Equitymaster
The 6-Step Framework I Use to Evaluate Any Stock
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With strong credit growth and cleaner balance sheets, the best PSU bank stocks could see more upside in the medium term.
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In today’s video, I’m sharing my views on the road ahead for smallcaps , a prudent strategy to navigate it and alerts on six smallcaps that have witnessed insider buying interest.
These are the smallcaps with decent financial performance and where the current price is almost at par or at a discount from the average price at which insiders have purchased.
So, let’s dive in.
#smallcapstocks #smallcap #Insiderbuying
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How to approach this High-flying solar penny stock?
Less than 6 months ago, I had published a video on Visaka Industries, arguing how the risk-reward equation of investing in the stock seems to be in favour of investors.
It was not a recommendation but a suggestion to keep the stock in your watchlist.
Visaka, with its share price of Rs 82 per share, perfectly fit this description. It was indeed trading at a double-digit price. However, it no longer does so.
This is because its price has moved up considerably since then and has gone up more than 80% as I record this video.
Is the risk-reward scenario still attractive or are the valuations running way ahead of the fundamentals?
Please watch the video to know more…
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Risk to companies enjoying monopoly in India’s railway capex megatrend.
There are few railway stocks that sport excellent fundamentals thanks to their unique positioning and strong government back.
Above all, it is the lack of competition from the private sector that has kept their financials impressive.
Therefore, any signs of competition could become a big valuation risk.
Compared to other railway stocks, three stocks are certainly less vulnerable to destruction of shareholder wealth, especially when held for long.
Watch this video to get the details.
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While most investors are looking at L&T, and other established names, the bigger opportunity could possibly come from penny stocks within this sector.
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With Indian government taking serious efforts towards the solar sector, the domestic pump industry is expected to grow
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Is Tata Motors’ market cap leadership a sign that the stock has topped?
Tata Motors has now gone past Maruti Suzuki to emerge as India’s most valuable auto manufacturer.
From a loss of Rs 287 bn in FY19, perhaps its highest ever, Tata Motors has earned record profits of Rs 157 bn in the trailing twelve-month period. And it is this turnaround that has led to investors warming up to the stock and turning it into a 12-bagger since its March 20 lows.
However, when it comes to fundamental parameters like profitability, return ratios and balance sheet strength, Maruti is comfortably ahead of Tata Motors.
Why is it then Tata Motors enjoys nearly the same valuation as Maruti? Why is Mr Market considering Tata Motors at par with Maruti?
Please watch the video to know more…
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Dear Viewers
Just as location is the keyword in real estate, it is all about efficient execution for infra companies.
However, many a market participants ignore this basic fact.
Every order win is rewarded with an upper circuit or rating expansion, without enough stress on the company's abilities – and that include ability to execute, to earn decent margins and returns, and to manage finances and cash flows.
Orderbook to marketcap, unfortunately has become the metric to value an infra/construction/manufacturing/EPC company, seducing many inexperienced investors.
To know more about how this could end up becoming a trap, read on…
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Betting big on the past gainers may not serve you well in 2024.
Smallcaps were not the only outperformers of 2023.
Stocks from the defence, railways and electric vehicle sectors also found their place under the sun.
Stocks of the largest public sector entities in defence and railway sectors fetched handsome gains every time the government ordered more spending.
But there were also plenty of private sector entities in defence ecosystem that commanded premium valuations.
The EV sector became a stock market favourite in 2023.
Am sure you wonder, what after these big-ticket gains?
Will the stars of 2023 continue to shine in 2024? Or should you consider a different set of potential wealth creators?
Find out in this video.
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November 29, 2023 changed the course of India’s energy transition and electric mobility.
In July 2023, the Indian government approved amendments to the Mines and Minerals Act, 1957.
This allowed private mining companies to mine the six critical minerals - lithium, beryllium, titanium, niobium, tantalum and zirconium.
Earlier this year, the Ministry of Mines had declared 30 minerals as 'critical' for the country, including these six minerals.
These minerals are required for manufacturing in several sectors, including electric vehicles (EV), EV batteries, glassware, automotive components, defence machinery, telecommunication equipment, capacitors, superalloys, carbides and medical technology.
Then, for the first time on November 29, 2023, the Indian government invited bids for mining 20 critical mineral blocks, including lithium and graphite.
