Whats making the Larsen C ice shelf melt? Part 1: our model works! Dr Gilbz 2026-09-20 | Whats making the Larsen C ice shelf melt? Part 1: our model works!
East Antarctica is melting more now... maybe Dr Gilbz 2025-07-22 | The surface of the East Antarctic Ice sheet is becoming more prone to melting, according to new research published in July. What does that mean for its long-term stability? We'll have to wait and see....#climatechange #antarctica
The climate impacts of flying we DONT talk about Dr Gilbz 2025-07-13 | Aviation is pretty damaging for the environment – but it’s not just the CO2 emissions we need to worry about. In fact, the non-CO2 impacts of flying are twice as large. This video is pretty different to my usual, but it’s on a subject close to my heart – I’ve campaigned against airport expansion for years, and spent 18 months working on a postdoc about the effects of aircraft aerosol on cirrus ice clouds. So here, I'm landing myself in the hotseat to talk about the science behind the other impacts of aviation, and the reasons we should work together to oppose airport expansion. Contents00:00 - A decade on00:53 - carbon cost02:04 - it's not just CO204:42 - net zero... aviation?05:57 - political hot potato07:14 - no one's perfect07:53 - 1st class ticket to catastrophe09:00 - the alternatives10:30 - individual actions don't matter11:28 - individual actions DO matter13:34 - be nice plz#Aviation #ClimateChange ##################################################Special thanks to my Patreon subscribers, including my Patreon Saints: Steven Cowling, Eliot Bryant, Baerbel Winkler, Patrick Hillberg, Michael Unterweger, James Harley Gorrell & Gary Stark. You all rock ♥️ Join them at www.patreon.com/dr_gilbz##################################################Additional images and figuresHM Government Department for TransportUK Committee on Climate ChangeOur World in DataPlane StupidBBC coverageCarbon BriefThe Guardian##################################################References and resourcesLee et al. (2021) doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2020.117834 Klöwer et al. (2021) iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac286e Bergero et al. (2023) nature.com/articles/s41893-022-01046-9 ourworldindata.org/global-aviation-emissions neweconomics.org/2024/04/sharing-the-carbon-pie-with-a-frequent-flyer-levyneweconomics.org/2023/07/losing-altitudetheccc.org.uk/publication/progress-in-reducing-emissions-2024-report-to-parliament/#publication-downloads commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-8826bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-65687665 theguardian.com/environment/2019/sep/25/1-of-english-residents-take-one-fifth-of-overseas-flights-survey-shows youtube.com/watch?v=EUwJFzj-Q5A&ab_channel=GuardianNews no3rdrunwaycoalition.co.uk theguardian.com/politics/2025/feb/02/reevess-heathrow-expansion-plans-leave-labours-green-agenda-grounded commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-10203 https://www.icao.int/environmental-protection/CORSIA/Pages/default.aspx sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231020305689 carbonbrief.org/analysis-uk-would-need-forest-twice-size-of-london-to-offset-new-airport-expansion committees.parliament.uk/committee/62/environmental-audit-committee/news/206148/is-airport-expansion-compatible-with-net-zero-and-environment-targets-eac-launches-new-inquiry aviationweek.com/special-topics/sustainability/opinion-inconvenient-truths-behind-sustainable-aviation-fuelclimateactiontracker.org/sectors/aviation aef.org.uk/2025/02/27/ccc-analysis-aviation-emissions-are-failing-to-fall-fast-enough carbonmarketwatch.org/2024/02/13/taylor-swift-and-the-top-polluters-department bbc.co.uk/news/live/cg7zdme95z1t aef.org.uk/campaigns/challenging-airport-expansion carbonbrief.org/daily-brief/rachel-reeves-backs-heathrow-third-runway-in-bid-to-drive-uk-growth vam.ac.uk/blog/disobedient-objects/plane-stupid-compound-lock-on bbc.com/news/uk-england-london-35403577 theccc.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/Sector-summary-Aviation.pdf
We didn’t know East Antarctica was melting like this Dr Gilbz 2025-07-04 | We knew the Antarctic Peninsula was melting from above. We knew the West Antarctic was melting from below. But we didn't quite realise that East Antarctica was melting at the surface too... New work by my colleague Pete Tuckett shows that meltwater is collecting in surface ponds and lakes around the East Antarctic, and that this region has become more prone to melting in the last few years. In this video, I speak to the lead author to find out what this means, and whether we ought to be worried about the "sleeping giant" of East Antarctica.Many thanks to Pete for sharing his work with me, the full paper can be accessed here: doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02363-5################################################## Contents 00:00 – Intro01:36 – Mass balance03:26 – Why melt matters07:47 – Causes of melt08:49 – What does this mean for the future?#ClimateChange #Antarctica##################################################Special thanks to my Patreon subscribers, including my Patreon Saints: Steven Cowling, Eliot Bryant, Baerbel Winkler, Patrick Hillberg, Michael Unterweger, James Harley Gorrell & Gary Stark. You all rock ♥️ Join them at www.patreon.com/dr_gilbz##################################################References & ResourcesTuckett, P. A., Sole, A. J., Livingstone, S. J., Jones, J. M., Lea, J. M. & Gilbert, E. (2025) Continent-wide mapping shows increasing sensitivity of East Antarctica to meltwater ponding. Nature Climate Change xx-yy. doi: ZZZbbc.co.uk/future/article/20230309-climate-change-the-sea-level-rise-locked-in-east-antarctica agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2019GL086821 nature.com/articles/nature25026.epdf nature.com/articles/s41561-024-01582-3 agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2020GL091733 nsidc.org/learn/ask-scientist/east-antarctic-melt-likely earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/146189/widespread-melt-on-the-george-vi-ice-shelf earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/153841/meltwater-ponds-on-the-amery-ice-shelf earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/149640/ice-shelf-collapse-in-east-antarctica##################################################Antarctic imagesHenry Bowers (1883–1912)Shackleton’s Nimrod expeditioncoolantarctica.com/Antarctica%20fact%20file/History/Ernest-Shackleton-Nimrod-pictures.phpSatellite imagesLandsat8NASA Earth ObservatoryGreenland melt UCLA
2 degrees has entered the chat Dr Gilbz 2025-06-03 | Move over 1.5C, 2C has just passed the lips of the World Meteorological Organization. There's now a chance - albeit a very small one - that one of the next five years could be 2C above pre-industrial temperatures. A new WMO report shows how drastically we've changed our climate already, and how drastically we will continue to change it in the coming years. But what else are we in store for? Let's find out.################################################## Contents 00:00 – Intro01:06 – The last 5 years02:06 – The next 5 years02:47 – How long is long enough?05:14 – 2 degrees C?06:15 – Support the channel#ClimateChange #TemperatureRise##################################################Special thanks to my Patreon subscribers, including my Patreon Saints: Steven Cowling, Eliot Bryant, Baerbel Winkler, Patrick Hillberg, Michael Unterweger, James Harley Gorrell & Gary Stark. You all rock ♥️ Join them at www.patreon.com/dr_gilbz##################################################References & ResourcesWMO report - https://wmo.int/publication-series/wmo-global-annual-decadal-climate-update-2025-2029 Copernicus reporting on 2C anomaly in nov 2023 - https://climate.copernicus.eu/global-temperature-exceeds-2degc-above-pre-industrial-average-17-november Bevacqua et al. (2025) nature.com/articles/s41558-025-02246-9 https://www.co2.earth/daily-co2 Cannon (2025) nature.com/articles/s41558-025-02247-8 Met Office warming dashboard - https://climate.metoffice.cloud/current_warming.htmlBetts et al. (2023) nature.com/articles/d41586-023-03775-z
