market?
14:30 – The ECB’s operational framework
Why have we reviewed our operational framework for implementing monetary policy? How does it help our work to keep prices stable?
20:00 – Our guest’s hot tip
Our guest, Philip R. Lane, encourages our listeners to read a paper that looks at the macroeconometric models used at the ECB for forecasting and policy analysis.
The ECB Podcast: Are wages and greedflation really pushing up prices? June 2023
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/tvservices/podcast/html/ecb.pod230623_episode62.en.html
Occasional Paper 344: ECB macroeconometric models for forecasting and policy analysis
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpops/ecb.op344~53b9e2aa4d.en.pdf?14821c7f99280514dbdaa26114c4f565
Press release: ECB announces changes to the operational framework for implementing monetary policy
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2024/html/ecb.pr240313_1~a3a50a9add.en.html
Economic Bulletin Issue 2/2024, Article 1: The impact of recent shocks and ongoing structural changes on euro area productivity growth
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/economic-bulletin/articles/2024/html/ecb.ebart202402_01~d63ecff49c.en.html
Press release: Monetary policy decisions (7 March 2024)
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2024/html/ecb.mp240307~a5fa52b82b.en.html
European Central Bank
www.ecb.europa.eu
Earlier this week, we decided to keep our key interest rates unchanged!
Our past interest rate hikes are helping to push inflation down. Future decisions will depend on how we see the economy and inflation developing.
Our colleague Pedro explains what’s behind our decisions and how the economy is doing.
If you want to know more read our monetary policy statement at a glance https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pressconf/visual-mps/2024/html/mopo_statement_explained_march.en.html
While this situation is slowly improving, much more can be done. Female role models can inspire women to pursue a career in monetary policy and achieve better gender balance in this field.
To mark International Women’s Day, we spoke with top women economists who work in euro area central banks to learn more about their experiences. We also asked for the advice they would give to women interested in building a professional path in economics.
Listen to President Christine Lagarde present today’s decisions. The statement also covers:
- how the economy is performing
- how we expect prices to develop
- the risks to the economic outlook
- the dynamics behind financial and monetary conditions
Recorded and published on 7 March 2024
Our monetary policy statement at a glance, 7 March 2024 www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pressconf/…ed_march.en.html
Christine Lagarde, Luis de Guindos: Monetary policy statement, 7 March 2024 www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pressconf/…4650bd5c.en.html
Monetary policy decisions, 7 March 2024 www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/20…fa52b82b.en.html
Combined monetary policy decisions and statement, 7 March 2024 www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pressconf/…095a37dc4f1f6355
European Central Bank
www.ecb.europa.eu/home/html/index.en.html
You can also listen to The ECB Podcast on SoundCloud, Spotify, Deezer, Stitcher, YouTube, Amazon Music and many more pod.link/ecbpodcast
Join our host Stefania Secola and Sarai Artiles, who works on banknote communications, to find out more.
The views expressed are those of the speakers and not necessarily those of the European Central Bank.
Published on 10 February 2024 and recorded on 1 February 2024.
In this episode:
00:05 – The euro is turning 25
The euro unites us – it is used by 350 million people in 20 countries! Euro banknotes are a physical reminder of our shared identity.
01:56 – Why are we redesigning euro banknotes?
Security, environmental aspects and relatability: these are just some of the reasons we are designing a new series of euro banknotes.
05:28 – Many cultures, one euro
Euro banknotes are used by people with different backgrounds, cultures, and languages. How can future banknotes represent them all?
08:50 – What will they look like?
“European culture” and “Rivers and birds” have been selected as the themes for future euro banknotes. Does this mean we already know what they’ll look like?
10:20 – When can we start using them?
We have the themes, but what’s next in the banknote redesign process? When can we expect to start using these new banknotes?