Why is this auction so critical for investors? Find out.
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Interested in stocks that could do well in the run up to the 2024 general elections? Watch this video.
The general elections in India have always played a big role in deciding sentiment in the market. This may be for right or wrong reasons but the fact can’t be denied.
Most people who have put their hard-earned money in stocks either as investment or speculation, will be interested in knowing how the elections will impact the market.
Which stocks or sectors will rise in anticipation of the results? Which ones will be on the back foot?
In this video, we examine the stocks likely to benefit from the 2024 general elections.
Watch this video to know more…
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Can MCX or IEX repeat the stock market performance of peer BSE?
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Does Polycab India deserve to fall further?
The last few days however have been quite hard on Polycab India. It has seen its share price erode by a huge 30% from its top and there could be more losses in the offing.
The decline is a result of the company coming in the cross hairs of the tax authorities.
Is this reason enough for the share price to fall 30%? Or are investors overreacting as usual?
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These companies are benefitting big time from the rise of the luxury segment in India.
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Arriving at a reasonable estimate of a stock’s intrinsic value is easy.
However, there are errors that can creep in and even the most astute analysts can fall prey to them.
So, what exactly are these errors and how are they associated with a stock like Titagarh Rail Systems
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Does Titagarh Rail Systems deserve to be valued as highly as HUL?
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With a rise in number of internet users and addition of new trains and number of trips, IRCTC is expecting multi-fold growth by 2025.
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Companies transforming themselves from fossil fuel-based power producers to green energy storage giants are also ones to watch out for.
With the rise of electric vehicles and renewable energy, the world may be on the verge of a revolution in transportation and energy technology.
#tatapower #tatastocks
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The recent foray of Coca Cola in domestic alcohol industry underscores the inflection point in the rise of alcohol industry in India.
Here’s a unique way to ride the ‘spirited’ surge
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Keep in mind this important point while investing in a stock like Tata Motors
Arriving at a reasonable estimate of a stock’s intrinsic value is easy. However, there are errors that can creep in and even the most astute analysts can fall pretty to them.
So, what exactly are these errors and how are they associated with a stock like Tata Motors
Please watch the video to know more…
#tatamotorshare #tatagroupstocks
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India's skyrocketing aviation industry needs thousands of new planes in the coming decades.
This smallcap software company is poised to fly high in the boom.
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These penny stocks have a faster growth rate compared to peers while they’re also debt free. Take a look…
#pennystocks #penny
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Why buy 96% of the stocks when just 4% can help create wealth?
In as many as 92 years, only 4% of all listed equities in the US accounted for all the wealth created there.
Now since we are referring to the American stock markets, we cannot blame the underperformance of 96% stocks on the lack of maturity of the markets.
Nor can we attribute any economic or geopolitical risk as the cause. This is because the performance has been gauged over nearly a century.
Does this apply to Indian stock markets too?
Find put in this video.
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The entire bunch of PSU stocks has been the surprise package of 2023. The PSU index has outperformed the Sensex by almost 3x with lot of individual stocks doing even better.
But what next? Are their valuations running ahead of fundamentals or will the party continue in 2024?
Please watch the video to know more…
Rahul shah –
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Dixon Technologies share price has surged by over 64% since the beginning of the year, moving up from Rs 3,897 in January 2023.
In the past five years, the stock has gone up by a massive 1,600%!
The company's expansive plans to grow its business, along with its strong financial performance and wise capital allocation, inspire confidence in the business.
Even though the stock price has shot up, raising concerns over its valuations, Dixon's focus on new ideas and strategies makes it likely to succeed in the ever-changing market.
#highgrowthstocks #dixonshare
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101 IPOs came out in 2023, with 36 mainboard listings raising over Rs 270 billion.
Join us as we decode the best and worst-performing IPOs, revealing key lessons for your 2024 IPO investment success.
#IPOs #BestIPOsof2023
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The popular consumer brand Apple recently released a video in which the CEO Mr Tim Cook, playing himself in the ad, has a tense exchange with Octavia Spencer, starring as Mother Nature in the ad.
She asks some tough questions, demanding accountability about Apple’s carbon footprint, plastic waste, recycling.