This is bleak Dr Gilbz 2025-05-27 | Ice loss from the polar ice sheets will lock us in to multi-metres of sea level rise over the (very) long term. Even today's warming of 1.3 C will result in coastline-altering sea level rise. But how fast seas rise is critically important when it comes to adaptation - and by now it's pretty much the only thing we can control.New paper here: Stokes et al. (2025) nature.com/articles/s43247-025-02299-w Sea level animation using data from NASA-SSH satellite product, see e.g. podaac.jpl.nasa.gov/dataset/NASA_SSH_GMSL_INDICATOR# svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/5516 Additional video content from NASA-JPL/Caltech/NOAA################################################## Contents 00:00 – Redrawing the map01:25 – Sea level rise today02:21 – Timescales04:53 – The evidence06:21 – Tipping points07:12 – This hurts08:51 – Net Zero and beyond09:55 – We know what to do10:45 – Support the channel#ClimateChange #SeaLevelRise ##################################################Special thanks to my Patreon subscribers, including my Patreon Saints: Steven Cowling, Eliot Bryant, Baerbel Winkler, Patrick Hillberg, Michael Unterweger, James Harley Gorrell & Gary Stark. You all rock ♥️ Join them at www.patreon.com/dr_gilbz##################################################References & ResourcesStokes et al. (2025) nature.com/articles/s43247-025-02299-w Hamlington et al. (2024) nature.com/articles/s43247-024-01761-5 Bevacqua et al. (2025) nature.com/articles/s41558-025-02246-9 theguardian.com/environment/2025/may/20/sea-level-rise-migrationbbc.co.uk/future/article/20231130-climate-crisis-the-15c-global-warming-threshold-explainedcarbonbrief.org/explainer-will-global-warming-stop-as-soon-as-net-zero-emissions-are-reached thelastglaciers.com/sea-level-rise thesciencebreaker.org/breaks/earth-space/pliocene-sea-level-snapshots DeConto & Pollard (2016) nature.com/articles/nature17145 Stokes et al. (2022) nature.com/articles/s41586-022-04946-0 DeConto et al. (2021) nature.com/articles/s41586-021-03427-0 Box et al. (2022) nature.com/articles/s41558-022-01441-2 Haywood et al. (2013) cp.copernicus.org/articles/9/191/2013/cp-9-191-2013.html Boers & Rypdal (2021) pnas.org/doi/full/10.1073/pnas.2024192118 King et al. (2017) nature.com/articles/s43247-020-0001-2 Pattyn et al. (2018) nature.com/articles/s41558-018-0305-8
Were in for a TON of sea level rise Dr Gilbz 2025-05-23 | New research shows that current levels of warming will cause sea level rise that is too fast to adapt to. We're in for several metres of sea level rise over many centuries - but the faster it happens, the harder it is to cope with.Paper: Stokes et al. (2025) Nature Comms Earth & Env, doi: 10.1038/s43247-025-02299-w
This is the cutting edge of (Antarctic) climate science Dr Gilbz 2025-05-05 | Last week I went to the European Geoscience Union's annual conference, a meeting of tens of thousands of Europe's climate and environmental scientists. This is where scientists present brand new results, methods and ideas - you won't find anything newer or more bleeding edge than this. So, I thought I'd share some of my observations and experiences with you - this is a rough n ready video, please let me know if you think I should do more of these ♥️################################################## Contents 00:00 – Ohh boi I'm pooped 00:28 – EGU2500:55 – Cutting edge science02:12 – Alex Bradley03:30 – Anneke Vries04:19 – Rachel Furner05:43 – (US) science is suffering07:49 – Support the channel#ClimateChange #EGU25##################################################Special thanks to my Patreon subscribers, including my Patreon Saints: Steven Cowling, Eliot Bryant, Baerbel Winkler, Patrick Hillberg, Michael Unterweger, James Harley Gorrell & Gary Stark. You all rock ♥️ Join them at www.patreon.com/dr_gilbz##################################################
Europe’s climate is heating faster than any other Dr Gilbz 2025-04-15 | 2024 was the world’s hottest year on record, and Europe is the continent warming the fastest. Extreme events ravaged Europe last year, including floods, wildfires and storms that claimed hundreds of lives and impacted many thousands more. To find out more, I spoke to Julien Nicolas, a co-author of the European State of the Climate Report, a huge undertaking that was put together by the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting on behalf of the Copernicus Climate Change Service and World Meteorological Organisation.################################################## Contents 00:00 – Smokin’ hot Europeans 00:24 – State of the European Climate Report 01:15 - Headlines 02:27 – Extremes04:16 – Polar impacts07:50 – Global context08:54 – Future change10:02 - What to do10:56 - Thanks#ClimateChange #ESOTC2024 #ECMWF #CopernicusClimate #WMO##################################################Thanks to Julien Nicolas and C3S for their time.Special thanks to my Patreon subscribers, including my Patreon Saints: Steven Cowling, Eliot Bryant, Baerbel Winkler, Patrick Hillberg, Michael Unterweger, James Harley Gorrell & Gary Stark. You all rock ♥️ Join them at www.patreon.com/dr_gilbz##################################################ReferencesAll figures included courtesy of Copernicus Climate Change Service, unless otherwise stated.REPORT: https://climate.copernicus.eu/esotc/2024 Key takeaways:https://www.eumetsat.int/europes-hottest-year-signals-deepening-climate-crisistheguardian.com/environment/2025/apr/15/europe-storms-floods-and-wildfires-in-2024-affected-more-than-400000 https://www.esa.int/Applications/Observing_the_Earth/Copernicus/Key_findings_from_the_European_State_of_the_Climate_Report Underlying data: https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/ Other references:thebulletin.org/2019/10/disappearing-glaciers-before-and-after-views-of-mont-blanc nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/analyses/arctic-sea-ice-extent-levels-2024-minimum-set carbonbrief.org/arctic-sea-ice-winter-peak-in-2025-is-smallest-in-47-year-recordtheguardian.com/environment/2025/mar/06/global-sea-ice-hit-all-time-minimum-in-february-scientists-saynsidc.org/sea-ice-today/analyses/arctic-sea-ice-sets-record-low-maximum-2025carbonbrief.org/guest-post-how-the-greenland-ice-sheet-fared-in-2024https://www.geo.uzh.ch/en/news/papers/2024/alpine-glaciers-lose-at-least-a-third-of-their-volume-by-2050.html
Inside you there are two climate futures Dr Gilbz 2025-02-28 | What’s going to happen to our climate in the coming years? Well, my friend: that’s the million-dollar question. And it’s hard to answer because human behaviour is pretty dang unpredicatable.Scientists use scenarios to project into the future and imagine what might happen. So here, I’m trying to do just that: presenting a timeline of a life that started in 2010, and painting a picture of what the world might look like by 2100. These are scenarios that climate scientists like me use all the time for our models, and the same ones that you may have seen in IPCC reports. For more info on scenarios, check the references and resources below.Scenario 1: SSP2-4.5 Scenario 2: SSP1-2.6################################################## Contents 00:00 – Climate Wild Card 00:36 – Climate change so far02:00 – We have a choice02:14 – Choice 1: keep doing the same03:49 – Choice 2: an alternative06:59 – Disaster averted?07:09 – The choice is ours08:38 - Thanks #ClimateChange #Future##################################################Special thanks to my Patreon subscribers, including my Patreon Saints: Steven Cowling, Eliot Bryant, Baerbel Winkler, Patrick Hillberg, Michael Unterweger, James Harley Gorrell, Gary Stark & Martin Palmer. You all rock ♥️ ################################################## References and resourcesBetts et al. (2023) - nature.com/articles/d41586-023-03775-z NASA temperature dataset - climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/global-temperature HadCRU temperature dataset - crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature Berkeley Earth temperature dataset - berkeleyearth.org/data Climate Stripes - showyourstripes.info IPCC 2021 multi-model mean projections - AR6 WG1 Ch 4 https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGI_Chapter04.pdf Armstrong-Mackay et al. (2022) - science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abn7950 Scenarios and projections -https://open.oregonstate.education/climatechange/chapter/impacts/ Scenarios - https://www.dkrz.de/en/communication/climate-simulations/cmip6-en/the-ssp-scenarios Carbon Brief explainer - carbonbrief.org/explainer-how-shared-socioeconomic-pathways-explore-future-climate-change O’Neill et al. (2014) - link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-013-0905-2
Surprise! It’s raining in West Antarctica 😬 Dr Gilbz 2025-02-11 | Antarctica is famously cold. And snowy. But in a new paper, I show that rain is falling at sub-zero temperatures over the climatically sensitive Thwaites and Pine Island ice shelves. Using state-of-the-art modelling, we look at the extreme precipitation that is brought to West Antarctica by atmospheric rivers. But what does extreme snow and rain mean for West Antarctica? Watch on to find out...