12:30 – Our guest’s hot tip
Additional material:
Press release: ECB selects “European culture” and “Rivers and birds” as possible themes for future euro banknotes
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2023/html/ecb.pr231130~cad7fa27ab.en.html
Press release: ECB surveys Europeans on new themes for euro banknotes
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2023/html/ecb.pr230710~77cf718c59.en.html
Podcast: All you need to know about euro banknotes
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/tvservices/podcast/html/ecb.pod220205_episode27.en.html
Webpage: FAQ on the redesign of euro banknotes
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/euro/banknotes/future_banknotes/html/ecb.faq_banknotes_redesign.en.html
Webpage: The redesign process
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/euro/banknotes/future_banknotes/redesign/html/index.en.html
European Central Bank
http://www.ecb.europa.eu/
Bobby Bashford, ECB
Ana Isa Martins, ECB
Bobby Bashford, ECB
Bamini Raghavan, ECB
Flora Laszlo, ECB
Our host Stefania Secola discusses this and more with the head of the ECB’s climate change centre, Irene Heemskerk.
The views expressed are those of the speakers and not necessarily those of the European Central Bank.
Published on 31 January 2024 and recorded on 23 January 2024.
In this episode:
01:00 – The ECB’s work on climate
What has the ECB done so far to help tackle climate change, what does it plan to focus on going forward and why is this work important?
04:35 – The intensifying climate crisis
As global temperatures rise and extreme climate events become more frequent and more devastating, what is the impact on the economy and the financial system? What can the ECB do about it?
07:40– Keeping the green transition on course
Time is running out to contain global warming and meet the Paris Agreement targets. Governments are in the driving seat but we’re all heading in the same direction. How can economic analysis contribute to these efforts, and how can we unlock the funds needed to keep the green transition moving forward?
13:15 – Defining a role for monetary policy
The ECB has already tilted its corporate bond holdings towards issuers with better climate performance. What else can it do, within its mandate, to support the green transition? What role can interest rates play?
15:00 – From climate change to environmental crises: nature and biodiversity loss
Euro area firms and banks are highly dependent on nature, but nature is being rapidly devastated by human activity. What are the economic and financial risks stemming from nature degradation?
17:22 - Our guest’s hot tip
ECB climate change centre head Irene Heemskerk shares her hot tip with our listeners.
Additional material:
Press release: ECB steps up climate work with focus on green transition, climate and nature-related risks, 30 January 2024
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2024/html/ecb.pr240130~afa3d90e07.en.html
The ECB’s climate and nature plan 2024-25
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/ecb/climate/our-climate-and-nature-plan/html/index.en.html
Climate change and the ECB https://www.ecb.europa.eu/ecb/climate/html/index.en.html
The ECB’s publications on climate change https://www.ecb.europa.eu/home/search/html/climate_change.en.html
The ECB Podcast: What biodiversity and nature loss mean for our economy, 25 November 2023
youtube.com/watch?v=DP3tRzELPLY
European Central Bank
www.ecb.europa.eu
www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu
Listen to President Christine Lagarde present today’s decisions. The statement also covers:
- how the economy is performing
- how we expect prices to develop
- the risks to the economic outlook
- the dynamics behind financial and monetary conditions
Published and recorded during our press conference on 14 December 2023.
Additional material
Our monetary policy statement at a glance, 14 December 2023 www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pressconf/…december.en.html
Christine Lagarde, Luis de Guindos: Monetary policy statement, 14 December 2023 www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pressconf/…8627de60.en.html
Monetary policy decisions, 14 December 2023 www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/20…46e62f62.en.html
Combined monetary policy decisions and statement, 14 December 2023 www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pressconf/…bcff0882a.en.pdf
Macroeconomic projections, 14 December 2023 www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/projections/…ml/index.en.html
European Central Bank
www.ecb.europa.eu/home/html/index.en.html
You can also listen to The ECB Podcast on SoundCloud, Spotify, Deezer, Stitcher, YouTube, Amazon Music and many more pod.link/ecbpodcast
In view of the Covid-19 crisis, the war in Ukraine and its economic consequences, and the current situation of high inflation, the role of fiscal policy for stabilisation and its effects on inflation are matters of interest for both academics and policymakers. The aim of this conference is to explore these issues, including the interaction of fiscal and monetary policy, fiscal policy implications of monetary policy normalisation, and risk-sharing arrangements and private/public balance sheet developments in monetary unions.