Tim is nervously defending Apple’s initiatives towards the sustainability drive, and finally makes a point with a new product- Apple’s watch, that is 100% carbon neutral. He commits that by 2030, all Apple devices will have a net zero impact.
In 2020, BlackRock chief executive Larry Fink put the world’s largest money manager squarely behind the cause of purpose-driven investing. Ever since, ssustainability is the new buzzword.
Global MNCs are getting more vocal and serious about sustainability targets. This time, with hard timelines.
In their annual reports, Colgate and HUL have shared a target to use 100% reusable, recyclable, or compostable plastic packaging by 2025.
Another FMCG behemoth, P&G, is catching up with a similar aim by 2030.
Now I don’t believe in following narratives blindly.
It’s always about a hunt for solid companies with strong balance sheets.
But there is one smallcap company that’s seems all set to benefit from the race to sustainability by global MNCs and is a decent smallcap candidate to qualify fundamental filters.
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The Indian government has opened access to India’s lithium reserves for private companies.
This could increase the exploration and mining of lithium in India significantly.
And this is a huge positive for India’s EV industry that is already growing exponentially.
If you’re an investor, then you simply cannot ignore this big opportunity. We’ve already identified 2 lithium related stocks to ride this emerging opportunity.
You can click here to know how to get instant access to these stocks: http://www.eqtm.in/t7YPi
#safestocks #tanushreebanerjee #lithiumstocks
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Tesla’s entry into Indian markets could accelerate the adoption of EVs and boost the growth of these auto component manufacturers.
Tesla’s entry into Indian markets will provide multifold benefits. It will accelerate the adoption of EVs and boost the growth of Indian auto component manufacturers.
Tesla is already sourcing components from several Indian companies, and this trend will continue if it starts its operations in India.
In 2022, the company imported components worth US$ 1 billion (bn), and the 2023 target is around US$ 1.7 bn.
If Tesla sets up its manufacturing unit in India, auto ancillary companies will benefit from high demand.
Here’s a list of six Indian companies that are already supplying their products to Tesla.
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Keep in mind this important point while looking for a multibagger like Suzlon Energy
When it comes to famous turnarounds of the last one year, no discussion can be complete without Suzlon Energy.
The stock was arguably on the top of the list of every market pundit.
For perspective, the stock is up a whopping 312% in the last one year, far outperforming the close to 40% returns earned by the BSE Small Cap index.
By the way, it is up a huge 20x from its March 2020 lows. Talk of life changing investments!
However, there is a risk to investing in a stock like Suzlon Energy and ignoring this risk could prove fatal over the long run.
What exactly is this risk and how should one minimise it?
Please watch the video to know more…
#suzlonenergystock #pennystocks #multibaggerpennystocks
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AI is transforming the business models of decades old tech majors in India.
It is a matter of time before they help other no tech companies transform themselves too.
Even then, if investors choose to ignore such stocks citing next quarter’s margin dip, they should do so at their own peril.
2024 can very well be the year of return of India’s big tech stocks.
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The common theme among Ethos, Brand Concepts, DLF
The rise of middle class in India and the shift from rural to urban has for long been a key theme in the India investment story.
But now, the evolving theme is the shift to luxury. If not a direct leap, Indians are crossing the bridge to luxury.
The rich are getting richer and we are seeing a premiumization trend.
It’s not just the customer aspirations. Individual companies too are vying for bigger opportunities with value addition and premiumization.
Here’s more on this…
#smallcapstocks #luxurystocks
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Is the share price rise of this Tata Company justified.
Investors of a little-known Tata Company are laughing all the way to the bank right now. The stock has more than doubled in the last few months and there seems to be no solid reason behind the same.
Our study of the company’s annual report revealed an interesting story and the one that could hold the key to the recent share price rise.
What is this stock and what exactly is the story?
Please watch the video to know more…
#tatainvestmentshare #tatagroupshare
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The company has tied up with ISRO to revolutionise Indian tech ecosystem.
In 1999, Pakistani troops took secret positions in Kargil. To find them, the Indian military sought the global positioning system data for the region.
At that time, the space-based navigation system called GPS was maintained by the US government. The US denied India some vital information regarding the positioning to India.
India's need for an indigenous satellite navigation system was felt earlier, but the Kargil experience made India realise its importance.
