NOAA Weather Partners
FAQ: Hows a Forecast Made?
updated
In the 50 years since Union City, NSSL has been a driver of innovation in radar technology, helping forecasters increase warning times and save lives.
spc.noaa.gov/publications/broyles/tgen1.pdf
spc.noaa.gov/publications/broyles/tgen2.pdf
spc.noaa.gov/publications/broyles/tgen3.pdf
or
Search "Broyles" at spc.noaa.gov/publications
Download the PowerPoint animation:
spc.noaa.gov/publications/broyles/m13-anim.pptx
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This video presents an animation of the Moore EF5 supercell that occurred on May 20, 2013. The animation begins 90 minutes before the tornado. The view is looking north-northwest from a helicopter at 15,000 feet. As the Moore supercell develops, the view point gradually shifts toward the west. First, the flanking line and mesocyclone organize. Then, the first cell merger occurs. This, combined with the influence of an approaching low to mid-level jet, causes the rear flank downdraft to surge. From the cell merger, the first descending reflectivity core forms. This feature reaches the ground and hits the strengthening circulation. When this happens, the tornado immediately forms and develops from the surface upward.
As the tornado strengthens, a second set of cells approach from the southwest. When these cells merge with the Moore supercell, the second descending reflectivity core forms. This feature approaches and wraps around the tornadic mesocyclone, causing a rapid expansion of the rotation. After this, the meso snaps back and rapidly shrinks, coinciding with the first EF5 damage. The tornado alternates between EF4 and EF5 intensity, and then the low to mid-level jet passes. When this happens, the tornado jogs left, then right, and decreases in size. Soon the tornado begins to weaken and a final rear flank downdraft surge overtakes the tornado causing it to dissipate.
spc.noaa.gov/publications/broyles/tgen1.pdf
spc.noaa.gov/publications/broyles/tgen2.pdf
spc.noaa.gov/publications/broyles/tgen3.pdf
or
Search "Broyles" at spc.noaa.gov/publications
Download the radar analysis / animation PowerPoint:
spc.noaa.gov/publications/broyles/m13-talk.pptx
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This video presents radar imagery and an animation of the full life-cycle of the Moore supercell and EF5 tornado that occurred on May 20, 2013. The radar imagery shows key features of tornadogenesis associated with the Moore tornado. It explains the processes involved in the initial tornado development, and then reveals reasons for major fluctuations of intensity during its life-time
The animation begins 90 minutes before the tornado. The view is looking north-northwest from a helicopter at 15,000 feet. As the Moore supercell develops, the view point gradually shifts toward the west. First, the flanking line and mesocyclone organize. Then, the first cell merger occurs. This, combined with the influence of an approaching low to mid-level jet, causes the rear flank downdraft to surge. From the cell merger, the first descending reflectivity core forms. This feature reaches the ground and hits the strengthening circulation. When this happens, the tornado immediately forms and develops from the surface upward.
As the tornado strengthens, a second set of cells approach from the southwest. When these cells merge with the Moore supercell, the second descending reflectivity core forms. This feature approaches and wraps around the tornadic mesocyclone, causing a rapid expansion of the rotation. After this, the meso snaps back and rapidly shrinks, coinciding with the first EF5 damage. The tornado alternates between EF4 and EF5 intensity, and then the low to mid-level jet passes. When this happens, the tornado jogs left, then right, and decreases in size. Soon the tornado begins to weaken and a final rear flank downdraft surge overtakes the tornado causing it to dissipate.
Has a tornado hit your house or your community? Have you received a tornado alert? NOAA scientists want to hear your story.
It’s easy to share with the new Tornado Tales citizen science tool. This online survey provides a way for anyone to anonymously report their tornado experiences.
The Tornado Tales was developed by researchers at the NOAA National Severe Storms Lab and the University of Oklahoma’s cooperative institute. The tool will be used to better understand how people receive, interpret and respond to tornado information.