Dinner speech
Vítor Gaspar, Director of the Fiscal Affairs Department, International Monetary Fund
In view of the Covid-19 crisis, the war in Ukraine and its economic consequences, and the current situation of high inflation, the role of fiscal policy for stabilisation and its effects on inflation are matters of interest for both academics and policymakers. The aim of this conference is to explore these issues, including the interaction of fiscal and monetary policy, fiscal policy implications of monetary policy normalisation, and risk-sharing arrangements and private/public balance sheet developments in monetary unions.
Macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy
Chair: Christiane Nickel, European Central Bank
Fiscal policy in a networked economy
John Sturm Becko, Princeton University, together with Joel P. Flynn and Christina Patterson
Discussant: Andrea Ferrero, University of Oxford
Spending effects of fiscal transfers in a pandemic
Nils Wehrhöfer, Deutsche Bundesbank, together with Olga Goldfayn-Frank and Vivien Lewis
Discussant: Annika Bacher, BI Norwegian Business School
The Eurosystem is looking into if, when and how financial market stakeholders could take part in the Eurosystem’s exploratory work. Trials and experiments with solutions for settling central bank money on DLT are planned to start in 2024. Learn more about the planned framework for the conduct of the exploratory work.
Holger Neuhaus, Head of Division, ECB
Claudine O’Connor, ECB
In view of the Covid-19 crisis, the war in Ukraine and its economic consequences, and the current situation of high inflation, the role of fiscal policy for stabilisation and its effects on inflation are matters of interest for both academics and policymakers. The aim of this conference is to explore these issues, including the interaction of fiscal and monetary policy, fiscal policy implications of monetary policy normalisation, and risk-sharing arrangements and private/public balance sheet developments in monetary unions.
Welcome remarks
Frank Smets, European Central Bank
Session 1
Fiscal policies in monetary unions and the financing of fiscal deficits
Chair: Frank Smets, European Central Bank
Fiscal federalism and monetary unions
Eugenia Gonzalez-Aguado, Toulouse School of Economics, together with Rafael Berriel, Patrick J. Kehoe, and Elena Pastorino
Discussant: Ramon Marimon, Universitat Pompeu Fabra
Can deficits finance themselves?
Christian K. Wolf, MIT, together with George-Marios Angeletos and Chen Lian
Discussant: Davide Debortoli, Universitat Pompeu Fabra
Holger Neuhaus, ECB
The Full-DLT interoperability solution “DL3S” allows for settlement of wholesale financial transactions in central bank money in a DLT-based account held on a DLT platform provided by the Eurosystem. The solution is developed and operated by Banque de France.
Victorien Goldscheider, Banque de France
In view of the Covid-19 crisis, the war in Ukraine and its economic consequences, and the current situation of high inflation, the role of fiscal policy for stabilisation and its effects on inflation are matters of interest for both academics and policymakers. The aim of this conference is to explore these issues, including the interaction of fiscal and monetary policy, fiscal policy implications of monetary policy normalisation, and risk-sharing arrangements and private/public balance sheet developments in monetary unions.
The design of fiscal rules and fiscal consolidations
Chair: Christophe Kamps, European Central Bank
Measuring Fiscal Discipline: A Revealed Preference Approach
Geert Mesters, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, together with Regis Barnichon
Discussant: Facundo Piguillem, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance
Is “expansionary fiscal austerity” for real?
Roberto Perotti, Bocconi University, together with Luca Sala
Discussant: Gernot Mueller, Universität Tübingen
In view of the Covid-19 crisis, the war in Ukraine and its economic consequences, and the current situation of high inflation, the role of fiscal policy for stabilisation and its effects on inflation are matters of interest for both academics and policymakers. The aim of this conference is to explore these issues, including the interaction of fiscal and monetary policy, fiscal policy implications of monetary policy normalisation, and risk-sharing arrangements and private/public balance sheet developments in monetary unions.
Policy panel
“New policy challenges and reform needs for the EMU”
Chair: Philip R. Lane, Member of the Executive Board, European Central Bank
Panellists:
Silvia Ardagna, Chief European Economist, Barclays
Roel Beetsma, Member of the European Fiscal Board, University of Amsterdam
Valdis Dombrovskis, Executive Vice-President, European Commission
Jeromin Zettelmeyer, Director, Bruegel
The TIPS Hash Link enables settlement of wholesale financial transactions in central bank money on accounts in a TIPS-like platform, set up for the Eurosystem. The solution tests interoperability between a market DLT platform and a payment system, the TARGET Instant Payment System (TIPS) via an API gateway. The solution is developed and operated by Banca d’Italia.