Amid increasingly shifting geopolitical realities, it is even more crucial for India to be self-reliant in satellite navigation today.
Here is how ISRO is helping…
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One of the most anticipated initial public offerings (IPOs) of 2023 is finally here.
Tata Technologies, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Tata Motors plans to offer 23.6% of its paid-up share capital currently held by Tata Motors, Alpha TC Holdings, and Tata Capital Growth Fund I.
The IPO will open for subscription today, 22 November 2023 and close on the 24th of November.
Are the valuations justified? How does it fare against its peers?
And what’s the grey market premium indicating?
Watch the video where we answer all these questions and access the Tata group company’s IPO.
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In this Diwali special episode, watch two of India’s stock market stalwarts talking about opportunities and challenges during India’s bullish decade.
This refreshing episode covers a range of topics from how to pick stocks, growth prospects of Indian stocks, what to do in a market crash, what could derail India’s growth story, and much more…
Watch the full episode to learn:
- Why it makes sense to combine top-down and bottom-up approach for picking stocks to ride India’s growth story?
- How to know if the market crash is an opportunity to double down on stocks… or to get out of the market and move to safer options?
- Why Indian stocks can continue to give 14-15% CAGR returns over a 10-year period despite everything that is happening around the world?
- Why Quantum AMC launched a smallcap fund at the peak of the smallcap boom?
- How India’s biggest strength right now could derail India’s growth story and lead to a disaster if this strength is not utilized well?
Watch the full episode to get all this information and much more. After watching this episode, we also recommend you watch Rahul Shah’s latest videos uncovering several opportunities in the Indian stock market. Click here: //link
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Are great long term return achievable without putting in 70 hours per week?
I’m sure most of you are confused about the current state of the market. You must be wondering about the next course of action.
Should one take more exposure to stocks right now or wait for the markets to correct further?
Moreover, was today’s recovery a dead cat bounce or is the worse behind us and the market may make a new high in the coming months?
Please watch the video to know more…
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Sensex tends to sway wildly in a year when several macros are shifting. 2024 could be such a year for several reasons
With most of the positives priced in, any negative shocker, especially like the macro variables explained here, could cause a huge dent in the index next year.
Having said that whether that will take Sensex to 50,000 or not is anybody’s guess.
What I can say with certainty is that a handful of stocks will be very attractively valued at such levels.
A bunch of smart investors will lose no time in buying their favourite stocks in the watchlist and make the most of the opportunity.
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Was today’s recovery just a dead cat bounce?
I’m sure most of you are confused about the current state of the market. You must be wondering about the next course of action.
Should one take more exposure to stocks right now or wait for the markets to correct further?
Moreover, was today’s recovery a dead cat bounce or is the worse behind us and the market may make a new high in the coming months?
Please watch the video to know more…
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Is the rally in FACT running out of steam?
What do you feel about buying a stock that’s trading at a PE multiple of 85x?
Well, for value conscious investors like me who believe in following rules and having strict upper limits for valuations, I will simply give the stock a pass.
A PE of 85x is quite high and does not offer margin of safety of any kind.
However, there are a few exceptions to this rule. Is the fertiliser company FACT one such exception? Or is the stock price in a bubble?
Please watch the video to know more…
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Is GMDC’s risk-reward ratio still in favour of investors?
If someone had told me back in March 2020 that the Indian stock market could give rise to multiple 10-bagger stocks over the next 3-5 years, I would have had a hard time believing it.
Even more hard to believe would have been the prediction that Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation or GMDC as it is popularly known as, would be one of the 10-baggers.
Yes, that’s right. GMDC has had a stellar run since its March 2020 lows and is up a whopping 12x since then. So, it has gone one step ahead and has ended up being an impressive 12-bagger.
To be honest, the movement in the stock price has caught most investors by surprise. However, is the euphoria justified? Have the valuations run far ahead of fundamentals?
Please watch the video to know more…
#GMDCShare #Miningstocks
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Is it yet another lender trying to lend more at low NPA?
The festival season is already here.
And so is the season of sale and discounts. Everything from branded clothes to accessories to electronics, smartphones and even motorbikes are available on easy EMIs.
There are only few companies that make money no matter how many customers buy which products of which brands.
Any guess who they are? Bajaj Finance is certainly one of them.
So, should the NBFC stock be in your watchlist? Find out.