################################################## Contents00:00 - Surprise!00:30 - Back to West Antarctica01:22 - Dang extreme precip02:55 - Freezing rain04:00 - Rain on snow04:57 - Implications05:37 - Thanks#ClimateChange #Antarctica################################################## Check out my Carbon Brief guest post here: carbonbrief.org/guest-post-how-atmospheric-rivers-are-bringing-rain-to-west-antarcticaRead the full paper here: doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-597-2025, 2025Full citation: Gilbert, E., Pishniak, D., Torres, J. A., Orr, A., Maclennan, M., Wever, N., and Verro, K.: Extreme precipitation associated with atmospheric rivers over West Antarctic ice shelves: insights from kilometre-scale regional climate modelling, The Cryosphere, 19, 597–618, doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-597-2025, 2025. ################################################## This work was funded by PolarRES, an EU Horizon 2020 research project under grant agreement number 101003590.Special thanks to my Patreon subscribers, including my Patreon Saints: Steven Cowling, Eliot Bryant, Baerbel Winkler, Patrick Hillberg, Michael Unterweger, James Harley Gorrell & Gary Stark. You all rock ♥️################################################## References and resourcesThwaites Glacier outlook - thwaitesglacier.org/news/grim-outlook-antarcticas-thwaites-glacier Impacts of winds and topography on the Antarctic Peninsula - carbonbrief.org/guest-post-ranking-the-reasons-why-the-larsen-c-ice-shelf-is-melting Antarctic extreme events - frontiersin.org/news/2023/08/08/antarctic-extreme-events-martin-siegert Antarctic ice melt interactive - nytimes.com/interactive/2017/10/26/climate/antarctica-glaciers-melt.html Atmospheric rivers in the USA - https://lamont.columbia.edu/news/climate-expert-explains-why-atmospheric-rivers-are-causing-historic-rainfall-california Atmospheric rivers in the UK - carbonbrief.org/guest-post-the-role-of-atmospheric-rivers-in-uk-winter-floodsMorlighem et al. (2020) nature.com/articles/s41561-019-0510-8 Donat-Magnin et al. (2021) tc.copernicus.org/articles/15/571/2021 Siegert et al. (2023) frontiersin.org/journals/environmental-science/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2023.1229283/full Gilbert et al. (2025) doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-597-2025 Turner et al. (2019) agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2018GL081517 Nicola et al. (2023) tc.copernicus.org/articles/17/2563/2023/tc-17-2563-2023.htmlWille et al. (2021) agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2020JD033788 Wille et al (2022) nature.com/articles/s43247-022-00422-9 Maclennan et al. (2023) tc.copernicus.org/articles/17/865/2023Vignon et al. (2021) agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2020GL092281
LA wildfires: climate driven ? Dr Gilbz 2025-01-09 | Drought and strong winds are combining to make these some of the most powerful wildfires to grip southern California in years. Several people have tragically lost their lives and thousands have lost homes and businesses.Unfortunately, climate change is fuelling such these events, making them more frequent and more destructive.
2024 was rough for the climate. Dr Gilbz 2024-12-29 | What a car crash 2024 was. Here's a summary of the year's main climate events.
2024, a car crash for the climate. Dr Gilbz 2024-12-29 | Happy new year. We made it.The planet's hottest year in human memory has just finished, and boy, was it a car crash for the climate.################################################## Contents00:00 - We made it.00:27 - Hottest year01:40 - Extremes03:26 - Warm oceans04:27 - All COPs Are Bonkers05:30 - Trump06:22 - Some wins07:40 - Cheers#ClimateChange ################################################## Special thanks to my Patreon subscribers, including my Patreon Saints: Steven Cowling, Eliot Bryant, Baerbel Winkler, Patrick Hillberg, Michael Unterweger, James Harley Gorrell, Gary Stark & Lucien Mansell. You all rock ♥️. ################################################## References & Resourcesworldweatherattribution.org/extreme-downpours-increasing-in-southern-spain-as-fossil-fuel-emissions-heat-the-climatehttps://wmo.int/news/media-centre/2024-track-be-hottest-year-record-warming-temporarily-hits-15degc https://climate.copernicus.eu/copernicus-2024-virtually-certain-be-warmest-year-and-first-year-above-15degcmetoffice.gov.uk/about-us/news-and-media/media-centre/weather-and-climate-news/2024/2025-global-temperature-outlookhttps://climate.metoffice.cloud/current_warming.html metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/news-and-media/media-centre/weather-and-climate-news/2024/uk-experiences-coolest-summer-since-2015 theguardian.com/environment/2024/nov/23/catastrophic-marine-heatwaves-are-killing-sealife-and-causing-mass-disruption-to-uk-fisheries metoffice.gov.uk/blog/2024/the-unbelievable-may-that-had-everyone-talking youtu.be/vQbbqtybTVs theguardian.com/world/2024/nov/14/almost-half-of-spains-flood-victims-were-over-70-figures-show worldweatherattribution.org/extreme-downpours-increasing-in-southern-spain-as-fossil-fuel-emissions-heat-the-climate theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/nov/06/warn-valencia-government-flooding earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/153533/valencia-floods bbc.com/future/article/20241216-seven-quiet-breakthroughs-for-climate-and-nature-in-2024-you-might-have-missedclimateactiontracker.org/countries/china theguardian.com/environment/2024/apr/09/human-rights-violated-inaction-climate-echr-rules-landmark-case theguardian.com/environment/2024/dec/27/climate-crisis-dangerous-heat-2024
The climate plan that (nearly) worked Dr Gilbz 2024-11-26 | Once upon a time, two campaigners hatched a plan to get the UK to commit to cutting emissions and taking action on climate change. And it worked, pushing the creation of the world's first law enshrining climate targets in law. On the 26th November, 2008, the Climate Change Act was born.However, since then progress has stalled. And not just in the UK. The world is at a crossroads: we must make a choice between a green future where climate action is taken seriously and a fossil fuelled future, where deadly extreme events and environmental destruction are the norm.If you live in the UK, please sign this petition calling for government to develop a Big Climate Plan and get climate action back on the table:✍️ foe.uk/43dqe ..and if you don't live in the UK, check out the links below for ideas of how to get involved in climate action wherever you are.##################################################Contents00:00 - Intro00:47 - Mine's a Guinness01:37 - A world first02:17 - Did it work?03:03 - F+ for effort04:14 - A crossroads04:52 - Take action#ClimateAction ##################################################Now more than ever, evidence-based climate creators like us need your support. Sharing, liking and subscribing really helps, but if you want to go that extra step further you can support me by subscribing here on Youtube, or on Patreon: patreon.com/dr_gilbz Thanks as ever to my Patreon subscribers, including my Patreon Saints: Steven Cowling, Eliot Bryant, Baerbel Winkler, Patrick Hillberg, Michael Unterweger, James Harley Gorrell, Gary Stark, Sergiu Coroi & Lucien Mansell. ################################################## ** More info (UK-focused) **Friends of the Earth have also put together some resources to mark 16 years since beginning of the Climate Change Act: foe.uk/zf1gg - about the Climate Change Actfoe.uk/bdqil - research report describing their new analysisFind a campaign group near you: groups.friendsoftheearth.uk ** International action (a starting point) **greenpeace.org/international/get-involved climatenetwork.org friendsoftheearth.uk/climate/international-climate-campaign-fair-global-actionwri.org/climate/international-climate-action
Climate scientists react to Trump | ft. @ClimateAdam Dr Gilbz 2024-11-13 | Donald Trump has won re-election in the USA. But what does it mean for climate change worldwide? I discuss climate science, climate policy, and Trump's anti-science agenda with the fabulous @ClimateAdam.Check out the companion video over on Adam's channel here: youtu.be/MuzZm_UcCc8################################################## Contents: 00:00 - I'm back!00:56 - Trump's "liquid gold" addiction02:23 - "Clean" coal04:10 - Climate-denier-in-chief05:40 - 12 years to save the planet06:20 - Sea level rise07:30 - It's weather, stoopid08:57 - Trump hates Paris11:11 - ...And the "deep state"12:37 - Project 202514:15 - The Donald vs. D/Misinformation16:18 - How to help17:20 - A look ahead#USElection #DonaldTrump #ClimateChange ##################################################Now more than ever, evidence-based climate creators like us need your support. Sharing, liking and subscribing really helps, but if you want to go that extra step further you can support me by subscribing here on Youtube, or on Patreon: patreon.com/dr_gilbz Thanks as ever to my Patreon subscribers, including my Patreon Saints: Steven Cowling, Eliot Bryant, Baerbel Winkler, Patrick Hillberg, Michael Unterweger, James Harley Gorrell, Gary Stark, Sergiu Coroi & Lucien Mansell. ################################################## References and reading Reactions of climate experts:climatechangenews.com/2024/11/06/us-election-climate-experts-react-to-donald-trumps-victory Implications for climate change:theguardian.com/us-news/2024/oct/28/donald-trump-climate-change-environment Fact check:factcheck.org/2024/09/trump-clings-to-inaccurate-climate-change-talking-points Fossil fuels at COP29:bbc.com/news/articles/crmzvdn9e18o theguardian.com/environment/2024/nov/01/a-trump-presidency-could-cripple-the-paris-climate-agreement-warns-un-chief-antonio-guterres politico.com/news/2024/06/28/trump-paris-climate-treaty-withdrawal-again-00165903https://www.lemonde.fr/en/environment/article/2024/11/07/donald-trump-s-election-is-a-dark-day-for-the-climate_6732013_114.htmltheguardian.com/us-news/2024/apr/26/trump-presidency-gut-noaa-weather-climate-crisis
Antarctic sea ice breaks records... nearly Dr Gilbz 2024-10-09 | Maximum winter Antarctic sea ice has reached 17 million square kilometres... making it the second lowest on record by a whisker.