Giuseppe Santangeli, Banca d’Italia
The Trigger Solution allows for the settlement of DLT-based wholesale financial transactions in central bank money in T2, the Eurosystem RTGS system. This solution consists of a DLT infrastructure, which acts as technical bridge between T2 and market DLT platforms. The solution is developed and operated by Deutsche Bundesbank.
Nadine Knaust, Deutsche Bundesbank
Besfort Shala, Deutsche Bundesbank
The Eurosystem is exploring potential solutions for central bank money settlement of wholesale financial transactions recorded on distributed ledger technology (DLT) platforms. The work is part of the Eurosystem’s broader efforts to ensure that central banks keep pace with and contribute to digital innovation in wholesale and retail payments. Learn more about the background and intended purpose of the work.
Ulrich Bindseil, Director General, ECB
In view of the Covid-19 crisis, the war in Ukraine and its economic consequences, and the current situation of high inflation, the role of fiscal policy for stabilisation and its effects on inflation are matters of interest for both academics and policymakers. The aim of this conference is to explore these issues, including the interaction of fiscal and monetary policy, fiscal policy implications of monetary policy normalisation, and risk-sharing arrangements and private/public balance sheet developments in monetary unions.
Keynote lecture
Fiscal versus monetary policy as stabilization tools
Olivier Blanchard, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Chair: Isabel Schnabel, Member of the Executive Board, European Central Bank
In view of the Covid-19 crisis, the war in Ukraine and its economic consequences, and the current situation of high inflation, the role of fiscal policy for stabilisation and its effects on inflation are matters of interest for both academics and policymakers. The aim of this conference is to explore these issues, including the interaction of fiscal and monetary policy, fiscal policy implications of monetary policy normalisation, and risk-sharing arrangements and private/public balance sheet developments in monetary unions.
Monetary fiscal interactions in a monetary union
Chair: Oscar Arce, European Central Bank
Asset Purchases in a Monetary Union with Default and Liquidity Risks
Huixin Bi, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, together with Andrew Foerster and Nora Traum
Discussant: Anna Rogantini-Picco, European Central Bank
Fiscal influences on inflation in OECD countries, 2020-2022
Francesco Bianchi, Johns Hopkins University, together with Robert J. Barro
Discussant: Luis Garicano, London School of Economics
Listen to President Christine Lagarde present today’s decisions. The statement also covers:
- how the economy is performing
- how we expect prices to develop
- the risks to the economic outlook
- the dynamics behind financial and monetary conditions
Published and recorded during our press conference on 14 December 2023.
Additional material
Our monetary policy statement at a glance, 14 December 2023 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pressconf/visual-mps/2023/html/mopo_statement_explained_december.en.html
Christine Lagarde, Luis de Guindos: Monetary policy statement, 14 December 2023 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pressconf/2023/html/ecb.is231214~df8627de60.en.html
Monetary policy decisions, 14 December 2023 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2023/html/ecb.mp231214~9846e62f62.en.html
Combined monetary policy decisions and statement, 14 December 2023 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pressconf/shared/pdf/ecb.ds231214~cbcff0882a.en.pdf
Macroeconomic projections, 14 December 2023 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/projections/html/index.en.html
European Central Bank
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/home/html/index.en.html
You can also listen to The ECB Podcast on SoundCloud, Spotify, Deezer, Stitcher, YouTube, Amazon Music and many more pod.link/ecbpodcast
He also reflects on the decisions taken to overcome these challenges, and what the future holds for European banking supervision.
Recorded on 1 December 2023 and published on 9 December 2023.