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Selecting stocks in India's banking ecosystem warrants a close eye on quality.
HDFC Bank has never been completely immune to stock market crashes.
Whether in 2009 or 2020, shareholders took the stock of the banking entity to the cleaners, at every crisis.
After all, no business is as closely linked to the economy as banking.
But can the stock of HDFC Bank be Stock of Next Decade? Find out…
#hdfcbankshare #hdfc
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Virender Sehwag or Rahul Dravid. Who do you prefer between the two?
It is difficult to decide isn’t it? Both have fantastic track record, and both are legends of the game.
But what if I force you to choose one over the other? Who would you choose in that case?
Some of you would prefer Virender Sehwag for his sublime skills and his risk-taking ability.
The others may pick Rahul Dravid for his dogged determination, his resilience, and his textbook technique.
Well, a similar dilemma awaits you when it comes to choosing between Suzlon Energy and Delta Corp. How exactly should we deal with it and what should be our preferred strategy?
Please watch the video to know more…
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in 2022, 19 countries had passed what’s become a critical EV tipping point.
5% seems to be the inflection point at which most technologies get ready for mass adoption.
The time it takes to get to that level varies widely by country. But once the universal challenges of car costs, charger availability and driver skepticism are solved for the few, the masses soon follow.
According to a Bloomberg analysis, in 2022, 19 countries had passed what’s become a critical EV tipping point. Since then, five more countries have made the leap.
India is the third largest auto market after China and the US. EVs made up 3% of new car sales in the country in the June quarter of 2023, after doubling in just six months.
So, the country seems to be at a tipping point for EV adoption.
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Selecting stocks in India's railway ecosystem must be with sufficient diligence.
The sentiment towards PSUs has shifted from pessimism to extreme optimism.
Railway stocks are the latest beneficiaries of the euphoria.
The managements of the railway companies and their investors seem to be more keen on EBIDTA, completely ignoring the risk of capex.
Is there a case to switch from Defence to Railway Stocks? Find out in this video.
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Recently, something interesting has happened in the aviation space.
The country flew its first commercial flight from Pune to New Delhi. It was powered by Sustainable Aviation Fuel, or SAF blended Aviation turbine jet fuel.
You see, as India becomes signatory to CORSIA - or Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation. It calls for compulsory blending of SAF from 2027.
Even at just 1% blending of SAF, the requirement for SAF will be 14 crores litres.
Now SAF is a second stage fuel, and it is produced from ethanol. This itself would create an additional requirement of 28 crore liters per annum of ethanol.
So why is this interesting and relevant for an investing related video.
That’s because today I’m going to talk about a specific company in the biofuel economy that has enabled these feat and could be a big beneficiary of this mandate.
#Biofuelstock #Biofuelalliance
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Is Delta Corp’s risk-reward ratio now favorable?
When it rains, it pours.
If you don’t believe in this phrase, just ask the Delta Corp management. They will tell you from their first-hand experience that the phrase is pretty much valid and can make life very, very difficult.
Talking of a difficult life, the share price performance of Delta Corp Ltd has certainly made the life very difficult for its investors and management alike.
What now though? Is the risk-reward equation in favour of investors or is there very high unpredictability?
Please watch the video to know more…
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How to trade PSU banking stocks now.
PSU banking stocks are on fire. They are big favourite of traders in the stock market these days.
Some of these stocks have hit new highs.
But what do the charts say?
In this video, I will explain how to trade PSU bank stocks now.
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Is BHEL still a good stock for the medium term?
Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd or BHEL as it is popularly known as, is one of the hottest stocks in the market right now.
The stock has doubled in the last one year alone, with a majority of the gain coming post April 2023.
In fact, the stock is up an impressive 6x since the lows of March 2020, when it had crashed to Rs 20 per share.
What now though? Is the risk-reward equation still in favour of investors or has the stock gone out of reach?
Please watch the video to know more…
#bhelshareprice #bhelsharetarget
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The stories of investors with a modest investment in few stocks, becoming crorepatis over decades, are few and far between.
Owning scores of stocks delivering 15% annual rate of return or thereabouts is not a bad idea.
But do not cut the potential mango tree along with the grass.
Only then will you have a few 15% return contenders getting converted into the 15 baggers of your portfolio over time.
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