Hairdryer winds drive Antarctic ice shelf collapse Dr Gilbz 2024-08-19 | Föhn winds are a common occurrence in mountain regions around the world - from the Andes to the Alps to the Rockies. And... to the Antarctic Peninsula.In fact, these "hairdryer winds" have a real impact on the climate of the Antarctic Peninsula, and can drive temperature extremes and melting.################################################## Contents: 00:00 - Ice shelves are melting01:29 - The setup02:51 - Impacts on ice03:58 - Extremes04:50 - Climate change#Antarctic #ClimateChange #foehn #föhn################################################## Thanks to my Patreon subscribers, including my Patreon Saints: Steven Cowling, Eliot Bryant, Baerbel Winkler, Patrick Hillberg, Michael Unterweger, James Harley Gorrell, Gary Stark, Sergiu Coroi & Lucien Mansell. Join them here: patreon.com/dr_gilbz ################################################## References Gilbert et al. (2022a) doi.org/10.1029/2021JD034766Gilbert et al. (2022b) doi.org/10.1029/2021JD036012Luckman et al. (2014) doi.org/10.1017/S0954102014000339Bevan et al. (2017) doi.org/10.5194/tc-11-2743-2017 Elvidge & Renfrew (2016) doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00194.1 Wille et al. (2022) doi.org/10.1038/s43247-022-00422-9 Zou et al. (2023) doi.org/10.1029/2022JD038138 ################################################## Contains AI generated audio
Will sea levels rise higher than expected? Dr Gilbz 2024-07-07 | New research suggests West Antarctica may add more to sea levels than previously thought.Which makes it ever more pressing that we cut emissions and adapt to the changes to come.
Antarctica might raise sea levels more than we thought Dr Gilbz 2024-07-05 | The West Antarctic is currently chucking a load of ice into the ocean, adding rapidly to sea levels. And now, three new scientific studies have shown that the ice sheets may be more sensitive to warming than previously thought. These new findings could revise our sea level rise estimates upwards. I spoke to Dr Alex Bradley, who was involved in two of these new studies, about what this means, and why it doesn’t mean we should give up on climate action. Speaking of which...**What can I do?**Here are some ideas: theguardian.com/environment/article/2024/may/09/what-are-the-most-powerful-climate-actions-you-can-take imperial.ac.uk/stories/climate-action climate.leeds.ac.uk/here-are-the-most-effective-things-you-can-do-to-fight-climate-change bbc.com/future/article/20181102-what-can-i-do-about-climate-change ucl.ac.uk/climate-action-unit/climate-action Watch the full interview with Dr Bradley here: patreon.com/posts/107468701################################################## Contents: 00:00 - Intro 00:32 - Sea level rise01:51 - West Antarctica 03:09 - Processes 05:39 - Ice sheet models 06:33 - Thwaites08:50 - Tipping points10:31 - Our actions still matter #Antarctic #ClimateChange ################################################## Thanks to my Patreon subscribers, including my Patreon Saints: Steven Cowling, Eliot Bryant, Baerbel Winkler, Patrick Hillberg, Michael Unterweger, James Harley Gorrell, Gary Stark, Sergiu Coroi & Lucien Mansell. Join them here: patreon.com/dr_gilbz ################################################## References Rignot et al. (2024) pnas.org/doi/full/10.1073/pnas.2404766121 Bett et al. (2024) tc.copernicus.org/articles/18/2653/2024/tc-18-2653-2024.html Bradley & Hewitt (2024) nature.com/articles/s41561-024-01465-7 Slater et al. (2020) nature.com/articles/s41558-020-0893-y Siegert et al. (2020) sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590332220305923 science.feedback.org/sea-level-rise-mitigate-or-adapt-experts-say-need-do-both science.org/content/article/warm-ocean-tides-are-eating-away-doomsday-glacier-antarctica-satellites-detect-daily ################################################## Contains AI generated audio
How sensitive is our #climate? Dr Gilbz 2024-07-02 | Climate Sensitivity tells us how much the climate warms when we double atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations. And it matters because it tells us how much and how fast the climate will change.
The biggest question mark in future climate change Dr Gilbz 2024-06-27 | Clouds are the number one source of uncertainty in future climate projections - here's why.
Uncertainty is your friend Dr Gilbz 2024-06-23 | The more you know, the more you know you don't know, y'know?Uncertainty means something quite different in science to the way we use it in everyday language. Scientific uncertainty tells us about the range of possibilities and how confident we are in any particular result.So in science, uncertainty is our friend!
Computer models help us predict climate change Dr Gilbz 2024-06-17 | Climate models are a vital tool for predicting future climate change and understanding our current environment.But what *is* a model and how does it work? Let's find out...
Our Oceans are Heating Up Dr Gilbz 2024-06-15 | ... with consequences for sea level, ecosystems and the livelihoods that depend on them.