Additional material:
President Christine Lagarde’s welcome address at the fifth ECB Forum on Banking Supervision
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date/2023/html/ecb.sp231130~48f5947179.en.html
ECB Forum on Banking Supervision
https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/press/conferences/html/20231130_5th_ECB_Forum_Banking_supervision.en.html
European Banking Supervision
https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/home/html/index.en.html
European Central Bank www.ecb.europa.eu
Conversation between Christine Lagarde, President, European Central Bank, and Andrea Enria, Chair of the Supervisory Board, European Central Bank
https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/press/conferences/html/20231130_5th_ECB_Forum_Banking_supervision.en.html
The road ahead for bankers and policymakers
Bankers and policymakers will have to deal with some “known knowns” in the coming years, such as climate change, the digital transformation and governance flaws. But what are the known unknowns? Will supervision and regulation act as a brake or an accelerator? Will Europe heed the lessons of the global financial crisis and stick to its global commitments? Can the banking union survive, let alone thrive, in its present state?
Panellists:
Frank Elderson, Vice-Chair of the Supervisory Board, European Central Bank
Tuomas Saarenheimo, Chairman of the Economic and Financial Committee, Council of the European Union
Christian Sewing, Chief Executive Officer, Deutsche Bank and President, European Banking Federation
Irene Tinagli, Chair of the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs, European Parliament
Sam Woods, Deputy Governor for Prudential Regulation, Bank of England
Moderator: Patrick Jenkins, Deputy Editor, Financial Times
https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/press/conferences/html/20231130_5th_ECB_Forum_Banking_supervision.en.html
The new reality: banking after the end of “low for long”
Banks have shown resilience during recent crises, but will that last? As both customer behaviour and economic conditions change, banks will need to adapt to the new environment while also tackling emerging and unforeseen challenges. If banks stick to their old ways, will they be prepared to address new risks? To what extent will banking resilience depend on large-scale countercyclical policies by the official sector?
Panellists:
Claudio Borio, Head of the Monetary and Economic Department, Bank for International Settlements
Elena Carletti, Professor of Finance, Bocconi University and Member of the Board of Directors, UniCredit S.p.A.
Stuart Graham, Partner and Head of Banks Strategy, Autonomous Research
Jean Pierre Mustier, Chairman of the Supervisory Board, Aareal Bank
Steven van Rijswijk, Chief Executive Officer, ING Group
Moderator: Maria Tadeo, Europe Correspondent, Bloomberg
https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/press/conferences/html/20231130_5th_ECB_Forum_Banking_supervision.en.html
Keynote speech
Michael Barr, Vice Chair for Supervision, Federal Reserve System
https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/press/conferences/html/20231130_5th_ECB_Forum_Banking_supervision.en.html
Modern supervision: what is key?
What key tools should every modern supervisor have at their disposal? Is there tension between supervisory effectiveness and transparency? How do we strike the right balance between horizontal and vertical supervision? What have the recent crises taught us about risk-based supervision, operational resilience and market communication by supervisors?
Panellists:
Marlene Amstad, Chair, Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority
José Manuel Campa, Chairperson, European Banking Authority
Kerstin af Jochnick, Member of the Supervisory Board, European Central Bank
Davide Taliente, Chair of Global Public Sector and Policy, Oliver Wyman
Nicolas Théry, Chairman of the Board of Directors, Crédit Mutuel
Moderator: Naomi Lloyd, Euronews
https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/press/conferences/html/20231130_5th_ECB_Forum_Banking_supervision.en.html
Taking stock: the single supervisor ten years on
Banking supervision in Europe has changed. What has the Single Supervisory Mechanism achieved? What remains to be done? Are supervisors striking the right balance between intrusiveness and supporting banks when addressing risks? Has Europe succeeded in breaking the sovereign-bank nexus and integrating financial markets? Have the expectations of banks, markets and the public at large been met?
Panellists:
Thorsten Beck, Director, Florence School of Banking and Finance and Professor of Financial Stability, European University Institute
John Berrigan, Director-General for Financial Stability, Financial Services and Capital Markets Union, European Commission
Ana Botín, Group Executive Chair, Banco Santander, S.A.