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00:00 Opening
00:11 HWT and the Spring Experiments
00:36 COVID and teleworking
01:09 Adapting to virtual
01:57 Challenges of virtual
02:37 New oppurtunities
03:07 Success and new research
04:00 The future of the HWT
►♫ 🎧Listen to Pod-Sized Science: nssl.noaa.gov/news/podcasts/hwt-2022
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Follow Peyton on Twitter: twitter.com/wxwithpeyton
To learn more about the TORUS project: nssl.noaa.gov/projects/torus
For more on these topics, visit nssl.noaa.gov
0:00:00 Welcome
0:02:28 PERiLS Field Research - Tony Lyza
0:07:37 TORUS Field Research - Matt Flournoy
0:11:19 Collecting Behavioral Data After Tornadoes - Kim Klockow-McClain
0:14:47 Audience Questions
0:22:10 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed: Spring Forecasting Experiment - Adam Clark
0:26:24 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed - FACETS - Kodi Berry
0:29:55 Warn on Forecast Research - Patrick Burke
0:34:45 Audience Questions
0:40:09 Advancements in Weather Radar - Chris Schwartz
0:43:35 State of the Science: Severe Weather and Climate Change - Harold Brooks
0:47:08 Audience Questions
0:51:54 Audience Questions for All Panelists
NSSL scientists are in Mississippi today preparing for the 1st day of PERiLS, funded by NOAA & NSF to better understand how tornadoes form in squall lines & one of the largest severe storm field projects to date. Instruments are where NWS SPC predicts tornadoes may occur on Tuesday.
Learn more about PERiLS: www.nssl.noaa.gov/projects/perils
The webinar provides information about the PERiLS field campaign, including research objectives, why this research is needed, locations, descriptions of research instruments, and how it will all work.
0:00:00 Welcome and Introduction - Keli Pirtle, NOAA
0:02:49 PERiLS research objectives – Tony Lyza, CWRO/NOAA NSSL
0:09:05 Why study tornadoes in the Southeast US? – Erik Rasmussen, NOAA NSSL
0:14:19 Audience Questions
0:20:32 Instruments: Mobile radar – Mike Biggerstaff, OU
0:26:35 Instruments: Profilers – Kevin Knupp, UAH
0:33:14 Instruments: CLAMPS – Elizabeth Smith, NOAA NSSL
0:39:14 Instruments: Soundings – Mike Coniglio, NOAA NSSL
0:45:33 Audience Questions
0:52:15 Instruments: Sticknets – Chris Weiss, TTU
0:57:49 Instruments: Mobile mesonet – Sean Waugh, NOAA NSSL
1:02:23 Instruments: Lightning mapping array – Vanna Chmielewski, CIWRO/NSSL
1:08:15 Damage Assessments – Melissa Wagner, CIWRO/NSSL
1:12:38 Audience Questions
Connect with us!
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Recorded October 29, 2021.
Have other questions? Feel free to ask us by email at nssl.outreach@noaa.gov.
0:00:00 Intro with Vanna
0:00:40 Lab history with John Lewis
0:03:52 Intro to featured scientists
0:20:55 Live panel
0:21:52 Favorite weather?
0:23:34 Can you change the path of lightning and does a camera flash make a path for lightning?
0:26:35 How many NSSL scientists have masters degrees? How often do you work with WFO and SPC?
0:30:11 What degrees do each of you have?
0:33:22 Internships within NSSL? How to apply?
0:35:47 Ways to stand out with internship applications?
0:39:12 Particular programs or degrees to make a person more marketable to NSSL?
0:44:11 Will my computer science skills help me get into meteorology field?
0:49:27 Requirements for entry-level position at NSSL?
0:56:16 Suggestion for minor while getting a meteorology degree?
1:00:27 Advice for applying for an NSSL position as an undergrad?
1:04:24 What's the most interesting topic you're working on?