Heres what you need to know about climate change. Dr Gilbz 2024-06-11 | To celebrate hitting 10k subs (thank you!) I have put together a video showing the ten biggest themes to watch out for in climate science. Watch out for these!##################################################Contents 00:00 – Intro 00:45 – Oceans03:05 – Climate Models06:15 – Uncertainty07:57 – Clouds09:35 – Climate Sensitivity11:45 – Commitments15:00 – Tipping Points16:50 – False Solutions20:30 – Bad Actors23:45 – Activism#ClimateChange #Science##################################################Thanks to my Patreon subscribers, including my Patreon Saints:Steven Cowling, Eliot Bryant, Baerbel Winkler, Patrick Hillberg, Michael Unterweger, James Harley Gorrell & Lucien Mansell. Join them here: patreon.com/dr_gilbz ##################################################REFERENCES / READING*Oceans/sea ice*bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-68921215 bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-66387537 theguardian.com/environment/2023/may/15/oceans-have-been-absorbing-the-worlds-extra-heat-but-theres-a-huge-payback https://environments.aq/publications/the-warming-of-the-southern-ocean-and-its-significance/ Cai et al. (2023) Science Bulletin 68 (9) 946-960Diamond et al. (2024) GRL 51 (10) e2024GL109265 Gilbert & Holmes (2024) Weather 79 (2) 46-51Purich & Doddridge (2023) Commun Earth Environ 4, 314 Shi et al. (2024) Nature Comms 15 (174)phys.org/news/2022-05-deep-ocean-climate.html Messias & Mercier (2022) Commun Earth Environ 3, 118 climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-ocean-heat-content climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/arctic-sea-ice *Climate models*carbonbrief.org/analysis-how-well-have-climate-models-projected-global-warming carbonbrief.org/qa-how-do-climate-models-work Hausfather et al. (2020) GRL 47 (1)realclimate.org/index.php/climate-model-projections-compared-to-observations *Uncertainty *visionlearning.com/en/library/Process-of-Science/49/Uncertainty-Error-and-Confidence/157 *Clouds* Ceppi et al (2021) PNAS 118 (30) e2026290118https://e360.yale.edu/features/why-clouds-are-the-key-to-new-troubling-projections-on-warminghttps://cordis.europa.eu/article/id/442741-the-role-that-clouds-play-in-climate-change*ECS* Sherwood et al (2020) R. Geophys. 58 (4) e2019RG000678Sherwood & Forest (2024) ACP 24 (4) 2679–2686 IPCC AR6 WG1doi.org/10.1038/s41561-020-00658-0 carbonbrief.org/explainer-how-scientists-estimate-climate-sensitivity Charney et al (1979) National Academies reportandthentheresphysics.wordpress.com/2023/01/15/some-more-about-hansen-et-al realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2016/09/why-correlations-of-co2-and-temperature-over-ice-age-cycles-dont-define-climate-sensitivity skepticalscience.com/argument.php?p=2&t=386&&a=115 andthentheresphysics.wordpress.com/2023/01/11/hansens-10c *Committed warming/SLR *Matthews & Weaver (2010) Nature Geosci. 3, 142–143 Matthews & Caldeira (2008) GRL 35 (4) Matthews (2023) Front. Sci. 14Matthews & Solomon (2013) Science 340 ( 6131), 438-439Klose et al. (2024) Cryosphere [preprint] climateanalytics.org/publications/committed-sea-level-rise-under-the-paris-agreement-and-the-legacy-of-delayed-mitigation-action Palmer & Weeks (2024) Earth's Fut. 12 (2) e2023EF004403Box et al. (2022) Nature Climate Change 12, 808–813 Mengel et al. (2018) Nature Comms 9 (601)theconversation.com/ipcc-climate-report-profound-changes-are-underway-in-earths-oceans-and-ice-a-lead-author-explains-what-the-warnings-mean-165588 youtube.com/watch?v=Q3Gol-EK1uE *Tipping points*Carbon Brief carbonbrief.org/explainer-nine-tipping-points-that-could-be-triggered-by-climate-change https://news.climate.columbia.edu/2021/11/11/how-close-are-we-to-climate-tipping-points/ Armstrong McKay et al. (2022) Science 377 (6611)Boers & Rypdal (2022) PNAS 118 (21) e2024192118Pattyn et al. (2018) Nature Climate Change 8, 1053–1061*False Solutions *bloomberg.com/news/features/2021-08-11/the-fictitious-world-of-carbon-neutral-fossil-fuel youtube.com/watch?v=WcQ4BzHGaS8bbc.com/worklife/article/20231110-the-tough-truth-behind-corporate-net-zero-sustainability-targets *Bad actors *skepticalscience.com/history-FLICC-5-techniques-science-denial.html counterhate.com/research/new-climate-denial youtube.com/watch?v=3XSG2Dw2mL8 * Activism *granthaminstitute.com/2019/10/07/put-your-fate-in-your-hands-rebelling-against-extinction-gave-me-hope-for-the-future ucl.ac.uk/climate-action-unit/climate-action voteclimate.uk tedxlondon.com/podcast/climate-curious-why-theres-much-more-to-climate-action-than-reducing-your-carbon-footprint
Climate change is breaking us – here’s how to cope Dr Gilbz 2024-05-10 | Everything feels pretty rough right now. Two horrific wars while the pace of climate change feels relentless, with devastating impacts across the world.And new results show that climate scientists - like me - are feeling very pessimistic about the future. So what can we all do to cope with the terrifying reality of the climate crisis? ##################################################Contents 00:00 – A confession00:28 – The outlook seems bleak02:00 – Scientists feel broken03:04 – Barriers to action03:34 – Take courage!04:21 – Get involved05:15 – Fight the fear07:00 – Stronger together#ClimateChange #ClimateAction #MentalHealth ##################################################Thanks to my Patreon subscribers, including my Patreon Saints:Steven Cowling, Eliot Bryant, Baerbel Winkler, Patrick Hillberg, Michael Unterweger, James Harley Gorrell & Lucien Mansell. Join them here: patreon.com/dr_gilbz ##################################################Channels:@ClimateAdam@Zentouro@SimonClark@JustHaveaThink@ClimateTown@AllAboutClimate References and resources:theguardian.com/environment/article/2024/may/08/world-scientists-climate-failure-survey-global-temperature theguardian.com/environment/ng-interactive/2024/may/08/hopeless-and-broken-why-the-worlds-top-climate-scientists-are-in-despair theguardian.com/environment/article/2024/may/09/what-are-the-most-powerful-climate-actions-you-can-takeTollefson (2021) nature.com/articles/d41586-021-02990-w Sanson & Bellemo (2021) ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8499628 bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-43294221 carbonbrief.org/mapped-how-climate-change-disproportionately-affects-womens-health www.voteclimate.uk nhm.ac.uk/discover/how-to-cope-with-eco-anxiety.html mentalhealth-uk.org/blog/what-is-climate-anxiety-and-what-can-we-do-about-it https://www.health.harvard.edu/blog/is-climate-change-keeping-you-up-at-night-you-may-have-climate-anxiety-202206132761
The #1 way to tackle the climate crisis Dr Gilbz 2024-04-29 | Voting is one of the best ways you can contribute to tackling climate change. Voting for candidates with solid green credentials is an important way of pushing for change.If you're in the UK you can find out how to maximise your vote's impact using this tool: www.voteclimate.uk
El Niño impacts temperatures worldwide #shorts Dr Gilbz 2024-04-17 | El Niño is a natural phenomenon that impacts temperatures in the Tropical Pacific, with consequences for weather and climate worldwide.
Atmospheric rivers are driving crazy climate extremes in Antarctica Dr Gilbz 2024-04-12 | Atmospheric rivers are responsible for extreme conditions across the world, driving flooding and extreme rainfall. But they have an especially important role in the polar regions, where they can contribute to ice melt, sea ice breakup and ice shelf collapse.In this video, I’m talking to atmospheric river expert Dr Jonathan Wille, a researcher at ETH Zürich. You can check his work out here: jonathanwille.github.io He’s written some great papers on Antarctic atmospheric rivers, including several which are linked below in the description, and on his website. Thanks again Jonathan!##################################################Contents 00:00 – Intro 00:48 – What’s an atmospheric river?01:38 – Impacts of atmospheric rivers02:28 – ARs at the poles03:27 – March 202205:57 – The future is wet06:40 – Some thermodynamics, soz08:18 – Summary#ClimateChange #Antarctica #Extremes##################################################Thanks to my Patreon subscribers, including my Patreon Saints:Steven Cowling, Eliot Bryant, Baerbel Winkler, Patrick Hillberg, Michael Unterweger, James Harley Gorrell & Lucien Mansell. Join them here: patreon.com/dr_gilbz ##################################################Notes on back-of-the-envelope calculations** Assumptions **1) Energy required to convert ice at 0'C to liquid water at 0'C = 334 J / g 2) Density of fresh snow 450 kg m-33) Mean melt flux (~ 2 W m-2) sustained consistently throughout event and across area.4) Surface temperature at melting point throughout2 W m-2 = 2 J s * m-2Energy required to melt 1 kg of snow with density 450 kg m-3:334000 J kg-1 * 450 kg m-3 = 150,300,000 J m-3150,300,000 J m-3 / 2 J s * m-2 = 75,150,000 s to melt 1 m surface snow75,150,000 s / 3,600 s hr-1 = 20,875 hours to melt 1 m surface snow = 2.38 yearsEquivalent at 200 W /m2 = 8.7 days to melt a whole m of surface snow##################################################ReferencesSome of Jonathan’s excellent research: Wille et al. (2019) nature.com/articles/s41561-019-0460-1 Wille et al. (2021) agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2020JD033788 Wille et al. (2022) nature.com/articles/s43247-022-00422-9 Wille et al. (2024a) doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0175.1 Wille et al. (2024b) doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0176.1 Other scientific literature:Lavers & Villarini (2015) sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0022169414010208 Paltan et al. (2017) agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/2017GL074882Shields et al. (2022) agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2022GL102091 Wang et al. (2023) nature.com/articles/s41467-023-38980-x Li et al. (2024) tc.copernicus.org/articles/18/121/2024 General interest links:bas.ac.uk/media-post/extreme-heatwave-in-east-antarctica-caused-by-record-breaking-atmospheric-riverarctictoday.com/record-smashing-heatwaves-are-hitting-antarctica-and-the-arctic-simultaneously noaa.gov/stories/what-are-atmospheric-rivers nationalgeographic.com/environment/article/atmospheric-river-flood-rain-california-explainer theconversation.com/a-heatwave-in-antarctica-totally-blew-the-minds-of-scientists-they-set-out-to-decipher-it-and-here-are-the-results-220672 https://www.downtoearth.org.in/blog/climate-change/a-single-antarctic-heatwave-or-storm-can-noticeably-raise-the-sea-level-94577 news.sky.com/story/england-soaked-by-record-rainfall-in-last-18-months-new-met-office-figures-show-13106645 ft.com/content/f976b2fb-9a23-4a64-91bb-cb250f35853f metoffice.gov.uk/research/approach/collaboration/ukcp nytimes.com/2024/02/06/us/los-angeles-storm-climate.html nytimes.com/2024/02/06/us/los-angeles-storm-climate.html
Broken record! Hottest Feb measured #climatechange Dr Gilbz 2024-03-08 | Feb 2024: hottest month on record... again.If you don't think we're changing our climate at breakneck speed, you're really not paying attention.🌡️Feb 2024: warmest February on record9️⃣ A gobsmacking 9 months in a row breaking monthly temp records🌊 Unprecedented ocean heat🧊 A crisis in the cryosphere, with extreme lows in Antarctic sea ice.From Copernicus' latest analysis.