Dominique Laboureix, Chair, Single Resolution Board
Elizabeth McCaul, Member of the Supervisory Board, European Central Bank
Moderator: Nicolas Véron, Senior Fellow, Bruegel and Peterson Institute for International Economics
https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/press/conferences/html/20231130_5th_ECB_Forum_Banking_supervision.en.html
Europe: banking on resilience
Welcome address by Christine Lagarde, President, European Central Bank
https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/press/conferences/html/20231130_5th_ECB_Forum_Banking_supervision.en.html
Conversation between Andrea Enria, Chair of the Supervisory Board, European Central Bank, and Jacques de Larosière, former Governor, Banque de France and former Managing Director, International Monetary Fund
https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/press/conferences/html/20231130_5th_ECB_Forum_Banking_supervision.en.html
Our host Stefania Secola puts these questions to financial stability expert John Fell on The ECB Podcast.
The views expressed are those of the speakers and not necessarily those of the European Central Bank.
Published on 2 December 2023 and recorded on 27 November 2023.
In this episode:
01:08 – Financial markets’ optimism is put to the test
How are financial markets reacting to the new environment of high interest rates, a sluggish economy and rising geopolitical tensions?
06:00 – The conundrum of banks’ increasing profits and stagnant valuations
Banks’ profits are at multi-year highs, yet their valuations haven’t changed much. What factors explain this?
10:31 – Real estate markets are a source of concern
Residential and commercial property markets are feeling the impact of higher interest rates. What are the implications for banks and financial stability?
16:06 – The yin and the yang of financial stability
As the credit cycle turns, and with several vulnerabilities unravelling, can resilience compensate?
18:22 – Conclusion
Additional material:
Financial Stability Review, November 2023 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/financial-stability/fsr/html/index.en.html
FSR Box 5 on Euro area bank fundamentals, valuations and cost of equity
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/financial-stability/fsr/html/ecb.fsr202311~bfe9d7c565.en.html#toc27
Special feature B on Real estate markets in an environment of high financing costs
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/financial-stability/fsr/html/ecb.fsr202311~bfe9d7c565.en.html#toc40
The ECB Podcast: Financial stability and bank runs, June 2023 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/tvservices/podcast/html/ecb.pod230607_episode60.en.html
European Central Bank www.ecb.europa.eu
The fifth ECB Forum on Banking Supervision will take place on 30 November and 1 December 2023 at the ECB’s Main Building in Frankfurt. You can also follow the event online.
https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/press/conferences/html/ECB_Forum_Banking_supervision.en.html
Every two years the Forum brings together high-level policymakers, academics, financial executives and experts to exchange views on current developments in banking and supervision. With new risks on the horizon, how can banks retain their long-term resilience? What tools should every modern supervisor have at its disposal? Can Europe thrive without an incomplete banking union?
Have a look at the programme and join inspiring discussions.
Friday, 1 December 2023
9:00
Keynote speech
Michael Barr, Vice Chair for Supervision, Federal Reserve System
9:30
The new reality: banking after the end of “low for long”
Banks have shown resilience during recent crises, but will that last? As both customer behaviour and economic conditions change, banks will need to adapt to the new environment while also tackling emerging and unforeseen challenges. If banks stick to their old ways, will they be prepared to address new risks? To what extent will banking resilience depend on large-scale countercyclical policies by the official sector?
Panellists:
Claudio Borio, Head of the Monetary and Economic Department, Bank for International Settlements
Elena Carletti, Professor of Finance, Bocconi University and Member of the Board of Directors, UniCredit S.p.A.
Stuart Graham, Partner and Head of Banks Strategy, Autonomous Research
Jean Pierre Mustier, Chairman of the Supervisory Board, Aareal Bank
Steven van Rijswijk, Chief Executive Officer, ING Group
Moderator: Maria Tadeo, Europe Correspondent, Bloomberg
10:45
Coffee break
11:00
The road ahead for bankers and policymakers
Bankers and policymakers will have to deal with some “known knowns” in the coming years, such as climate change, the digital transformation and governance flaws. But what are the known unknowns? Will supervision and regulation act as a brake or an accelerator? Will Europe heed the lessons of the global financial crisis and stick to its global commitments? Can the banking union survive, let alone thrive, in its present state?