1:15:09 What is the big question in your area of expertise that should be answered in the next 10-20 years?
1:27:10 If you didn't choose to pursue a career in meteorology, what would you have chosen?
1:34:15 What do you do for fun outside of work?
1:40:30 What are things you do to inspire future scientists?
1:48:42 Do you have a fear of storms? Do you have advice for someone who does?
noaa.gov/news/noaa-scientists-use-drones-to-see-tornado-damage-in-remote-areas
inside.nssl.noaa.gov/uas
nssl.noaa.gov
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00:00 Introduction
00:10 CLAMPS Trailer
03:18 Mobile Mesonet
11:40 NOXP Mobile Radar
Connect with us!
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facebook.com/NOAA.NSSL
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May 2020 version
May 2020 version
Credit: NOAA
Quicktime Pro Res Download link:
bit.ly/2HwSOs0
The TORUS project is funded by NOAA and the National Science Foundation and is led by the University of Nebraska-Lincoln. Partner institutions are NOAA’s National Severe Storms Laboratory, NOAA’s Office of Marine and Aviation Operations, the University of Oklahoma Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies, University of Colorado Boulder, and Texas Tech University.
To learn more, head over to nssl.noaa.gov/projects/torus
For half a century, U.S. Weather Bureau and NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory researchers have been filming and photographing tornadoes and severe weather throughout the United States as part of their quest to understand and better predict deadly storms. On May 24, 1973, researchers filmed a devastating tornado that tore through the small town of Union City, Okla. This tornado turned out to be a significant event in the development of weather radar and the history of severe weather research and forecasting.
While researchers from the NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory filmed the tornado, other researchers collected data on the storm using experimental Doppler radar. When they were able to process the radar data and compare it with the time-stamped photos and movies, they discovered a unique pattern now known as the Tornadic Vortex Signature (TVS). This discovery revolutionized the National Weather Service’s ability to warn for tornado activity with sufficient lead time to save lives.
Three reels of 16 mm film from that day have been stored at NSSL, unusable. With the help of the National Film Preservation Foundation, those historic reels have been restored and transferred. We are pleased to share this historic footage.
For half a century, U.S. Weather Bureau and NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory researchers have been filming and photographing tornadoes and severe weather throughout the United States as part of their quest to understand and better predict deadly storms. On May 24, 1973, researchers filmed a devastating tornado that tore through the small town of Union City, Okla. This tornado turned out to be a significant event in the development of weather radar and the history of severe weather research and forecasting.
While researchers from the NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory filmed the tornado, other researchers collected data on the storm using experimental Doppler radar. When they were able to process the radar data and compare it with the time-stamped photos and movies, they discovered a unique pattern now known as the Tornadic Vortex Signature (TVS). This discovery revolutionized the National Weather Service’s ability to warn for tornado activity with sufficient lead time to save lives.
Three reels of 16 mm film from that day have been stored at NSSL, unusable. With the help of the National Film Preservation Foundation, those historic reels have been restored and transferred. We are pleased to share this historic footage.
For half a century, U.S. Weather Bureau and NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory researchers have been filming and photographing tornadoes and severe weather throughout the United States as part of their quest to understand and better predict deadly storms. On May 24, 1973, researchers filmed a devastating tornado that tore through the small town of Union City, Okla. This tornado turned out to be a significant event in the development of weather radar and the history of severe weather research and forecasting.
While researchers from the NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory filmed the tornado, other researchers collected data on the storm using experimental Doppler radar. When they were able to process the radar data and compare it with the time-stamped photos and movies, they discovered a unique pattern now known as the Tornadic Vortex Signature (TVS). This discovery revolutionized the National Weather Service’s ability to warn for tornado activity with sufficient lead time to save lives.
Three reels of 16 mm film from that day have been stored at NSSL, unusable. With the help of the National Film Preservation Foundation, those historic reels have been restored and transferred. We are pleased to share this historic footage.


