Is Solar About to Get WAY Better? (I Did the Math) @UndecidedTechnology
Is Solar About to Get WAY Better? (I Did the Math)  @UndecidedTechnology
Uploaded March 2026 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago
Should You Wait for the Next Solar Breakthrough? Use my code MATT at eightsleep.com/mattferrell for up to $350 off the Pod 5 Ultra. Perovskite solar cells could hit 35% efficiency and cost half as much as silicon, but they're still years away from your roof. Meanwhile, silicon panels just lost their 30% federal tax credit in the US, making them suddenly more expensive. So here's the $20,000 question: what’s the better path and value? Should you wait for the next solar breakthrough technology to finally arrive, or install silicon solar panels now? Which one gives you a better bang for your buck?

Correction: In the perovskite savings calculation, I compared two 6kW systems but incorrectly applied an efficiency-based annual savings boost. If both systems are rated at 6kW, they produce the same energy — the efficiency difference means fewer/larger panels, not more output. The $335/year extra savings figure is therefore not valid for same-sized systems. The efficiency advantage matters most when roof space is the limiting factor, where higher-efficiency panels can fit more kW in the same area. The upfront cost comparison still holds.

Watch Inside America's Most Advanced Vertical Farm youtu.be/8sOEB2m0m9Y?list=PLnTSM-ORSgi7uzySCXq8VXhodHB5B5OiQ

Mentioned Solar Videos:
How Quantum Dots Solar Panels Could Change Everything youtu.be/81JgczyzXy8
How Record Breaking Perovskites Are Here NOW youtu.be/vEgkTnkNhRs

Video script and citations:
https://undecided.tech/why-waiting-for-perovskite-solar-isnt-worth-it-solar-3-0/

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Chapters
00:00 - Intro
01:06 - How Do They Work?
04:52 - The Math - Silicon
06:47 - The Math - Perovskite Tandem
10:18 - Caveats and Additional Considerations
12:01 - Wrap-Up
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Is Solar About to Get WAY Better? (I Did the Math)

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