Has Antarctic sea ice shifted into a new state? Dr Gilbz 2024-02-29 | Another year, another low. Antarctic sea ice extent has officially reached its joint second lowest level on record. The summer minimum bottomed out at 1.99 mn km2, making the last 3 years the lowest we've ever observed. But is this evidence of a ‘regime shift’ in sea ice? Watch on to find out...##################################################Contents 00:00 – A near-record 00:26 - A re-cap01:33 - So what's going on?02:35 - A regime shift? 03:46 - What happens in Antarctica doesn't stay in Antarctica04:22 - A shout-out#ClimateChange #Antarctica #SeaIce##################################################Thanks to my Patreon subscribers, including my Patreon Saints:Steven Cowling, Eliot Bryant, Baerbel Winkler, Patrick Hillberg, Michael Unterweger, James Harley Gorrell & Lucien Mansell. Join them here: patreon.com/dr_gilbz ##################################################References and resourcesIonita (2024) frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/feart.2024.1333706/full Purich & Doddridge (2023) nature.com/articles/s43247-023-00961-9 Parkinson (2019) doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1906556116 Gilbert & Holmes (2024) rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/wea.4518 Eayrs et al. (2021) nature.com/articles/s41561-021-00768-3 Zhang et al. (2019) doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0350-3Zhang et al (2022) doi.org/10.1038/s43247-022-00624-1 Shi et al. (2021) nature.com/articles/s41558-021-01212-5 Liu et al. (2023) spj.science.org/doi/10.34133/olar.0007 Hobbs et al. (2024) journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-23-0479.1/JCLI-D-23-0479.1.xml Schroeter et al (2023) tc.copernicus.org/articles/17/701/2023 Wang et al. (2023) doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acc9d6 Simpkins (2023) nature.com/articles/s43017-023-00433-w Spreen et al (2008) doi.org/10.1029/2005JC003384 (Sea-ice data from 2003 to 2023 from www.meereisportal.de (funding: REKLIM-2013-04)) nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews theguardian.com/world/2024/feb/24/antarctica-sea-ice-reaches-alarming-low-for-third-year-in-a-row climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/understanding-climate-antarctic-sea-ice-extent carbonbrief.org/guest-post-why-2023-was-an-exceptional-year-for-antarctic-sea-ice bas.ac.uk/media/media-visits/beyondtheice/january-2024-why-2023-was-an-exceptional-year-for-antarctic-sea-ice theconversation.com/antarctica-is-missing-a-chunk-of-sea-ice-bigger-than-greenland-whats-going-on-210665 nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2023/09/antarctic-sets-a-record-low-maximum-by-wide-margin
Have we just blown past our climate target? Dr Gilbz 2024-02-12 | The world has just recorded its first ever 12-month stint of temperatures 1.5 degrees above pre-industrial levels. It shows how completely we have changed our climate. But this news doesn’t mean that we have reached the 1.5 degree Paris Agreement target for warming – yet. ##################################################Contents 00:00 – More news. 00:57 - Wake-up call 01:28 - Paris targets and current warming 02:47 – Apples, oranges, and sponges 04:40 – We need action #ClimateChange #ParisAgreement ##################################################Thanks to my Patreon subscribers, including my Patreon Saints:Steven Cowling, Eliot Bryant, Baerbel Winkler, Patrick Hillberg, Michael Unterweger, James Harley Gorrell & Lucien Mansell. Join them here: patreon.com/dr_gilbz ##################################################References and resources https://climate.copernicus.eu/copernicus-2023-hottest-year-record https://climate.copernicus.eu/copernicus-2024-world-experienced-warmest-january-record https://climate.copernicus.eu/ https://www.smh.com.au/national/did-a-sea-sponge-just-blow-up-the-paris-agreement-20240206-p5f2q5.html McCulloch, et al. (2024) doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01919-7 Betts et al. (2024) nature.com/articles/d41586-023-03775-z Nogrady (2024) Have we just blown past our climate target?nature.com/articles/d41586-024-00281-8
Is it time to give up on the 1.5°C climate target? Dr Gilbz 2024-01-26 | Every discussion of climate change seems to come with talk about the 1.5 degree target. But with the pace of climate change and the inaction of political leaders it seems inevitable that we will blow through this crucial target and into dangerous territory. So, is it time to give up on 1.5C ?##################################################Contents00:00 - Intro01:01 - 1.5 aint SMART02:19 - What does 1.5 actually mean?03:13 - How do we know?04:44 - Can we do it?05:31 - What's at stake07:00 - 1.5 by when?08:04 - Shall we give up on 1.5?09:17 - 1.5 is slipping out of reach#ClimateChange #ClimateAction##################################################Thanks to my Patreon subscribers, including my Patreon Saints:Steven Cowling, Eliot Bryant, Baerbel Winkler, Patrick Hillberg, Michael Unterweger, James Harley Gorrell & Lucien Mansell. Join them here: patreon.com/dr_gilbz ##################################################Additional footage:UNFCCCCopernicus Climate Change ServiceSky NewsChannel 5 NewsCarbon Brief################################################## References & resourcesTwo great videos on this topic:youtube.com/watch?v=pshSE78rmvo&ab_channel=ClimateAdam youtube.com/watch?v=hTtR_WaLHnY&ab_channel=HeatGeek Scientific literature:Betts et al. (2023) nature.com/articles/d41586-023-03775-zForster et all. (2023) essd.copernicus.org/articles/15/2295/2023 IPCC SR1.5 (2019) https://www.ipcc.ch/sr15/chapter/spm/ Lamboll et al (2023) nature.com/articles/s41558-023-01848-5 Sanderson (2023) nature.com/articles/s41558-023-01846-7 UNEP EGR (2023) unep.org/resources/emissions-gap-report-2023General articles:interactive.carbonbrief.org/one-point-five-pathways/index.html interactive.carbonbrief.org/impacts-climate-change-one-point-five-degrees-two-degrees https://www.carbonbrieforg/state-of-the-climate-2023-smashes-records-for-surface-temperature-and-ocean-heat/ https://10insightsclimate.science/year-2023/1-overshooting-fast-becoming-inevitablebbc.com/future/article/20231130-climate-crisis-the-15c-global-warming-threshold-explained carbonbrief.org/explainer-how-do-scientists-measure-global-temperature bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-66857354
Antarctic sea ice went MAD in 2023 Dr Gilbz 2024-01-03 | Antarctic sea ice was 2023's big polar news. It totally fell off a cliff this year, reaching record lows in summer and winter 📉Images from NSIDC and Zack Labe
2023 was hot and extreme 🔥 Dr Gilbz 2024-01-03 | 2023 was hot🌡️It was also a year of extremes. This year's heatwaves, wildfires, droughts and floods were all made more likely by climate change.Images from Copernicus, Anthony Quintano, David McNew, Reuters, WHAS11 and World Weather Attribution.