Panellists:
Frank Elderson, Vice-Chair of the Supervisory Board, European Central Bank
Tuomas Saarenheimo, Chairman of the Economic and Financial Committee, Council of the European Union
Christian Sewing, Chief Executive Officer, Deutsche Bank and President, European Banking Federation
Irene Tinagli, Chair of the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs, European Parliament
Sam Woods, Deputy Governor for Prudential Regulation, Bank of England
Moderator: Patrick Jenkins, Deputy Editor, Financial Times
12:30
Conversation between Christine Lagarde, President, European Central Bank, and Andrea Enria, Chair of the Supervisory Board, European Central Bank
13:00
Light buffet and end of Forum
The fifth ECB Forum on Banking Supervision will take place on 30 November and 1 December 2023 at the ECB’s Main Building in Frankfurt. You can also follow the event online.
https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/press/conferences/html/ECB_Forum_Banking_supervision.en.html
Every two years the Forum brings together high-level policymakers, academics, financial executives and experts to exchange views on current developments in banking and supervision. With new risks on the horizon, how can banks retain their long-term resilience? What tools should every modern supervisor have at its disposal? Can Europe thrive without an incomplete banking union?
Have a look at the programme and join inspiring discussions.
Thursday, 30 November 2023
14:30
Welcome address by Christine Lagarde, President, European Central Bank
14:45
Conversation between Andrea Enria, Chair of the Supervisory Board, European Central Bank, and Jacques de Larosière, former Governor, Banque de France and former Managing Director, International Monetary Fund
15:15
Taking stock: the single supervisor ten years on
Banking supervision in Europe has changed. What has the Single Supervisory Mechanism achieved? What remains to be done? Are supervisors striking the right balance between intrusiveness and supporting banks when addressing risks? Has Europe succeeded in breaking the sovereign-bank nexus and integrating financial markets? Have the expectations of banks, markets and the public at large been met?
Panellists:
Thorsten Beck, Director, Florence School of Banking and Finance and Professor of Financial Stability, European University Institute
John Berrigan, Director-General for Financial Stability, Financial Services and Capital Markets Union, European Commission
Ana Botín, Group Executive Chair, Banco Santander, S.A.
Dominique Laboureix, Chair, Single Resolution Board
Elizabeth McCaul, Member of the Supervisory Board, European Central Bank
Moderator: Nicolas Véron, Senior Fellow, Bruegel and Peterson Institute for International Economics
16:30
Coffee break
16:45
Modern supervision: what is key?
What key tools should every modern supervisor have at their disposal? Is there tension between supervisory effectiveness and transparency? How do we strike the right balance between horizontal and vertical supervision? What have the recent crises taught us about risk-based supervision, operational resilience and market communication by supervisors?
Panellists:
Marlene Amstad, Chair, Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority
José Manuel Campa, Chairperson, European Banking Authority
Kerstin af Jochnick, Member of the Supervisory Board, European Central Bank
Davide Taliente, Chair of Global Public Sector and Policy, Oliver Wyman
Nicolas Théry, Chairman of the Board of Directors, Crédit Mutuel
Moderator: Naomi Lloyd, Euronews
18:00
End of day one
Thursday, 30 November and Friday, 1 December 2023
European Central Bank, Frankfurt am Main
Conference moderation: Conny Lotze, European Central Bank
https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/press/conferences/html/20231130_5th_ECB_Forum_Banking_supervision.en.html
CBDC and monetary policy implementation
Chair: Katrin Assenmacher, European Central Bank & RPN member
CBDC, monetary policy implementation and the interbank market
Nora Lamersdorf*, Frankfurt School of Economics
Tobias Linzert, European Central Bank
Cyril Monnet, University of Bern
Discussant: Anneke Kosse, Bank for International Settlements
CBDC and the operational framework of monetary policy
Galo Nuño*, Bank for International Settlements
Jorge Abad, Banco de España
Carlos Thomas, Banco de España
Discussant: Lea Bitter, European Central Bank
CBDC and the banking sector
Chair: Toni Ahnert, European Central Bank & CEPR
Unveiling the interplay between central bank digital currency and bank deposits
Maria Elena Filippin* and Hanfeng Chen, both Uppsala University
Discussant: Dirk Niepelt, University of Bern & CEPR
Central bank digital currency and banking choices
Andrew Usher*, Bank of Canada
Jiaqi Li, Bank of Canada
Yu Zhu, Renmin University of China
Discussant: Nicola Pavanini, University of Tilburg & CEPR


