Uploaded September 2024 | Updated September 2026, 3 weeks ago
SHOCK: Kamala Harris FLIPS Trump's ONLY Remaining Forecasters Predicting Him To Win...
Kamala Harris Handed Good News After Nate Silver's 'Bold Prediction'
Nate Silver's recent "bold prediction" about the 2024 presidential election appears to have been accurate, according to the pollster's latest forecast.
Vice President Kamala Harris' chances of victory have seen a boost since her debate against former President Donald Trump last week, according to Silver's model, which looks at the candidates' chances of securing the necessary 270 Electoral College votes in November.
Harris has held the lead in polling for several weeks, and nearly all post-debate surveys have shown that the vice president came out on top after her first matchup with her Republican opponent.
Silver wrote in an update for his Silver Bulletin blog on Tuesday: "The bold prediction I made after last week's debate looks to be coming true: Kamala Harris is moving up in the polls enough that the model is converging back toward 50/50 in the Electoral College," adding that the Democratic presidential nominee "is pretty clearly getting a bounce in national polls."
"Arguably—arguably!—this is even a little conservative," Silver added, saying that some polling has found Harris much further ahead of Trump in recent days.
The positive polling string has also led to Harris' chances in the Electoral College to spike—while Silver's model gave the vice president a 38.4 percent chance of securing 270 electoral votes on the day of the debate, as of Tuesday, her odds were at 43.5 percent.
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SHOCK: Kamala Harris FLIPS Trump's ONLY Remaining Forecasters Predicting Him To Win...
Kamala Harris Handed Good News After Nate Silver's 'Bold Prediction'
Nate Silver's recent "bold prediction" about the 2024 presidential election appears to have been accurate, according to the pollster's latest forecast.
Vice President Kamala Harris' chances of victory have seen a boost since her debate against former President Donald Trump last week, according to Silver's model, which looks at the candidates' chances of securing the necessary 270 Electoral College votes in November.
Harris has held the lead in polling for several weeks, and nearly all post-debate surveys have shown that the vice president came out on top after her first matchup with her Republican opponent.
Silver wrote in an update for his Silver Bulletin blog on Tuesday: "The bold prediction I made after last week's debate looks to be coming true: Kamala Harris is moving up in the polls enough that the model is converging back toward 50/50 in the Electoral College," adding that the Democratic presidential nominee "is pretty clearly getting a bounce in national polls."
"Arguably—arguably!—this is even a little conservative," Silver added, saying that some polling has found Harris much further ahead of Trump in recent days.
The positive polling string has also led to Harris' chances in the Electoral College to spike—while Silver's model gave the vice president a 38.4 percent chance of securing 270 electoral votes on the day of the debate, as of Tuesday, her odds were at 43.5 percent.
#trump #donaldtrump #natesilver #silver #poll #polls #2024 #2024election #kamala #harris #kamalaharris #news #politics #progressivevoice #theprogressivevoice
Support The Show & Watch Exclusive Content: patreon.com/theprogressivevoice
Donate: paypal.me/theprogressivevoice
Listen to the audio podcast format on Itunes: itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/the-progressive-voice/id1265065271?mt=2
Follow me on Twitter: twitter.com/Progressvoice