2023: the worlds hottest year on record, recapped. Dr Gilbz 2023-12-28 | This year has been a wild one. 2023 has been a big year for climate change, polar science and…. this channel. References and links to all the events I’ve talked about are below. Thanks for watching in 2023 and see youse next year!Contents00:00 - We made it00:27 - THANK YOU01:01 - Polar science02:19 - Icebergs03:13 - Sea ice 04:44 - Hottest year05:31 - Year of extremes07:00 - Science on TV08:04 - Looking ahead09:17 - Happy New Year!#ClimateChange ##################################################Thanks to my Patreon subscribers, including my Patreon Saints:Steven Cowling, Eliot Bryant, Baerbel Winkler, Patrick Hillberg, Michael Unterweger, James Harley Gorrell & Lucien Mansell. Join them here: patreon.com/dr_gilbz ##################################################Image credits:Anthony QuintanoWHAS11Copernicus Climate Change ServiceSky NewsBBC News Channel 5 NewsBeach House Pictures / Curiosity Studios################################################## References #Antarctic sea ice bas.ac.uk/media-post/the-mystery-of-the-missing-antarctic-sea-ice theconversation.com/antarctica-is-missing-a-chunk-of-sea-ice-bigger-than-greenland-whats-going-on-210665 theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/aug/07/is-the-climate-crisis-finally-catching-up-with-antarctica-finding-the-answer-has-never-been-more-pressing climate.gov/news-features/event-tracker/2023-antarctic-sea-ice-winter-maximum-lowest-record-wide-margin nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2023/09/antarctic-sets-a-record-low-maximum-by-wide-margin Purich & Doddridge (2023) Record low Antarctic sea ice coverage indicates a new sea ice state. Communications Earth and Environment 4, 314, doi:10.1038/s43247-023-00961-9Turner et al. (2017) Unprecedented springtime retreat of Antarctic sea ice in 2016. Geophysical Research Letters, 44(13), 6868-6875, doi:10.1002/2017GL073656Turner et al. (2022) Record low Antarctic sea ice cover in February 2022. Geophysical Research Letters, 49(12), e2022GL098904, doi:10.1029/2022GL098904Zhang et al. (2022) The relative role of the subsurface Southern Ocean in driving negative Antarctic Sea ice extent anomalies in 2016–2021, 3, 302, Communications Earth and Environment doi:10.1038/s43247-022-00624-1sciencealert.com/6-4-sigma-event-antarctic-sea-ice-hits-lowest-point-since-official-records-began #ExtremeWeather events Zachariah et al. (2023) Extreme heat in North America, Europe and China in July 2023 made much more likely by climate change. World Weather Attribution report. doi.org/10.25561/105549 Kimutai et al. (2023) Human-induced climate change increased drought severity in Horn of Africa. World Weather Attribution report. Arias et al. (2023) Vulnerability and high temperatures exacerbate impacts of ongoing drought in Central South America. World Weather Attribution report. Barnes et al. (2023) Climate change more than doubled the likelihood of extreme fire weather conditions in Eastern Canada Zachariah et al. (2023) Interplay of climate change-exacerbated rainfall, exposure and vulnerability led to widespread impacts in the Mediterranean region worldweatherattribution.org/climate-change-fuelled-extreme-weather-in-2023-expect-more-records-in-2024#Polar researchNaughten et al. (2023) Unavoidable future increase in West Antarctic ice-shelf melting over the twenty-first century. Nat. Clim. Chang. 13, 1222–1228. doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01818-x ICCI, 2023. State of the Cryosphere 2023 – Two Degrees is Too High. International Cryosphere Climate Initiative (ICCI), Stockholm, Sweden. 62 pp. England & Polvani (2023) The Montreal Protocol is delaying the occurrence of the first ice-free Arctic summer. PNAS 120 (22) e2211432120. doi.org/10.1073/pnas.221143212carbonbrief.org/qa-warming-of-2c-would-trigger-catastrophic-loss-of-worlds-ice-new-report-says#COP28 bbc.com/news/science-environment-67508331carbonbrief.org/cop28-key-outcomes-agreed-at-the-un-climate-talks-in-dubaibbc.co.uk/news/av/world-67691536unep.org/news-and-stories/story/some-key-takeaways-cop28-climate-summit theguardian.com/environment/2023/dec/13/cop28-landmark-deal-agreed-to-transition-away-from-fossil-fuels Hottest yeartheguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/08/2023-on-track-to-be-the-hottest-year-on-record-say-scientists https://climate.copernicus.eu/record-warm-november-consolidates-2023-warmest-year https://climate.copernicus.eu/july-2023-global-air-and-ocean-temperatures-reach-new-record-highs earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/151743/the-ocean-has-a-fever RMetS awardrmets.org/awards-educating-inspiring-and-enthusing-1 Lift the Icecuriositystream.com/video/6071 awards.realscreen.com/nominees
Fossil fuels won at COP28 Dr Gilbz 2023-12-18 | Another year, another climate summit. This year's meeting may have made the landmark agreement to "transition away from fossil fuels" but it was still tainted by the influence of record numbers of fossil fuel lobbyists and the blatant hand of fossil fuel companies - not least that of the COP28 President.Thanks so much again to James, follow him on X here: twitter.com/JD_Kirkham#COP28 #ClimateChange ####################################################Contents00:00 Intro00:31 The headlines01:40 The wins03:44 The global stocktake05:11 The scandal COP08:34 COP is a joke09:44 Protests10:29 What's the alternative?####################################################Support me on Patreon here to help keep these videos ad-free: www.patreon.com/dr_gilbz Subscriptions help me make more (& better!) video content about climate and polar science, and keep these videos independent. ####################################################Image credits Ed KingLicypriya KangujamKamran Jebreili / APHM Government#################################################### References and news coveragecarbonbrief.org/cop28-key-outcomes-agreed-at-the-un-climate-talks-in-dubai bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-67508331 theguardian.com/environment/2023/dec/08/opec-rails-against-fossil-fuel-phase-out-at-cop28-in-leaked-letterstheguardian.com/environment/2023/dec/05/record-number-of-fossil-fuel-lobbyists-get-access-to-cop28-climate-talkstheenergymix.com/cop28-betrayal-we-will-not-sign-our-own-death-warrant-delegate-says-after-al-jaber-circulates-unacceptable-declarationtheguardian.com/environment/2023/dec/03/back-into-caves-cop28-president-dismisses-phase-out-of-fossil-fuels
2°C is too high for the world’s ice #COP28 Dr Gilbz 2023-12-04 | “We can’t negotiate with the melting point of ice”. A sobering new report shows that warming of 2 degrees above pre-industrial temperatures will spell disaster for the world’s frozen cryosphere. But as the world’s leaders meet in Dubai to discuss climate action, it’s clear there’s a huge gap between what needs to happen, and what countries are committed to delivering. In this video, I meet Dr James Kirkham, Chief Scientific Advisor for the International Cryosphere Climate Initiative, who is working hard to translate the science in this report into real-world policy. If you would like to see the full interview I recorded with him, head over to my patreon (it's free to view): patreon.com/posts/interview-dr-93880693Find out more about James and his work here: iccinet.org/staff and you can follow him on socials here: twitter.com/jd_kirkham. #COP28 #ClimateChange #Cryosphere #Polar ####################################################Contents00:00 Intro00:37 Say hello to James01:18 2 degrees is too high02:54 Some loss is inevitable04:05 Bowling ball07:07 It's never too late for action08:58 What it's like at COP09:57 There's a world to win####################################################Support me on Patreon here: www.patreon.com/dr_gilbz Subscriptions help me make more (& better!) video content about climate and polar science, and keep these videos independent. ####################################################Image credits PLoS Biology, June 2011, Cover. Alison R. Taylor (University of North Carolina Wilmington Microscopy Facility) NOAA photo libraryNASA Visualization StudioBoris Radosavljevic References and resourcesState of the Cryosphere report iccinet.org/statecryo23/# UNEP emissions gap report unep.org/resources/emissions-gap-report-2023 mountainresearchinitiative.org/news-page-all/112-global-news/3718-state-of-the-cryosphere-2023-major-new-report-confirms-just-2-c-of-warming-will-trigger-irreversible-global-damage-from-loss-of-earth-s-ice carbonbrief.org/qa-warming-of-2c-would-trigger-catastrophic-loss-of-worlds-ice-new-report-says
Whats the point of climate summits anyway? Dr Gilbz 2023-11-27 | I hate COP climate summits. And this year’s is especially contentious (I’m lookin’ at you, UAE). But we still need them, because international problems need international solutions. COPs are one part of the answer, and everything else – national, local and individual action – is the rest. While we're on the topic, you should also check out Climate Adam’s fantastic video about COP28 here: youtu.be/YcrN17urybw ####################################################Contents00:00 Intro 00:43 Why do we need COPs?01:09 International negotiations02:45 The circus04:07 Greenwashing06:15 Necessary but not sufficient#ClimateAction #COP28####################################################Support me on Patreon here to help keep these videos ad-free: patreon.com/Dr_Gilbz. Subscriptions help me make more (& better!) video content about climate and polar science, and keep these videos independent. ####################################################COP image credits: President of Armenia CC-BY 3.0 President of Bulgaria CC-BY 3.0 Dati Bendo Arctic Circle ####################################################References and resourcesbbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-67508331climate-reporting.org/climate-uae-oil-greenwashing edition.cnn.com/2023/07/18/middleeast/cop-28-dubai-greenwashing-climate/index.html iccinet.org/statecryo23/# carbonbrief.org/qa-warming-of-2c-would-trigger-catastrophic-loss-of-worlds-ice-new-report-says theguardian.com/environment/2023/oct/07/meet-the-oil-man-tasked-with-saving-the-planet-cop28 energyvoice.com/renewables-energy-transition/ccs/middle-east-ccs/537931/uae-oil-giant-doubles-carbon-capture-target-ahead-of-cop-summit
🧊 Huge #iceberg 2x the size of London is on the move near #Antarctica. #a23a Dr Gilbz 2023-11-24 | ...
We can’t save the West Antarctic. So what now? Dr Gilbz 2023-11-08 | It’s not often that I make a video with a title this bleak, but unfortunately, needs must. Several pieces of new research point to the inevitability of West Antarctic Ice Sheet collapse, which is pretty bad news. But what we do with this bad news is still up to us.Here, I talk to the lead author of one of these new papers, Dr Kaitlin Naughten. She tells me what it all means, including why we need to focus on adaptation, and why we must take courage, not hope, from this information.####################################################Contents00:00 Intro 01:06 Who cares about the Amundsen Sea01:58 What the study shows03:06 Mechanisms of change05:34 Can we trust it?06:36 The link to sea level rise07:02 Time to adapt08:53 Why our actions DO matter10:51 Courage vs hope13:52 Thank yous#ClimateChange #Antarctica ####################################################Support me on Patreon here to help keep these videos ad-free: patreon.com/Dr_Gilbz. Subscriptions help me make more (& better!) video content about climate and polar science, and keep these videos independent. ####################################################References and resourcesTHE PAPER: Naughten et al. (2023) nature.com/articles/s41558-023-01818-x Kaitlin’s twitter thread: twitter.com/kaitlinnaughten/status/1716472710107222440 Kaitlin’s article in The Conversation: theconversation.com/increasing-melting-of-west-antarctic-ice-shelves-may-be-unavoidable-new-research-216030 Coverage in the Guardian: theguardian.com/environment/2023/oct/23/rapid-ice-melt-in-west-antarctica-now-inevitable-research-shows Commentary in Nature (Sohail, 2023): nature.com/articles/s41558-023-01817-y Carbon Brief on West Antarctic tipping points: carbonbrief.org/guest-post-how-close-is-the-west-antarctic-ice-sheet-to-a-tipping-point Carbon Brief on tipping points in Pine Island Glacier: carbonbrief.org/guest-post-identifying-three-tipping-points-in-antarcticas-pine-island-glacier Reese et al. (2023) tc.copernicus.org/articles/17/3761/2023 Hill et al. (2023) tc.copernicus.org/articles/17/3739/2023 Armstrong McKay et al. (2022) science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abn7950 Garbe et al. (2020) nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2727-5 Joughin et al. (2014) science.org/doi/abs/10.1126/science.1249055 Park et al. (2013) agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/grl.50379 Feldmann & Levermann (2015) pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1512482112 Joughin et al. (2021) science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.abi5738 Morlighem et al. (2020) nature.com/articles/s41561-019-0510-8 Wiabel et al. (2018) agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2017GL076470 Sutter et al. (2023) nature.com/articles/s41558-023-01738-wAbrams et al. (2023) doi.org/10.1029/2022EF003250
🌡️2023 will just be the start without serious #ClimateAction #shorts Dr Gilbz 2023-10-30 | 2023 has already been a record-breaking year. 🌊 record high ocean temperatures🧊 record low Antarctic sea ice 🌡️ record global average temperatures🔥 devastating wildfires, floods, droughts and stormsWithout sustained actions to prevent it worsening, climate change will continue to worsen and wreak havoc on peoples' lives.
Antarctic climate change is taking us by surprise Dr Gilbz 2023-10-17 | While global temperature rise may be behaving as predicted, there are certain regions on earth where climate change is happening way faster than expected. And nowhere is that more true than the polar regions. ####################################################Contents00:00 Intro00:57 Woops01:53 Antarctica is changing faster than predicted03:19 Polar Amplification04:04 Sea level rise from Antarctica04:58 Thwaites Glacier06:45 Tipping points in West Antarctica08:32 There is still time to act#ClimateChange #Antarctica ####################################################Support me on Patreon here to help keep these videos ad-free: patreon.com/Dr_Gilbz. Subscriptions help me make more (& better!) video content about climate and polar science, and keep these videos independent. ####################################################References and resourcesaluckman4.wixsite.com/ade-s-world-of-ice/post/impending-disintegration-of-thwaites-eastern-ice-shelf https://www.pik-potsdam.de/en/news/latest-news/stability-inspection-for-west-antarctica-shows-marine-ice-sheet-is-not-destabilized-yet-but-possibly-on-a-path-to-tipping?set_language=entheatlantic.com/science/archive/2023/07/climate-change-tipping-points/674778 https://www.esa.int/Applications/Observing_the_Earth/Space_for_our_climate/Ice_sheet_melt_on_track_with_worst-case_climate_scenario Benn et al. (2022) tc.copernicus.org/articles/16/2545/2022 Gudmundsson et al. (2022) agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2023GL102880 Slater et al. (2020) nature.com/articles/s41558-020-0893-y Hill et al. (2023) tc.copernicus.org/articles/17/3739/2023 Reese et al (2023) tc.copernicus.org/articles/17/3761/2023 Casado et al. (2023) nature.com/articles/s41558-023-01791-5 thwaitesglacier.org/about/facts Wang et al. (2022) essd.copernicus.org/articles/15/411/2023/essd-15-411-2023.html Bernales et al. (2017) tc.copernicus.org/articles/11/247/2017 Bamber et al. (2009) science.org/doi/10.1126/science.1169335
Is climate changing faster than expected? Dr Gilbz 2023-09-15 | It feels from the news like climate change is happening faster and faster every year – so are the extremes of 2023 taking us by surprise?The answer is not… entirely. Climate is changing pretty much as we expect, but the *impacts* are a different story.####################################################Contents00:00 Intro00:38 So many extremes01:52 El Niño02:56 Hunga Tonga03:58 Have we tipped?05:20 Impacts are not equal 06:38 Solutions07:43 Summary#ClimateChange #ClimateImpacts #ExtremeWeather####################################################Support me on Patreon here to help keep these videos ad-free: patreon.com/Dr_Gilbz. Subscriptions help me make more (& better!) video content about climate and polar science, and keep these videos independent. ####################################################References and resourcestheguardian.com/environment/2023/aug/28/crazy-off-the-charts-records-has-humanity-finally-broken-the-climateIles et al (2020) gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/5583/2020 Jenkins et al (2023) nature.com/articles/s41558-022-01568-2 Hausfather et al (2019) agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2019GL085378 preventionweb.net/news/do-these-heat-waves-mean-climate-change-happening-faster-expected newscientist.com/article/2387698-is-climate-change-accelerating-and-is-it-worse-than-we-expected https://public.wmo.int/en/media/press-release/global-temperatures-set-reach-new-records-next-five-years theguardian.com/uk-news/2023/sep/10/seven-days-of-30c-heat-in-september-is-new-uk-record-but-storms-on-the-way theguardian.com/environment/2023/jun/24/el-nino-how-the-weather-event-is-affecting-global-heating-in-2023carbonbrief.org/tonga-volcano-eruption-raises-imminent-risk-of-temporary-1-5c-breach climate.nasa.gov/news/3204/tonga-eruption-blasted-unprecedented-amount-of-water-into-stratosphere theconversation.com/climate-damage-is-worsening-faster-than-expected-but-theres-still-reason-for-optimism-4-essential-reads-on-the-ipcc-report-202116 earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/151743/the-ocean-has-a-feverclimate.nasa.gov/news/2943/study-confirms-climate-models-are-getting-future-warming-projections-right
